Atlantic - Nana forms September 1, 2020 (days, storm, city, America)

[Psychoma]

Tue 1Sept 12pEDT/AST,11aCDT,10aCST Tropical Storm Nana forms (formally 99L & PTC16) after air recon finds closed center of circulation.

Winds 50mph(85km/h), moving W 18mph(30km/h), pressure 1004mb
Located about 120miles(195km) SW of Kingston Jamaica.

Recon finds EXTREMELY tiny center, this will be VERY prone to sudden swings in intensity up/down. Tracking generally Westward and expected to head into Central America / Southern Mexico. The intensity will need to be watched given small center. But otherwise this is a rain maker for Central America and will likely lead to heavy rains and flooding in the coming days.

TS Watch N Honduras coast & Roatan Island. These are time based issued and with local governments, so these will be extended further West and up into Belize later on.

Official updates by NHC every 3hrs at 2,5,8 & 11a/pEDT/AST (1,4,7 & 10a/pCDT): https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[Psychoma]

Tue 1Spet 8pEDT/AST,7pCDT,6pCST
Winds 50mph(85km/h)
Moving W 18mph(30km/h)
Pressure 1002mb
Center located about 370miles(600km) ENE of Limon Honduras
Center located about 535miles(865km) ENE of Belize City
TS Winds extend up to 80miles(130km) from center, mainly N of center right now.

Air recon about to be back in the storm.

Watch/Warnings:
-Hurricane Watch Belize
-TS Warning Puerto Costa Maya to Chetumal Mexico & Belize
-TS Watch N Honduras, Roatan Island, Bay Islands of Honduras, Guatemala

[LKJ1988]

Only thing Nana will do is blow a banana off a tree. Another FL miss. Give anything if it would get in the gulf and come my way but not a chance.

[Psychoma]

Wed 2Sept 8aEDT/AST,7aCDT,6aCST
Winds 60mph(95km/h)
Moving W 18mph(30km/h)
Pressure 996mb
Center located about 150miles(240km) NE of Limon Honduras
Center located about 305miles(490km) E of Belize City
TS Winds extend up to 70miles(110km) from center, mainly N half.

High pressure over FL keeps it going generally Westward into Central America. Conditions go down hill tonight. 2-6inches(50-150mm) rain, isolated 8”+(200mm+) possible. Belize is prone to surge where 3-5ft is possible near and N of where center comes ashore late tonight or early in the morning.

[Psychoma]

Looks like the tiny center recon found yesterday has been disrupted by the slight wind shear present. So basically rapid changes up/down in intensity less likely than yesterday.
https://twitter.com/jacksillin/statu...43232768880642

[Psychoma]

Wed 2Sept 5pEDT/AST,4pCDT,3pCST
Winds 60mph(95km/h)
Moving W 15mph(24km/h)
Pressure 999mb
Center located about 65miles(110km) NE of Isla Roatan Honduras
Center located about 155miles(250km) ESE of Belize City
TS Winds extend up to 70miles(110km) from center

[Psychoma]

Thurs 3Sept 5aEDT/AST,4aCDT,3aCST
Winds 70mph(110km/h)
Moving WSW 15mph(24km/h)
Pressure 997mb

Made landfall into Belize early this morning as a Cat1 Hurricane about 50miles(80km) S of Belize City, should weaken more rapidly as makes its way towards higher terrain. Any storm surge should begin to recede. Up to a foot of rain possible some areas of Guatemala & Mexico, up to 10inches(250+mm) Belize, flooding and mudslide issues.

[LKJ1988]

It's done.

[Psychoma]

Nana, per NHC, has a 20% chance of reforming in the E Pacific but wind shear will be high so chances low.

[Psychoma]

Thurs 3Sept 5pEDT/AST,4pCDT,3pCST
Winds 35mph(55km/h)
Moving WSW 14mph(22km/h)
Pressure 1006mb


About to emerge into the E Pacific.