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Old 02-05-2009, 10:01 AM
 
Location: East Northport
3,351 posts, read 9,759,118 times
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Housing prices on Long Island, are indeed, out of line with incomes. This is mainly due to the high property taxes. Each $6 monthly of property taxes equates into about $1000 less in borrowing power.
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Old 02-05-2009, 10:02 AM
 
Location: Nassau, Long Island, NY
16,408 posts, read 33,300,458 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jamie1219 View Post
It is true, as prospective first time home buyers we are outraged because costs for the past 6 years simply do not reflect average incomes. Even now as they start to come down, they are still...simply too high.

I think that if we were to buy now it would be like "catching a falling safe". People that are willing to buy at such high and unreasonable prices (mostly by taking out huge mortgages and living a life of serfdom) keep the prices high for the rest of us.

What we would actually get in a home for our 20% downpayment is (presently) laughable and just not worth it.

I feel that if you want to purchase a home, find out what it was worth before the bubble and then adjust is per year based on income growth. C
You can figure that out here:

Bubblemap of Long Island, NY

Scroll down the the "House Appreciation Estimator" and put in the last year the house was sold and the price it was sold at. The estimator calculates a gain of 3-5% per year (average income growth).

PS: The guy who runs the above-referenced website refers to it as "catching a falling knife."
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Old 02-05-2009, 10:02 AM
 
Location: East Northport
3,351 posts, read 9,759,118 times
Reputation: 1337
Quote:
Originally Posted by jamie1219 View Post
I feel that if you want to purchase a home, find out what it was worth before the bubble and then adjust is per year based on income growth. C
Good idea in theory, but will they sell it to you for that amount?
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Old 02-05-2009, 10:04 AM
 
Location: Nassau, Long Island, NY
16,408 posts, read 33,300,458 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TomMoser View Post
Good idea in theory, but will they sell it to you for that amount?
Each homeowner's situation is different, so no blanket statement can be made on that.

(Of course, if someone else offers them more for the house then they will take that.)
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Old 02-05-2009, 10:17 AM
 
Location: Nassau, Long Island, NY
16,408 posts, read 33,300,458 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TomMoser View Post
Housing prices on Long Island, are indeed, out of line with incomes. This is mainly due to the high property taxes. Each $6 monthly of property taxes equates into about $1000 less in borrowing power.
So basically a no-win situation. If the taxes were LESS, then homeowners would try and gouge buyers even more to make up for that because theoretically they can "afford" an even more jacked-up mortgage. (To me having to borrow huge amounts of money to put a non-luxury roof over one's head does not equal "power.")
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Old 02-05-2009, 10:18 AM
 
138 posts, read 270,634 times
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I dont see how property taxes are the reason for high prices of homes.

My point was that you should not have to borrow that type of money in order to live in a moderatehome. Borrowing that much money in order
to afford a home only benefits the lenders, mortgage brokers, and real estate agents and perhaps the lucky few who bought at fair prices and were able to sell and move out of the area
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Old 02-05-2009, 10:25 AM
 
138 posts, read 270,634 times
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My other point was that if prospective buyers boycott and refuse to buy houses priced at unreasonable costs that do not reflect income levels, then prices would have to be lowered.

I do however feel bad for people that did buy thinking that if they did not, they would be priced out.
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Old 02-05-2009, 10:37 AM
 
Location: Nassau, Long Island, NY
16,408 posts, read 33,300,458 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jamie1219 View Post
I do however feel bad for people that did buy thinking that if they did not, they would be priced out.
If they stay in the house they bought and use it as a home for several years (instead of a "get rich quick scheme") they will be fine and will not lose any money and will make a profit because time marches on and prices go up eventually. It will not be the end of the world if home price gains go back to slow and steady rather than the ridiculous gains flippers were making (which played a large part in driving up the prices to their current unaffordable situation).

If they expected to flip it in 2 years for $100,000 profit, then I don't feel sorry for them at all and they can rot.
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Old 02-05-2009, 12:51 PM
 
1,302 posts, read 3,306,271 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by I_Love_LI_but View Post
If they stay in the house they bought and use it as a home for several years (instead of a "get rich quick scheme") they will be fine and will not lose any money and will make a profit because time marches on and prices go up eventually. It will not be the end of the world if home price gains go back to slow and steady rather than the ridiculous gains flippers were making (which played a large part in driving up the prices to their current unaffordable situation).

If they expected to flip it in 2 years for $100,000 profit, then I don't feel sorry for them at all and they can rot.
I think LI will stay in some level of denial on the whole and drift a bit lower 5-10%, and then stagnate for many years...maybe up to 5, while the norms for this area of the country catch up a bit. Just my two cents.
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Old 02-05-2009, 01:41 PM
 
Location: East Northport
3,351 posts, read 9,759,118 times
Reputation: 1337
Quote:
Originally Posted by jamie1219 View Post
I dont see how property taxes are the reason for high prices of homes.
I wasn't saying that property taxes are the reason for the high price of homes. I was talking about affordability. When you have property taxes that are 10,000 to 12,000 per year, it makes homes unaffordable for many, even if they were sold at very low prices.
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