Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 10-25-2020, 07:03 AM
 
7,259 posts, read 4,629,838 times
Reputation: 2105

Advertisements

Sunday 25-Oct2020 Tropical Storm Zeta forms 2amEDT NW Caribbean. Formally 95L, TD28.

As of 7aCDT/8aEDT:
Winds 40mph(65km/h)
Movement: Stationary
Pressure 1005mb
Center about 275miles(445km) SE of Cozumel, Mexico.
TS winds extend up to 80miles(130km) from center.

Low & Mid level centers mis-aligned = slow strengthening rate (think double layer cake perfectly centered vs not centered), storms like perfect cake. Starts moving towards Yucatán later today. Likely reaches Hurricane, then wind shear and cooler waters start weakening storm as heads for US Gulf coast. NHC has landfall US as TS mid-week. NHC says landfall location more uncertain for now then normal as the final turning mechanism is off the California coast at the moment so not much in way of sensors/data to feed that element into the models yet & its to merge w system from NW US. But LA to W FL panhandle in play while Texas gets a winter storm.

TS Watch W Cuba
Hurricane Watch NE Yucatán
US Gulf Watches likely by Monday

Official updates are released by NHC every 3hrs at 1,4,7 & 10am/pmCDT (2,5,8 & 11a/pEDT): https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Last edited by Psychoma; 10-25-2020 at 07:11 AM..
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 10-25-2020, 07:10 AM
 
30,433 posts, read 21,255,233 times
Reputation: 11989
Another miss for my area. 1000 storms this year and not any action at all.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-25-2020, 07:55 PM
 
Location: Southwestern, USA, now.
21,020 posts, read 19,383,279 times
Reputation: 23666
My mouth dropped when I saw the News tonight - it said hitting around New Orleans -
WED, Oct 28!
What? Another one? This is terrible.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-26-2020, 06:59 AM
 
7,259 posts, read 4,629,838 times
Reputation: 2105
Mon 7aCDT/8aEDT:
Winds 70mph(110km/h)
Movement: NW 9mph(15km/h)
Pressure 992mb
Center about 175miles(285km) SE of Cozumel, Mexico.
TS winds extend up to 115miles(185km) from center.

Hurricane shortly. NE Yucatán landfall tonight as Cat1. May weaken some then restrengthens in S Gulf, likely starts weakening on approach to US Gulf coast where NHC now has as strong Tropical Storm or Cat1 at landfall.

Here’s drawing/map of steering patterns by future meteorologist Jack Sillin:
https://twitter.com/jacksillin/statu...05796368465921
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-26-2020, 03:06 PM
 
Location: Southwestern, USA, now.
21,020 posts, read 19,383,279 times
Reputation: 23666
Big diff from 40 mph! And it's on the move.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-26-2020, 04:54 PM
 
30,433 posts, read 21,255,233 times
Reputation: 11989
Quote:
Originally Posted by Miss Hepburn View Post
Big diff from 40 mph! And it's on the move.
Just about the same track as the last 6. I just don't get it how the same area can get hit that many times while some area's have gone 99 years like the Tampa area.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-26-2020, 06:45 PM
 
7,259 posts, read 4,629,838 times
Reputation: 2105
Mon 7pCDT/8pEDT:
Winds 80mph(130km/h)
Movement: NW 12mph(19km/h)
Pressure 983mb
Center about 45miles(70km) SSE of Cozumel, Mexico.
Hurricane winds extend up to 25miles(35km) from center, TS winds 115miles(185km).

Storm Surge Watch: Intracoastal City, LA to Navarre, FL including lakes and bays (Watch when up to 3ft is poss).
Hurricane Watch: Morgan City, LA to MS/AL border.
TS Watch: MS/AL border to Okaloosa/Walton Co line FL.
TS Watch: W of Morgan City to Intracoastal City, LA.

NHC’s poss storm surge amounts:
Port Fourchon LA to Dauphin Island AL 4-6ft
Intracoastal City LA to Port Fourchon LA 2-4 ft
Dauphin Island AL to Navarre FL 2-4 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...2-4 ft
Navarre FL to Yankeetown FL 1-3 ft
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-26-2020, 06:59 PM
 
7,259 posts, read 4,629,838 times
Reputation: 2105
Poss storm surge values map: https://twitter.com/nhc_atlantic/sta...39563187687424
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-27-2020, 06:43 AM
 
7,259 posts, read 4,629,838 times
Reputation: 2105
Tue 27-Oct 7aCDT/8aEDT:
Winds 70mph(110km/h)
Moving NW 14mph(22km/h)
Pressure 984mb
Center about 540miles(865km) S of mouth of MS River.
TS winds extend up to 140miles(220km) from center.

Made landfall Yucatán last night as 80mph Cat1. Now a TS. About to re-emerge into the Gulf where should restrengthen. Just before US landfall should start weakening or level off due to shear & cooler waters but a Hurricane or possibly strong TS expected.

US Watches changed to Warnings as they are timed based issued meaning 36hours or less remaining until TS winds arrive (when you should be done prepping and in spot you’ll ride storm out.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-27-2020, 08:57 AM
 
7,259 posts, read 4,629,838 times
Reputation: 2105
Tue 27-Oct 10aCDT/11aEDT:
Winds 65mph(100km/h)
Moving NW 14mph(22km/h)
Pressure 985mb
Center about 520miles(835km) S of mouth of MS River.
TS winds extend up to 140miles(220km) from center.

Weaker as comes off Yucatán, but pressure low, core structure good = should intensify today.

Surge values for US Gulf raised slightly, latest NHC map in tweet below or on https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
https://twitter.com/weathersources/s...05341107576835
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top