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Old 01-19-2016, 07:35 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619

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Quote:
Originally Posted by UpTheCreek View Post
Maybe it'll tic north some .

Lots of room to. Naturally storms wobble and I've seen changes in the track even 12-24hrs before so plenty of time and room to shift.


With every storm there is always someone that gets screwed or gets inside the bullseye zones.


Lets keep an eye on the trends.


NWS is being cautious and conservative. Don't blame them but what else is new.
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Old 01-19-2016, 08:08 AM
 
Location: Philippines
217 posts, read 199,959 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Lots of room to. Naturally storms wobble and I've seen changes in the track even 12-24hrs before so plenty of time and room to shift.


With every storm there is always someone that gets screwed or gets inside the bullseye zones.


Lets keep an eye on the trends.


NWS is being cautious and conservative. Don't blame them but what else is new.
I do hear a lot of folks (with much more knowledge and experience than me) say they always tend to tick north, but I don't know if that's fact or just wishcasting. No matter the outcome, it's good to see a big storm in this "Nino" environment this year. Here's hoping for the best but expecting the worst!
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Old 01-19-2016, 09:41 AM
 
3,925 posts, read 4,130,367 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Latest Euro model screws Vermont and Maine. These are the details that start coming around as we get closer. Track.


Euro stays too far south for Maine to get hit with this storm Saturday but don't worry, Canadian and GFS still has Southern Maine inside some accumulations
Long term /Friday through Monday/...
the high builds over the area Friday with lighter winds and less
cloud cover on Friday. This will set the stage for good
radiational cooling Friday night with widespread subzero readings
north and near zero towards Bangor. The current thinking on the
weekend storm system is that it will track well south of the
region with the best chance for any snow along the coast and down
east where likely probability of precipitation were continued. Maintained chance probability of precipitation into
Aroostook County on Sunday...but may have to reduce probability of precipitation if 12z
guidance continues to favor the track well south of Nova Scotia.
An upper level ridge will build Sunday into Monday. Temperatures
will moderate with highs moving into the 20s across the entire
area and even some low 30s towards the coast.

Looks like central Virginia not Maine.

Last edited by slyfox2; 01-19-2016 at 09:58 AM..
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Old 01-19-2016, 10:23 AM
 
Location: Philippines
217 posts, read 199,959 times
Reputation: 313
Quite a cut-off for Maine! Still time to change a bit.....and it will, either way.

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Old 01-19-2016, 11:48 AM
 
3,925 posts, read 4,130,367 times
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The ski resorts in Vermont and NH and being screwed too!
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Old 01-20-2016, 04:49 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619
You can thank El Nino. Active Sub Tropical Jet = lots of moisture. Whats funny is I and some others were looking at past Nino years last fall and saw more times than none that the Southeast and Mid Atlantic had the snows, not the northern tier. Wonder if that's the case again this winter.


Maine is not going to benefit from this storm. but keep checking in on that thread I created in the weather forum. I'll post updates and pictures throughout. Should be fun to see whats going on and who gets what!


Poor New England Ski Resorts. Can't get a break.


At least its cold and they can keep making snow.
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Old 01-20-2016, 11:46 AM
 
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It is a slow moving storm, and a wobble just a bit northwest could drop another 6-7 inches on Downeast.
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Old 01-20-2016, 02:29 PM
 
Location: Maine
1,246 posts, read 1,301,068 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slyfox2 View Post
It is a slow moving storm, and a wobble just a bit northwest could drop another 6-7 inches on Downeast.
Hope so.. It has been a bit of a boring winter this year compared to last year....
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Old 01-21-2016, 04:00 PM
 
3,925 posts, read 4,130,367 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maineborzoi View Post
Hope so.. It has been a bit of a boring winter this year compared to last year....
Less and less chance now. Looks like its heading out to sea just south of Boston. No snow for MDI, much less Eastport. Blame that big Canadian High thats giving us such nice weather at the moment.
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Old 01-21-2016, 10:07 PM
 
Location: Maine
1,246 posts, read 1,301,068 times
Reputation: 960
Quote:
Originally Posted by slyfox2 View Post
Less and less chance now. Looks like its heading out to sea just south of Boston. No snow for MDI, much less Eastport. Blame that big Canadian High thats giving us such nice weather at the moment.
Yea but that has been a good thing after last winter.

This Blizzard Jonas that is going to hit in Virginia etc looks like similar one to the 2010 one that hit us hard when we lived down there. We got 34" in that storm with blizzard conditions, hard winds etc. ( ie Snow-Maggeden. ).
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