Atlantic - Gonzalo forms July 22, 2020

[Psychoma]

Thurs 23July 11aEDT/AST:
Winds 65mph(100km/h)
Moving W 14mph(22km/h)
Pressure 997mb
Dry air really tearing into storm. It’s so tiny though that it may recover, and quickly. It may also completely fall part. Either scenario possible within the next 24-48hrs. Small storms are very hard to predict intensity wise.

[Psychoma]

Thurs 23July 11pEDT/AST:
Winds 60mph(95km/h)
Moving W 14mph(22km/h)
Pressure 1000mb
TS winds only go out about 25miles(35km) from center, very tiny storm. Storms re-firing up this evening. Still questions on what intensity it moves thru the Windward Islands at but NHC has the storm dissipating in the Caribbean Sea thereafter.

[Psychoma]

Fri 24July 11aEDT/AST:
Winds 50mph(85km/h)
Moving W 18mph(30km/h)
Pressure 1002mb
Moves through the Windward Islands all day Saturday and into Caribbean Sea where expected to fall apart. Recon plane to check out the storm later today. NHC says their intensity forecast is now above all guidance as they're keeping open the possibility of such a small storm quickly jumping up in strength while moving through the islands. (Small storms can jump up/down extremely fast).

[Psychoma]

Storm almost appears to be opening back up into a Tropical Wave and almost no winds at all on the South side, 40-50mph North side.
https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1286750327153348608

[LKJ1988]

It's done.

[Psychoma]

Fri 24July 11pEDT/AST:
Winds 40mph(65km/h)
Moving W 17mph(28km/h)
Pressure 1009mb
Yep, it's about done. Heavy scattered rains into the islands. Recon hasn't found any TS winds this evening in it, but since they're still flying and storm keeps pulsing they'll keep at TS strength for now.

[Psychoma]

Sat 25July 8aEDT/AST:
Winds 40mph(65km/h)
Moving W 18mph(30km/h)
Pressure 1009mb
TS winds only go out about 25miles(35km) from center. 1-3inches(25-75mm), isolated 5inches(127mm) rain possible in Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, and other nearby areas of southern Windward Islands and extreme NE Venezuela...mainly the islands farther out. It's stubborn and keeps trying to fire up storms but it's on it's way out, should dissipate within another day or so. Storm to come across Trinidad and also affect Tobago this morning, then on to Northern Venezuela / southern Caribbean Sea, not often storms ride that low. Here's a map of historical tracks for context:

https://twitter.com/WeatherSources/s...99454348910592

[Psychoma]

Sat 25July 11aEDT/AST:
Winds 40mph(65km/h)
Moving W 18mph(30km/h)
Pressure 1009mb
Center about 55miles(90km) East of Trinidad but most of the action ahead of center spreading across extreme northern Venezuela and southern Windward Islands where several inches (50-150mm) total rain may fall.

[Psychoma]

Sat 25July 5pEDT/AST: Gonzalo is no more, just a breeze and some scattered showers. No more advisories to be issued. An archive can be found here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2020/GONZALO.shtml? Not expected to reform elsewhere.