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Old 07-07-2020, 12:15 AM
 
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Monday 6July Tropical Storm Cristina forms just off the S/SW Mexico coast. The 3rd named storm in E Pacific average formation date is 5July.

Estimated winds 40mph(65km/h), moving WNW 15mph(24km/h), pressure 1005mb. Located about 405miles(650km) SSW of Acapulco, Mexico, and about 575miles(925km) SSE of Manzanillo, Mexico. Tropical Storm winds go out about 35miles(55km) from storm center.

Earlier had that 'classic' look, now not as much. Cristina to be a hurricane possibly by Wednesday. NHC mentions possible rapid intensification possible this week as well (Cat2/3?) but also mentions it took in a little dry air today so remains to be seen what it does next. But by end of the weekend reaches colder waters and falls apart. Out to sea. Clarion Island may be right in line or close to storm late this week. Socorro may want to watch for potential impacts but may stay to their S/SW.

Official storm stats are released by the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) every 6hours at 5 & 11am/pmEDT/HST (2&8a/p PDT) here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

https://twitter.com/WeatherSources/s...69816671531009
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Old 07-07-2020, 11:41 AM
 
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Tue 7July 11aEDT/8aPDT: Estimated winds 40mph(65km/h), moving WNW 13mph(20km/h), pressure 1005mb. Storms trying to fire up all morning it appears on satellite but some wind shear still present hindering development. But conditions look to improve shortly.
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Old 07-08-2020, 07:19 AM
 
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Wed 8July 5aEDT/2aPDT: Estimated winds 45mph(75km/h), moving WNW 13mph(20km/h), pressure 1003mb. NHC lowered intensity predictions and now calls for only 85mph Hurricane within 48hours then weakens as hits cooler waters and drier air.
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Old 07-08-2020, 11:14 AM
 
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Wed 8July 11aEDT/8aPDT: Estimated winds 60mph(95km/h), moving NW 12mph(19km/h), pressure 998mb. Finally making its run at Hurricane.
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Old 07-09-2020, 09:47 AM
 
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Thurs 9July 11aEDT/8aPDT: Estimated winds 65mph(100km/h), moving WNW 13mph(20km/h), pressure 995mb. Hasn’t been taking advantage of better conditions which may last around 24 more hours. Center looks to pass between Socorro and Clarion Islands Thursday into Friday.
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Old 07-09-2020, 03:39 PM
 
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Thurs 9July 5pEDT/2pPDT: Estimated winds 70mph(110km/h), moving WNW 13mph(20km/h), pressure 993mb.
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Old 07-10-2020, 09:56 AM
 
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Thurs 10July 11aEDT/8aPDT: Estimated winds 70mph(110km/h), moving WNW 14mph(22km/h), pressure 993mb. Weakening may have started, NHC no longer calling for Hurricane.
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Old 07-10-2020, 07:45 PM
 
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Friday (Friday above post too...) 10July 5pEDT/2pPDT/11aHST: Estimated winds 70mph(110km/h), moving WNW 17mph(28km/h), pressure 993mb.
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Old 07-12-2020, 07:40 AM
 
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Sun 12July 5aEDT/2aPDT/11pHST(Sat): Estimated winds 45mph(75km/h), moving W 13mph(20km/h), pressure 1002mb. Not going to lie, Cristina has had it's best look a like tropical system spin / visible appearance over the last day or so. But if look at Infrared imagery the cloud tops just continue to warm = storm continues to weaken. So a nice spin but on it's way out. Eventually remnants may pass well Northeast/North of Hawaii.
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Old 07-12-2020, 10:05 PM
 
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Sun 12July 11pEDT/8pPDT/5pHST: Estimated winds 35mph(55km/h), moving W 12mph(19km/h), pressure 1007mb. Remnant Low, no more advisories to be issued. Archive: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2020/CRISTINA.shtml?
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