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Old 10-06-2020, 05:53 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
75,023 posts, read 58,583,334 times
Reputation: 13397

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TD to Cat4 in 30hrs. I thought Katrina or Wilma was fast. Wow!

https://twitter.com/NbergWX/status/1313612047154925569




I saw the eye was tiny this morning and knew it was about to be a powerhouse. Like a tight figure skater

https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1313462109108408321


Last edited by Cambium; 10-06-2020 at 06:04 PM..
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Old 10-06-2020, 06:10 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
75,023 posts, read 58,583,334 times
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Tight! Only 30 miles from the center will get hurricane force winds. "Sustained"..

Quote:
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Delta was located
near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 84.1 West. Delta is moving
toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A west-
northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next
couple of days. A slower northwestward to north-northwestward motion
is forecast to begin on Thursday, and a northward motion is expected
Thursday night and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of
Delta will move over the northeastern portion of the Yucatan
peninsula late tonight or early Wednesday. Delta is forecast to
move over the southern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday afternoon, and be
over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico through Thursday, and
approach the northern Gulf coast on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 145 mph (230 km/h)
with higher gusts. Delta is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening
is possible before the center reaches the coast Yucatan peninsula
Wednesday. Although some weakening is likely when Delta moves over
the Yucatan peninsula, re-strengthening is forecast when the
hurricane moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday night and
Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches).
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Old 10-06-2020, 06:43 PM
 
18,480 posts, read 12,108,363 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
LOL..you are so funny. You need to face the fact hurricanes do not target the western coast of florida....its not a miss..it just doesnt happen.
Has before and will again. I see a super Cat 5 coming up the pipe making landfall 20 miles north of the Tampa area within 15 years. Last real hit was 1921 our number is coming but i maybe dead by then.

Give anything if there was a gravity pull to turn it northeast.
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Old 10-06-2020, 06:45 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
75,023 posts, read 58,583,334 times
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https://twitter.com/TimBuckleyWX/sta...20591379976195

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Old 10-06-2020, 07:05 PM
 
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Just gonna dry my area out as it goes well west of me.
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Old 10-06-2020, 08:10 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Cat 5 for short time tonight. Then weakens to Cat 3 then regains strength in the Gulf Thursday

Landfall in LA Friday evening give or take some hours.

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Old 10-06-2020, 08:46 PM
 
5,240 posts, read 2,560,518 times
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Tue 6-Oct 7pCDT,8pEDT
Winds 145mph(230km/h)
Moving WNW 17mph(28km/h)
Pressure 956mb
Center about 180miles(290km) ESE of Cozumel, Mexico

Landfall in the morning NE Yucatan.

Delta has leveled off this evening. Pressure last few passes up just above 960mb.

Per Levi, wind shear may be sneaking across the storm helping limit intensification as well: https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/...37745802215424

Here's an animation showing Gamma & Delta interaction & Delta absorbing what's left of Gamma from Philippe: https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1313622711483195393
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Old 10-06-2020, 09:32 PM
 
9,870 posts, read 9,565,595 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
Has before and will again. I see a super Cat 5 coming up the pipe making landfall 20 miles north of the Tampa area within 15 years. Last real hit was 1921 our number is coming but i maybe dead by then.

Give anything if there was a gravity pull to turn it northeast.
LOl..last hit 100 years ago? ..Yea you could say you are due..or more likely ..its just near impossible to get a hurricane to move east northeast out of the gulf. I predict its as likely you will get a snowstorm in that area as a hurricane direct hit. Why do you want a hurricane to hit you anyway

I still say the only chance is a late season..(October on) hurricane that forms in the gulf and catches the jet... I think Georges did something like that but it got too far north in the gulf before making that turn so was already inland near Louisiana.
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Old 10-06-2020, 09:52 PM
 
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Tue 10pCDT/11pEDT - weakens to 130mph.
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Old 10-07-2020, 06:02 AM
 
18,480 posts, read 12,108,363 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
LOl..last hit 100 years ago? ..Yea you could say you are due..or more likely ..its just near impossible to get a hurricane to move east northeast out of the gulf. I predict its as likely you will get a snowstorm in that area as a hurricane direct hit. Why do you want a hurricane to hit you anyway

I still say the only chance is a late season..(October on) hurricane that forms in the gulf and catches the jet... I think Georges did something like that but it got too far north in the gulf before making that turn so was already inland near Louisiana.
Did get snow in Tampa back when we had real winters in Jan 1977. Small core storms like Delta flash up and down pretty fast on power.
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