Atlantic - Cristobal forms June 2, 2020 (rainfall, America, most, inches)

[Psychoma]

Originally Posted by LKJ1988

The last 9 winters have been well above normal. No rain for my area but south FL has had 12"+ since May. I can't buy a drop.

Sunday into Monday you may get part of your wish...a few inches of rain perhaps. We'll see though!

[Psychoma]

At least the moisture will be close to West FL, we'll see how it finally sets up in the coming days:
https://twitter.com/WeatherSources/s...27122416644096

[Psychoma]

Thurs 4June 11aEDT/10aCDT:
Winds 35mph(55km/h)
Moving ESE 3mph(6km/h)
Pressure 998mb
Still over land.

Weakens to 'Depression'. Still expected to re-emerge over water sometime Friday and start slowly restrengthening. Dry air and wind shear should keep that restrengthening pace slow. Likely lop-sided system with the East side seeing the most action.

[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by Psychoma

Sunday into Monday you may get part of your wish...a few inches of rain perhaps. We'll see though!

Be nice if it stays ragged that way i have better chances of more rain. If it wraps up and becomes stronger the rain will stay offshore to my west.

[Psychoma]

Here's the dry air in Western Gulf. Cristobal should start wrapping some of this in when heads North. Will help keep the strength in check. Final storm likely more Sub-Tropical comma shaped looking with moisture mainly right near the center and points well East and North, including to the FL Peninsula even as storm center likely tracks towards Louisiana.

11pEDT/10pCDT:
Winds 35mph(55km/h)
Moving E 3mph(6km/h)
Pressure 1000mb
Tropical Storm Watch and Storm Surge Watches to be posted sometime Friday for US Gulf coast (for affects on Sunday).


https://twitter.com/WeatherSources/s...32335874347013

[LKJ1988]

Another June lop sided system...

[Psychoma]

Fri 5June 11aEDT/10aCDT:
Winds 35mph(55km/h)
Moving N 12mph(19km/h)
Pressure 1000mb

Turned North, picking up movement speed, back over water tonight. Hurricane Hunters may re-start in storm recon later tonight. As expected Tropical Storm Watch (winds of 39mph+ possible within 48hrs or less, in this case possible by Sunday morning) for Intracoastal City, LA to AL/FL line including Lake Pontchartrain & Lake Maurepas (Mexico also added this morning Watch for Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos, Mexico). Storm Surge Watch for Indian Pass to Arepika, FL & from Grand Isle, LA to Ocean Springs, MS including Lake Borgne. Storm Surge Watch criteria typically when 3ft or higher possible.

No real changes otherwise, heads North quickly, landfall Sunday evening, effects to be felt by Sunday morning with most of the 'action' taking place North and East of the center by a comma shaped storm, west and south side of storm likely not much to it. Surge of 2-4ft possible some locations which is enough to cause some problems. Heavy scattered rains closer to the Gulf coast and where the center eventually travels well inland. Tornadoes will be possible as rain bands come ashore, typically most of this is found NE of the storm center. Power outages and downed trees should be expected anywhere winds of around 40mph and above are predicted.

https://twitter.com/NWSSouthern/stat...34209965457408

[Psychoma]

And here's the new 2020 experimental storm surge graphic NHC has added, which looks like normal local news surge graphics. Personally I prefer the detailed mapping systems but I'm a detailed info/data person. But as long as the message gets across for all to understand is the point and both systems are still available. New graphic shown below in tweet and the detailed map here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/gra...ation#contents (the detailed link updates about 30-90minutes after the main 4 & 10a/pCDT NHC updates).

https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/sta...27350269513728

[Psychoma]

Fri 5June 2pEDT/1pCDT:
Winds 40mph(65km/h)
Moving N 12mph(19km/h)
Pressure 1000mb
Back to Tropical Storm status, Mexico changes TS Watch to Warning accordingly.

[Cambium]