NH primary (funny outcome) (places, single, percentage)

[PacoMartin]

This post may apply to many of the other 35 states with primaries.

NH proportions votes by the winning percentage plus unassigned percentage. Candidates who earn less than 10% in NH are not eligible for delegates, but normally, the unassigned percentage is small.

In the previous two Republican primaries, three candidates each time were given at least one delegate. Based on poll numbers it will probably be four candidates this time.

But the large field expected to earn less than 10% will make the unassigned percentage unusually large.

total percent =percent you win +unassigned percentage
2008 John McCain : 37.71% + 18.68% = 56.39% (McCain got 7 out of 12 delegates for NH)
2012 Mitt Romney : 39.30% + 20.90% = 60.20% (Romney got 7 out of 12 delegates for NH)
2016 Donald Trump: 30.40%+ 34.60% = 65.00% (Trump could get 8 or 9 out of 12 delegates for NH)

If this is repeated for primary after primary, Trump could surprise people by getting the needed delegates for the nomination.

-------------------
Based on polls it is believed that Donald Trump will do much better in the 35 states that hold primaries, and will face a more difficult battle in the states with a caucus . A caucus will be more likely to attract the so called "single issue voter" (SIV). For example many SIVs are against abortion, and that is there make or break criteria for selecting a candidate. Trump and Cruz are polling near even in Iowa, while Cruz is in the pack in NH.

[Northeastah]

why is this posted here? there's an elections forum

[PacoMartin]

Originally Posted by Northeastah

why is this posted here? there's an elections forum

I posted it both places. This one got a response.