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Old 06-26-2020, 03:51 AM
 
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Fri 26Jun 5aEDT/11pThursHST: TD3E in Pacific became Tropical Storm Boris Thursday.
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Old 06-28-2020, 08:08 AM
 
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28Jun Sun morning: Two low 20% chance formation areas to watch in Atlantic next few days:
-Low may form just off the Mid-Atlantic coast and could acquire some tropical or sub-tropical characteristics as it zips off towards the North Atlantic out to sea, maybe clips Newfoundland or stays South but out to sea.
-Wave in central Atlantic between NW Africa and Caribbean is in between dust plumes but not much model support for it to develop. Likely gone as reaches Caribbean it appears currently.
-Conditions in Atlantic becoming more favorable for developing storms as we head into July but models are all quiet.
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Old 06-30-2020, 10:35 AM
 
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Tue 30Jun: TD4E formed in E Pac SW of S tip of Baja but it won’t last for more than a day. Another area well S of that has low 20% formation chance next few days. Off mid-Atlantic US E coast a low forming has low, if any chance of developing sub/tropical characteristics. Otherwise watching for home grown trouble in NE Gulf of Mexico or off SE US coast in 5-7 days.
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Old 07-01-2020, 07:48 PM
 
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Wed 1July:
-Atlantic: Some hints of a quick small storm or 2 trying to form off mid-Atlantic US coast in the coming days but likely zip out to sea. Nothing solid in the models.
-E Pac: Low 30% chance formation from scattered showers well S of Mexico, heading away from land.
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Old 07-02-2020, 06:21 PM
 
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Thurs 2Jul: our first ‘home grown’ potential storm has departed the US East Coast and will be watched for development next few days (no NHC % chance formation tho yet).
https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1278805436624367621
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Old 07-03-2020, 09:07 PM
 
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Fri 3July - the area being watched off the US East coast now has a 10% chance of formation by NHC as generally heads off towards Bermuda.

Edit: at midnight (Friday night going into Saturday) NHC has bumped this up to 40% chance formation.

Last edited by Psychoma; 07-03-2020 at 10:06 PM..
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Old 07-04-2020, 08:14 AM
 
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Sat 4July 19aEDT - That system well off US SE coast (heading out to sea) quickly organized overnight and NHC will begin advisories on TD5 at 11aEDT.
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Old 07-04-2020, 01:28 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Old 07-05-2020, 07:53 AM
 
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Sun 5July 8aEDT:
Atlantic:
-TD5 over/near Bermuda, out to sea.
-Northern Gulf low near the coast heading towards FL, then rides up US East coast 30% chance formation next few days, heavy scattered shower chances near its path regardless of development.
E Pac:
-Blob S of Mexico high 80% chance formation next 5days.
-Area well SW of Baja low 30% chance.
C Pac:
-Area well SE of Hawaii low 20% chance formation next 5days.
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Old 07-05-2020, 06:08 PM
 
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System in the gulf won't have time to effect my area as i am way to the southeast of it.
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