U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Covid-19 Information Page
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 07-31-2020, 07:22 AM
 
5,240 posts, read 2,560,518 times
Reputation: 1728

Advertisements

With sunrise adding: We can see that wind shear is affecting the storms structure, but it’s trying, pulsing new storms Continuously.
https://twitter.com/webberweather/st...74145222107142
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 07-31-2020, 09:08 AM
 
5,240 posts, read 2,560,518 times
Reputation: 1728
Friday 10aEDT/AST - Southwesterly wind shear eroding the West, SW & South sides of storm. Air recon finding pressure rising slightly. Winds on the NE - E still very intense. So likely paused strengthening for the morning as it battles shear.

Last edited by Psychoma; 07-31-2020 at 09:17 AM..
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-31-2020, 10:49 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
75,023 posts, read 58,572,190 times
Reputation: 13397
Current Satellite and latest median track from NHC.





NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
1100 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST...
...SQUALLY WEATHER OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS SPREADING INTO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 74.5W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM SSE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM SE OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-31-2020, 10:56 AM
 
Location: NMB, SC
9,641 posts, read 2,661,860 times
Reputation: 13020
The ocean was starting to churn up a bit here in SC this morning.
Gas station and local supermarket was fairly busy too ...folks preparing.

Normally the ocean is very calm at 7am
Here's what it looked like this morning at 7am

Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-31-2020, 11:13 AM
 
5,240 posts, read 2,560,518 times
Reputation: 1728
The 11a track was shifted ever so slightly West a tad. On recurving storms, at these angles, every mile closer/further from shore counts.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-31-2020, 12:58 PM
 
5,240 posts, read 2,560,518 times
Reputation: 1728
Fri 31July 2pEDT/AST:
Winds 75mph(120km/h)
Moving NW now at 16mph(26km/h)
Pressure 991mb

Pressure down slightly, may slowly be succeeding in fighting off wind shear & slow intensification may resume this afternoon/evening.

Depending where it goes we could have a landfalling Hurricane into FL as early as tomorrow evening or Sunday. Make sure you’re prepared! And/or then on further up the US East coast.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-31-2020, 01:36 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
75,023 posts, read 58,572,190 times
Reputation: 13397
Loop past 4hrs. I was staring at that outflow boundary. Looked like it was going to get Miami but it totally faded away. Dry air or just not enough steam


Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-31-2020, 01:42 PM
 
Location: NoVA/SoFLO
18,380 posts, read 25,269,313 times
Reputation: 6795
Latest Euro shows a Florida hit, looks like into the Fort Lauderdale area. Wondering if the 5 PM update will shift west?
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-31-2020, 02:47 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
75,023 posts, read 58,572,190 times
Reputation: 13397
Quote:
Originally Posted by kidyankee764 View Post
Latest Euro shows a Florida hit, looks like into the Fort Lauderdale area. Wondering if the 5 PM update will shift west?
Seems like the "west" shift is the new trend. If NHC shifted slightly before and now Euro shows more of it, the NHC will follow. I think what happened is the center of it reformed and formed west of previous center. So models adjusted the outcome accordingly to the upper air pattern and front, ect.

Latest 12z Operational Models for #Isaias

GFS Hits NC, then gets close to NYC
Canadian is a mess.
Navy has the most inland track
Euro decides to hit Florida and hug the east coast

Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-31-2020, 03:42 PM
 
Location: Inland FL
1,623 posts, read 1,003,023 times
Reputation: 2852
Thank gosh it's late July and not September. Isaias would definitely have turned into a major hurricane if that were the case.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
Similar Threads

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 01:07 AM.

© 2005-2021, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top