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Old 06-26-2010, 03:24 PM
 
Location: Lakewood, Ohio
560 posts, read 1,523,905 times
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Are there any reports yet where this thing is heading? Someone on NBC said Texas, maybe southwest Louisiana?

Hurricane season stresses me out. =(
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Old 06-26-2010, 03:33 PM
 
Location: Lafayette, La
2,047 posts, read 4,691,687 times
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Alex will be a Mexico storm.
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Old 06-26-2010, 03:53 PM
 
Location: City of Central
1,845 posts, read 3,808,714 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mdmagana View Post
Hurricane season stresses me out. =(
You want to talk stressed , I work for the power company .
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Old 06-26-2010, 04:01 PM
 
Location: Lafayette, La
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Id be more watchful of the area of weather located much further east. ITs only a 10% chance of forming anything though.
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Old 06-27-2010, 10:53 AM
 
Location: New Orleans, LA
10 posts, read 32,186 times
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Right now, the best guess of the National Hurricane Center is for Alex to emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche as a Tropical Depression, but it will strengthen over the next couple of days to near, or exceeding, hurricane strength. Best guess on landfall is far northern Mexico, or far southern Texas.

Computer models are still having a tough time with consistency, meaning that some computer models show landfall a bit further south, and others show landfall along the central Gulf Coast. The models that indicate a central Gulf Coast landfall do so because they are predicting a weaking of the high pressure ridge over the southeast US, which would allow Alex to turn north. Most models, however, are keeping this high pressure ridge strong enough to keep Alex moving west or northwestward, keeping it away from Louisiana.

It should be noted, however, that Alex is a large system, and some outer bands on the north side are already near the oil spill site and are nearing the coast.
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Old 06-27-2010, 01:24 PM
 
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wouldn't the oil spill slow it down
that would be the only thing that would come out good with this oil spill nightmare
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Old 06-27-2010, 03:47 PM
 
Location: Lafayette, La
2,047 posts, read 4,691,687 times
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no the oil spill wouldnt do anything to the storm. Its not going to go anywhere near the central Gulf Coast though. weaker storms trend west along with the westerly winds. Stronger storm trend more northward along weaknesses in high pressure boundaries. This storm is already too far west to impact the central Gulf coast, and has already passed the average recurve threshold.
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Old 06-27-2010, 07:38 PM
 
Location: New Orleans, LA
10 posts, read 32,186 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by axewoman1 View Post
wouldn't the oil spill slow it down
I don't think there is any known mechanism by which oil on the surface of the ocean could slow down a hurricane. Some have indicated their belief that the oil may change the evaporation rate of the affected area, but it is so close to the coast that coastal effects would dwarf any effects from the oil.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Innotech
This storm is already too far west to impact the central Gulf coast
Depends on your definition of "impact" - the storm is large enough that even a landfall in central Texas could have outer bands affecting the Louisiana coast and the oil spill site. Some bands have already formed just off shore. If the storm turns northeasterly after landfall, heavy rainfall could become a concern.
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Old 06-29-2010, 04:55 PM
 
1,113 posts, read 1,996,486 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by axewoman1 View Post
wouldn't the oil spill slow it down
that would be the only thing that would come out good with this oil spill nightmare
no, the oil won't do anything to slow down a hurricane.

what will likely occur, even with the storm heading off to upper mexico...
the wave activity will increase due to the rotation of the storm and the
Louisiana marshes will be impacted by higher than normal tidal activity.

what that means... is more oil much farther into the marsh.


anyone beginning to realize that the oil companies don't really have a clue?

you should have seen what they got away with in the 50s, 60s and 70s.
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