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Old 06-26-2023, 06:57 AM
 
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Mon 26Jun 8aEDT:
Atlantic: Cindy remnants with slight chance redevelops between Bermuda & East Canada.
East Pacific: Two areas along South Mexico moving near or parallel with the coast likely to form.
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Old 06-27-2023, 07:00 AM
 
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The Euro (ECMWF) model gets an upgrade today. Supposedly “improves ENS tropical cyclone track & intensity forecasts with position errors reduced by up to 10% & core pressure errors reduced by around 20%”. Other forecast parameters increased a couple % points, some areas higher resolution and some extended range products had additional ensemble members added.

So basically overall here/there tweaks with major upgrade to hurricane track & strength guidance. We’ll see how it does later this season.
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Old 06-27-2023, 08:38 PM
 
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Tues 27Jun evening:
Atlantic:
-Cindy remnants low chance redevelops near Bermuda.
-SAL dust layer moving into the Atlantic...looking quiet out there for a bit.

East Pac:
-TS Adrian forms.
-Next up right behind it.
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Old 06-28-2023, 09:48 PM
 
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Wed 28Jun evening:
Atlantic: Area near Bermuda low chance, otherwise looking quiet for awhile.
EPac: PTC2e expected to become TD early Thursday, named storm by tomorrow afternoon, Hurricane right near the coast late Friday into Saturday. Slight wobbles could bring ashore. Expect the TS Watch/Warning to expand further West up the coast and become Hurricane Watch further up as well. With Hurricane Adrian expected to stall out the two could near each other just enough to start interacting which may / may not effect final outcome on track / strength.
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Old 07-02-2023, 08:19 AM
 
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Sun 2July:
Atlantic: Quiet. New version of the Euro predicts increased tropical wave activity from Africa to Caribbean region mid/late July.

Epac: Another system may form near S Mexico coast similar to Beatriz.
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Old 07-09-2023, 05:26 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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https://twitter.com/breakingweather/...07564155600898
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Old 07-09-2023, 04:20 PM
 
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Sun 9July:
Atlantic: overall quiet.
-while there’s a large plume of SAL, there is a tropical wave on the South side trying to sneak under it. Typically these don’t survive but you always have to watch ‘em just in case.
-Also a sub-tropical system may try to form between Bermuda and the Azores later this week.


EPac: still wave train of potential systems S of Mexico but look to stay off shore and out to sea.
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Old 07-12-2023, 05:59 PM
 
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Wed 12July 8pEDT:
Atlantic: 94L between Bermuda & The Azores 60% develops into Sub-tropical system briefly this week / weekend. System is a swirl of clouds associated with nearby frontal boundaries (and where the storms actually are at, SE of the swirl).
E Pac: TD3e became TS Calvin.
C Pac (Hawaii): Remnants of Calvin may move thru middle of next week.
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Old 07-12-2023, 06:01 PM
 
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You can forget any canes for a long time with the dry upper levels and shear.
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Old 07-13-2023, 06:31 PM
 
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Thurs 13July 8pEDT: Invest 94L between Bermuda and The Azores expected to meander around, no threat to land. Looking better this afternoon/evening, with high chance of sub-tropical development soon.
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