Atlantic - Laura forms August 21, 2020 (rainbow, cyclone, maximum, hours)

[Jnvlv247]

Originally Posted by twingles

I think most people who live at sea level and particularly having been through some recent storms know the deal. I've seen many people on the news saying, already done this over the last few years, not doing it again.

I just remember the absolute doomsday reporting from Irma and it ended up being pretty bad but no where near what was predicted or yelled at us. You think every Hurricane is the next Katrina and that is not the case.

I hope people STILL take it seriously as some people always still say they have been through worse. I am not saying people need to ignore the warnings but the language seems a bit intense. I know enough that people on the coast would not fair well.

It's easy to get sucked into the constant coverage and the doom and gloom. Hopefully everyone that had to has evacuated and others have prepared well. I don't doubt there will be devestation but loss of life is hard to calculate

[Psychoma]

Close up of the eye:
https://twitter.com/mjventrice/statu...89785045934085

And there is the wind shear right at the coast it’s about to start to push into. More well built storms can hold their own against it better but we’ll see how it effects intensity, if at all, as nears landfall tonight. A pause in strengthening or slight weakening is possible however. https://twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/1298688804732231683

An eyewall replacement cycle (ERC) can also pause intensity, and may or may not get a chance to perform before landfall.

[Psychoma]

Wed 26Aug 2pCDT/3pEDT - NHC updates pressure down to 948mb and reports surge of 3.2ft now Eugene Island, LA. Still strengthening.

[JRR]

I'll be the first to agree that the media usually tends to overplay the potential damage from one of these storms. But this one looks like it is going to be really bad for those who are in the path when it comes ashore. The alarm looks to be justified

[Pfalz]

Originally Posted by USNRET04

A 15-20 ft surge is not survivable. The surge could go up to 30 miles inland in some places.

Port Arthur is surrounded by levees. How tall are they and would a 15' surge over top or breach them?

[cBach]

Originally Posted by Psychoma

This is an interesting thread of images...they overlaid Lake Charles poss surge with 3D google buildings map:
https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/s...72082469953538

Yikes that's scary. The house I grew up in will be covered in 6' of water, it's only 3' elevated.

[newtovenice]

Originally Posted by JRR

I'll be the first to agree that the media usually tends to overplay the potential damage from one of these storms. But this one looks like it is going to be really bad for those who are in the path when it comes ashore. The alarm looks to be justified

It's why people in hurricane areas don't listen to the news. They check out the NHC page and Tropical Tidbits to get a non hyped and non marketed/advertsing based report.

They also don't really decide what to do until it's closer to shore. A 20 mile shift means EVERYTHING.

And people who live up north don't get that at all.

[Psychoma]

Current Tornado Watch region, this will be replaced with more Watches through the night.
https://twitter.com/NWStornado/statu...07408772984832

[Psychoma]

Wed 6pEDT/5pCDT
Winds 145mph(230km)
Moving NW 15mph(24km/h)
Pressure 947mb
Center about 140miles(225km) S of Lake Charles, LA
Center about 140miles(225km) SSE of Port Arthur, TX
Hurricane winds extend up to 60miles(95km) from center, TS winds 205miles(335km).

Storm Surge Watch E of mouth of MS river including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas and Lake Borgne canceled.

NHC is updating storm stats hourly now that its within radar range.

[Texas Ag 93]

I just feel very sad for the residents of the Golden Triangle, Lake Charles and SW Louisiana. So much attention is paid to Houston and New Orleans due to population and economic impact, that we often forget about the area in between; an area that has taken a beating with storms over the last 15-20 years.

I made many trips on I-10 between my home in Houston and grad school in New Orleans and I can still picture the unusual beauty from the lights of the refineries at night. My thoughts are with them all right now.