Atlantic - Zeta forms October 25, 2020 (recorded, West, rain, may)

[Psychoma]

Inland Tropical Storm Watches now up into the Carolina’s where gust could go above TS speeds of 39+mph. Scattered power outages and downed trees possible. But again quick movement hopefully lessons amount of time of this wear/tear. By Thursday evening storm exits into the Atlantic.

[Psychoma]

Tornado Watch may be issued for portions of Gulf coast region this afternoon. Regardless of Watch or not, isolated brief quick spin ups of tornadoes will be possible as bands come in SE LA, S MS, S AL and W FL panhandle regions this afternoon: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1766.html Tornadoes are common in tropical systems, mainly NE of the storm center and typically travel with the rain band segment that produced them.

[Psychoma]

Wed 28-Oct 1pCDT/2pEDT:
Winds 100mph(155km/h)
Moving NNE 20mph(35km/h)
Pressure 975mb
Center about 145miles(235km) SW of mouth of MS River
Center about 155miles(255km) SSW of New Orleans
Hurricane winds extend up to 35miles(55km) from center, TS winds 150miles(240km).

Unfortunately the HWRF model has continued to do well with this storm, and we indeed have a Cat2 now. Remember not to focus just on the center point of path, high winds and surge will occur near the center and well to the East of landfall along the Gulf coast.

[Psychoma]

Rain rates of 1.75-2+inch per hour will be possible extreme SE LA then up into S MS later today. This includes metro New Orleans. https://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/met...d=0834&yr=2020

[Psychoma]

NHC is now beginning hourly updates.
2pCDT/3pEDT: winds 105mph, pressure 973mb.
NHC reports sustained TS winds of 45mph Caillou Bay, LA.

[Psychoma]

3pCDT/4pEDT: winds 110mph, moving NNE 22mph, pressure 972mb.

Borderline Cat2/3, just offshore of Louisiana.

[Cambium]

Power outage forecast


https://twitter.com/gdimeweather/sta...053120/photo/1





https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/s...19513557475329

[Psychoma]

4pCDT/5pEDT: winds 110mph, moving NNE 24mph, pressure 970mb.

Now making landfall near Cocodrie, LA. Highest winds associated with the eyewall in or near Grand Isle, Lafitte/Jean Lafitte, Larose, Mathews/Lockport, Chauvin,,,,that general circle moving inland in general direction of New Orleans / Lake Borgne. Highest winds on the East - NE side of that eyewall.

[Psychoma]

Surge coming into Port Fourchon earlier: https://twitter.com/brianemfinger/st...69869326913537

Another vid from there higher up: https://twitter.com/andclimatology/s...71609128435712

Louisiana Universities Marine Consortium reporting surge higher then Barry produced now, with clearing skies in the eye: https://twitter.com/drcraigmc/status...62618314838023

Station in Golden Meadow 83mph sustained, gust 105.

[LKJ1988]

It will be done soon as it is flying fast and will be long gone.