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11-26-2020, 12:31 PM
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5,240 posts, read 2,561,421 times
Reputation: 1728
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Thus 26Nov midday:
-Area SE of Bermuda 30% chance formation, out to sea soon regardless.
-Area between the Azores and Morocco / Portugal 20% chance.
Nice and quiet otherwise. Enjoy that Turkey!
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11-26-2020, 04:24 PM
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18,485 posts, read 12,108,363 times
Reputation: 6258
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma
Thus 26Nov midday:
-Area SE of Bermuda 30% chance formation, out to sea soon regardless.
-Area between the Azores and Morocco / Portugal 20% chance.
Nice and quiet otherwise. Enjoy that Turkey!
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I would rather enjoy a cane. |
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11-29-2020, 06:48 PM
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5,240 posts, read 2,561,421 times
Reputation: 1728
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Sun evening 29Nov:
-invest 90L right near Madeira (island off Portugal/Morocco) 40% chance sun-tropical formation. Nice spin on it but center likely elongated for now.
-possible area to watch near Costa Rica & Nicaragua on Caribbean side this week as heads Westward into Central America.
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12-02-2020, 07:53 AM
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5,240 posts, read 2,561,421 times
Reputation: 1728
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With the season over NHC 5-day outlooks for potential formation are now only updated if something warrants it. They resume regular daily updates otherwise June 1, 2021. Storms can form any month but typically quiet til Spring.
All quiet.
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12-02-2020, 08:28 AM
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2,126 posts, read 1,081,150 times
Reputation: 1256
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Happy it's over, was a roller coaster with a boat in the keys this year..
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12-19-2020, 09:07 AM
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5,240 posts, read 2,561,421 times
Reputation: 1728
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2020 NHC verification of their own human created forecast shows:
Track: right at average error in miles except for 5-days out where averaged a little worse. This error average determines the ‘cone’ size each year.
Wind speed: better then average error under 12hrs out, average error 12-48hrs out, better then average 48-120hrs out.
Source: https://twitter.com/bmcnoldy/status/1333485333497962500
The individual named storm reports will have NHC and computer model errors listed for each there. |
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