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Old 09-03-2008, 08:01 PM
 
Location: Middle Tennessee
206,812 posts, read 79,996,372 times
Reputation: 133663

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I don't know how big Ike really will be but if I can find them I'll compare to an image of Francis. I have a vivid memory of her covering most all of the FL peninsula at one time. She didn't do a lot of damage in my area because Charley beat her to it... I don't think Ike can do much more here either. He may find a few weak trees but not many. We shall see...
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Old 09-03-2008, 08:04 PM
 
Location: North Central Indiana
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I think Ike will be the next Andrew, but thats just a hunch.
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Old 09-03-2008, 09:09 PM
 
Location: Invercargill, New Zealand
2,818 posts, read 5,975,579 times
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Ike now a cat 4.







000
WTNT34 KNHC 040253
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008

...IKE BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST OR ABOUT 610 MILES...
980 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE WEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...TAKING IKE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IT IS TOO EARLY TO
DETERMINE WHAT IF ANY LAND AREAS MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE AFFECTED BY
IKE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY
FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...22.1 N...54.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Old 09-04-2008, 06:17 AM
 
Location: In a house
21,956 posts, read 22,132,241 times
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On the news last night they were comparing Ike to Hugo!
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Old 09-04-2008, 06:54 AM
 
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OMG if Ike hits southeast Florida then I'M in it's path
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Old 09-04-2008, 07:19 AM
 
Location: Middle Tennessee
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cynwldkat View Post
On the news last night they were comparing Ike to Hugo!
We as a nation don't need another Hugo. He was not nice if memory isn't failing me.
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Old 09-04-2008, 07:36 AM
 
Location: So. Dak.
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OMG, check out how huge that cane is! In the one map, it looks bigger then the whole state of Fla.
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Old 09-04-2008, 08:20 AM
 
Location: in the southwest
13,395 posts, read 41,916,546 times
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Ike looks ferocious. And dangerous.
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Old 09-04-2008, 09:08 AM
 
1,710 posts, read 5,195,481 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cynwldkat View Post
On the news last night they were comparing Ike to Hugo!
Ugh! I went through Hugo and it has reminded me of it since it came off the African coast. It's a little more condensed and north of where Hugo came across the Atlantic. This link will show the track of Hugo.
Hurricane Hugo 1989
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Old 09-04-2008, 09:42 AM
 
Location: Florida
7,269 posts, read 9,685,081 times
Reputation: 6023
September 4, 2008
Upated at 10:40 a.m.
Ken Kaye's Storm Center: Weather and Hurricane News for Fort Lauderdale, Palm Beach, Miami, Broward | Sun-Sentinel Blogs

Right now, it looks like Ike might be Hanna’s twin brother – a considerably bulked up brother.

Under this morning’s advisory, Category 4 Ike was projected to follow a course remarkably similar to that of Hanna – curving into the southern Bahamas and possibly turning northwest before reaching Florida.

If that happens, it certainly would be a relief for South Florida – because Ike is forecast to remain between Category 3 and Category 4 strength over the next five days.

But that is a huge if right now.

Ike’s future track depends largely on the same ridge of high pressure that is steering Hanna. If that ridge weakens or moves to the east, Ike takes a more easterly course, possibly even curving out to sea.

If that ridge remains strong, Ike becomes a dangerous threat to this region. Under a worst case scenario, under the current timeline, it would move into this region next Tuesday.

As it is, about half of the state already is in Ike’s cone of uncertainty.

At 11 a.m., Ike was in the Atlantic about 525 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands, or about 1,750 miles southeast of Miami. It was moving west-northwest at 16 mph with sustained winds of 140 mph, slightly weaker than it was at 5 a.m..

Based on its explosive growth on Wednesday, it wouldn’t be surprising if it surged to Category 5 strength.

Ike is very compact, with hurricane force winds that extend 45 miles from its core. It likely will expand, and how much could be a factor in how it impacts this region.

Currently, the model guidance is somewhat optimistic; most of the models show Ike remaining east of Florida’s coast. Again, don’t put too much stock in the models this early in the game, considering they still show a wide spread of opinion.

Bottom line: We watch and we wait to see how this plays out. After Fay, Gustav and Hanna, we’re getting pretty good at that.

Meanwhile, Hanna – remember Hanna? – was 245 miles east of Nassau this morning. It was moving northwest at 12 mph with sustained winds of 65 mph. It's still on course to move near this region by tonight or early on Friday.
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