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Old 04-04-2007, 08:52 AM
 
Location: ♥State of the heart♥
1,118 posts, read 4,758,007 times
Reputation: 865

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Quote:
Originally Posted by kar View Post
We are so glad we moved out Florida two years ago. No more hurricanes for us
No, now you need to worry about living near the New Madrid Fault Line. It just goes to show, it's always something.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Madrid_Fault_Line
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Old 04-04-2007, 09:57 AM
 
172 posts, read 846,987 times
Reputation: 238
I thought some of you might be wondering the names that are to be used this year.

2007 Hurricane Names

Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dean
Erin
Felix
Gabrielle
Humberto
Ingrid
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Noel
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy

Place your bets! In response to a previous poster (sunshine state), hurricanes and t. storms are named so they are easier to track. If you have three storms out in the ocean, you want to be able to clearly distinguish them in emergency broadcasts and in tracking models. Now, they used to be all women's names, but that was decried as sexist.
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Old 04-04-2007, 10:23 AM
 
Location: The best country in the world: the USA
1,499 posts, read 4,832,188 times
Reputation: 737
I already did place my bets at work. I know there will be at least 1 hurricane hitting by July 16.

And most of you know the odds are for me all the way here.
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Old 04-04-2007, 11:35 AM
 
2,313 posts, read 3,192,429 times
Reputation: 471
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nirvana-Guy View Post
I already did place my bets at work. I know there will be at least 1 hurricane hitting by July 16.

And most of you know the odds are for me all the way here.
Hitting where?
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Old 04-04-2007, 12:55 PM
 
Location: So. Dak.
13,495 posts, read 37,444,374 times
Reputation: 15205
Quote:
Originally Posted by Adream View Post
No, now you need to worry about living near the New Madrid Fault Line. It just goes to show, it's always something.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Madrid_Fault_Line
Adream, I'm glad you brought this up. Have you ever kept track of the small tremors from that fault? They happen pretty close to every day and some days there are a few tremors. Not sure if it's as huge as the San Andreas, but it's still there.
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Old 04-04-2007, 01:00 PM
 
40 posts, read 341,617 times
Reputation: 34
actually the rumors I always heard they were named after women because they couldnt make up their minds which they wanted to go, so maybe they shud name them after realtors, same difference with the added bonus they are lying....
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Old 04-04-2007, 04:11 PM
 
Location: somewhere in the south
403 posts, read 1,580,807 times
Reputation: 287
Hope we have a nice hurricane season and all the storms go away from us!
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Old 04-04-2007, 07:36 PM
 
Location: Heartland Florida
9,324 posts, read 26,749,371 times
Reputation: 5038
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nirvana-Guy View Post
I already did place my bets at work. I know there will be at least 1 hurricane hitting by July 16.

And most of you know the odds are for me all the way here.
I think that no cat 3 or better hurricane will hit any major city ( over 1 million people ) in 2007. After May is over I will make bets just like last year. I am always right!
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Old 04-04-2007, 07:37 PM
 
Location: Heartland Florida
9,324 posts, read 26,749,371 times
Reputation: 5038
Quote:
Originally Posted by kwflconch View Post
Hope we have a nice hurricane season and all the storms go away from us!
They will, you're a small target in a big sea!
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Old 04-05-2007, 01:55 PM
 
Location: Living in Paradise
5,701 posts, read 24,161,036 times
Reputation: 3064
From NOAA:

Readers are reminded that due to natural volatility in tropical cyclone track characteristics, annual errors can vary significantly from year to year. In some of the past 20 years the average forecast errors have departed from the long-term trend line by as much as 50 nautical miles (or nearly 50%). Such aberrations are expected to continue. The number of storms each year can also vary greatly. Statistics for years with particularly few storms might not be representative or statistically significant. For these reasons it is usually not appropriate to extrapolate performance reported in one year to project performance the following year. Projections, such as this GPRA goal, based on long-term trends are preferable.
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