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Mon 1June 2pEDT/1pCDT: NHC up to 90% chance formation of 93L. Very healthy as emerges into Bay of Campeche where Tropical Storm Watches/Warnings may be issued later today. US Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft currently scheduled to start recon flights into storm for better data Tuesday.
Gonna take days for this to do anything. May loop around and then build and rebuild more than one center and then make it's move away from FL as always.
Mon 1June 11pEDT/10pCDT: invest 93L became Tropical Depression 3 (TD3) this afternoon as emerged into Bay of Campeche. As was said in LKJ1988's post above, just a waiting game right now. Storm expected to drift slowly West / South, may stay along the shore / meander, may just spin down into Mexico. Then either meanders North by weeks end, or dissipates this week over Mexico, only to have it's remnants re-emerge into the Gulf towards weeks end and reform possibly. May eek out Tropical Storm status in the next 24 hours too. Just a waiting game with high uncertainty in forecast for the time being.
So in the mean time, back to focus on the heavy scattered rains across portions of the region there.
Just a big area of low pressure and nothing will come of it for my area of FL. Would love to see it become a Cat 1 and head just north of my area on the gulf coast of FL and bring me 10" of rain and gust to 80mph. But i have a better chance of winning the lotto.
Mon 8Jun 8pEDT/7pCDT:
Atlantic: Low 10% chance Low along cold front East of Bermuda tries to become something more but not likely and already running out of time.
E Pac: Some wave/moisture action to maybe begin watching sometime next week, nothing really saying storm yet tho.
Wed 10Jun: Very tiny ball of a tropical wave about 400+miles East of Windward Islands at low 10% chance of formation next few days. Per NHC, dry air and wind shear should keep it from developing. Scattered showers / breezy to the islands later Thursday though still. (Southeast Caribbean region)
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