Pacific - Douglas forms July 20, 2020 (South, rain, Hawaii, wind)

[kaimuki]

There are few things I wish to die quickly, but Douglas is certainly one of them.

[Psychoma]

Fri 24July 11aEDT/5aHST:
Center about 895miles(1,440km) ESE of Hilo, HI
About 1,100miles(1,765km) ESE of Honolulu, HI

Winds 120mph(195km/h)
Moving WNW 18mph(30km/h)
Pressure 962mb
Looks like peaked at 130mph Cat4 and now the expected slow weakening trend has begun. Still forecast to come into Hawaiian islands as a strong Tropical Storm or Cat1 hurricane early Sunday morning through early Monday. If takes a more southern approach towards Big Island / Maui then high mountains will tear apart faster. Most models take it over the northern islands. Likely all islands will feel something. Heavy rains likely the biggest threat and some wind damage possible as well. Possible power issues. Higher surf.

[Psychoma]

Fri 24July 11pEDT/5pHST:
Center about 665miles(1,070km) E of Hilo, HI
About 865miles(1,390km) ESE of Honolulu, HI
Winds 115mph(185km/h), barely Cat3 now
Moving WNW 20mph(31km/h)
Pressure 967mb
Air Force recon aircraft just left Hawaii to check out storm in person. Hurricane Watch Oahu, Hawaii County, Maui County including Maui, Lanai, Molokai and Kahoolawe. Rains potentially of 6-10", isolated 15". Flooding/landslide threats. Large waves generated by when storm was stronger and now may affect the islands for a few days.

[Psychoma]

Sat 25July 8aEDT/2aHST:
Center about 485miles(780km) E of Hilo, HI
About 690miles(1,105km) ESE of Honolulu, HI
Winds 110mph(175km/h), Cat2 now
Moving WNW 18mph(30km/h)
Pressure 973mb
TS Warning for Hawaii & Maui County
Hurricane Watch same and also Oahu.
Forecast still unchanged with strong TS or Cat1 hurricane near / across the islands through the day Sunday.

[Psychoma]

Sat 25July 11aEDT/5aHST:
Center about 440miles(705km) E of Hilo, HI
About 635miles(1,020km) ESE of Honolulu, HI
Winds 105mph(165km/h)
Moving WNW 18mph(30km/h)
Pressure 975mb
TS Watch added to Kauai & Niihau. Hurricane winds relatively small area extend up to 25miles(35km) from center, TS winds 105miles(165km) from center. Slow steady weakening continues.

[Psychoma]

Sat 25July 5pEDT/11aHST:
Center about 325miles(525km) E of Hilo, HI
About 520miles(835km) ESE of Honolulu, HI
Winds 90mph(150km/h)
Moving WNW 18mph(30km/h)
Pressure 984mb
Hurricane Warning Oahu (Winds 74+mph), TS Warning (Winds 39-73mph) & Hurricane Watch for Hawaii Co, Maui Co, TS Watch Kauai Co. Nears the islands starting late tonight, moving over, thru, near through the day Sunday and early Monday as a Cat1 and/or strong Tropical Storm.

[Psychoma]

Sun 26July 11aEDT/5aHST:
Center about 145miles(230km) E of Kahului, HI
About 235miles(380km) E of Honolulu, HI
Winds 90mph(150km/h)
Moving WNW 16mph(26km/h)
Pressure 983mb
Hurricanes winds extend up to 30miles(45km) from center, TS winds 105miles(165km). Wind shear affecting storm, keeping most of the action from near the center and northward. Not much wind once you get a little South of the center. This will keep most of the action off Big Island but likely take it across the remaining islands including Honolulu through the day today.

[Psychoma]

Coming into Hawaii now:
https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/...32991795535872

[Psychoma]

At 320pEDT/920aHST Tropical Storm force winds are nearing Maui as storm begins its closest approach to the island. Majority of storm likely passes to its north but it'll be close enough to feel.

[Psychoma]

Sun 26July 5pEDT/11aHST:
Center about 55miles(90km) ENE of Kahului, HI
About 140miles(230km) E of Honolulu, HI
Winds 85mph(140km/h)
Moving WNW 16mph(26km/h)
Pressure 987mb
Storm brushing by Maui now to its North over the next several hours, closer pass to Moloka’i likely, then on to O’ahu / Honolulu. The further North it can tip toe the better...South side is much weaker/calmer then right at the eye and northward. Going to be close.