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Old 06-06-2020, 09:09 PM
 
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6Jun Sat 11pEDT/10pCDT
Winds 50mph(85km/h)
Moving N 12mph(19km/h)
Pressure 993mb
Center about 210miles SSW of mouth of MS River. At a glance tidal gauges only running a foot or so above normal currently except for the Shell Beach, LA / Lake Borgne running just over 3ft above normal (minor flood stage), the Southern Lake Pontchartrain gauges almost at minor flood stage.
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Old 06-07-2020, 07:16 AM
 
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7Jun Sun 8aEDT/7aCDT
Winds 50mph(85km/h)
Moving N 12mph(19km/h)
Pressure 994mb
Center about 70miles S of Grand Isle, LA, 75miles SSW of mouth of MS River. Heavy rains right along Gulf coast from FL to just East of Lafayette, LA. Tallahassee, FL radar still down (maintenance and issue from last week) but other radars close enough nearby to cover. A few flood warnings across N FL.

Surge obs (From East to West on a map):
~1.8ft: Apalachicola, FL: Below flood stage, rising/leveling off.
~1.5ft: Panama City, FL: Below flood stage, rising.
~1.5ft+: Pensacola, FL: Below flood stage, rising.
~1ft+: Mobile, AL: Below flood stage, rising.
~1.5ft+: Dauphin Island, AL: Below flood stage, rising/leveling off.
~2ft: Pascagoula, MS: Minor flood stage, rising.
~2-2.5ft: Bay St Louis, MS: Minor Flood stage, rising.
~About 4ft: Shell Beach, LA / Lake Borgne: Moderate Flood stage, rising.
~2-3+ft: S Lake Pontchartrain: Minor flood stage, near Moderate level, rising.
~2.5ft: Pilottown, LA: Minor flood stage, rising.
~2.6ft: Pilots Station E, SW Pass, LA: Minor flood stage, rising.
~1.3ft: Port Fourchan, Belle Pass, LA: nearing Minor flood stage, rising.
~1ft+: Atchafalaya Bay - Vermillion Bay, LA region: Below flood stage, leveled off / falling.
~1.5ft: TX/LA border, below flood stage, leveled off/falling.
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Old 06-07-2020, 07:25 AM
 
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Tornado threat this morning is low, so no Tornado Watch issued, closer to the coast could see water spouts or have one move inland briefly:
https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1269588242359128064
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Old 06-07-2020, 07:30 AM
 
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Here's the WPC flash flood risk maps for next 3days. % chance is risk of seeing flash flooding within 25miles of a location in those areas.
https://twitter.com/WeatherSources/s...22689452482560
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Old 06-07-2020, 07:32 AM
 
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All the weather was well to the east of the center that always seems to be the case in June. I did ok with the rain Sat.
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Old 06-07-2020, 07:51 AM
 
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Some surge flooding in St. Bernard Parish, LA this AM:

https://twitter.com/StBGov/status/1269611259110006785
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Old 06-07-2020, 08:07 AM
 
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Tornado threat shifting West into S AL, MS and LA where a Tornado Watch is now in effect some areas.
https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1269630015051665409
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Old 06-07-2020, 02:06 PM
 
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Waveland / Bay St. Louis, MS surge vid:
https://twitter.com/brianemfinger/st...16103481131009
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Old 06-07-2020, 02:08 PM
 
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Water just starting to come over part of the Delacroix levee (St Bernard Parish), LA:
https://twitter.com/StBGov/status/1269706078209675264
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Old 06-07-2020, 02:14 PM
 
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That's the thing about surge...it's not a wave or series of waves...it's the whole body of water rising like it's own tidal level. Water will rush/come inland trying to stay level with rest of the area, keeps going inland until reaches higher ground or runs out of time from change in tide level or storm passing by and leaving / wind direction shifts which allow water to receive.

https://twitter.com/PMurphyWWL/statu...22093995859968
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