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Old 10-28-2012, 12:01 PM
 
16,825 posts, read 17,682,573 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nexis4Jersey View Post
As a dying Tropical storm
Please refrain from speaking for NOAA

According to their website

Hurricane SANDY

It will not be a "dying tropical storm" when it makes landfall.

According to NOAA at the current time of landfall, somewhere a bit later than 8pm on Monday it still has a 54% chance of being a cat 1 and a 44% chance of being a trop storm and only a 2% chance of being a "dead tropical storm".

By Tuesday 8am, that probability of being a tropical storm goes up to 62% but that is well after predicted landfall. Even so, its still a 26% chance of a hurricane, and the odds of being "dying" are only 10%.

I am not sure why you are trying to down play a serious storm.

It is not the armageddon that TWC is playing up but people should take some simple precautions. Get some canned food, put batteries in the flashlight, and if you live in a flood zone, be ready to leave.

Last edited by lkb0714; 10-28-2012 at 12:12 PM..
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Old 10-28-2012, 12:12 PM
 
Location: In an indoor space
7,685 posts, read 6,176,073 times
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Watch out of all this hype Sandy pulls a fast one and does a due east.
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Old 10-28-2012, 12:14 PM
 
16,825 posts, read 17,682,573 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lol-its-good4U View Post
Watch out of all this hype Sandy pulls a fast one and does a due east.
It absolutely might.

But is it really that big a deal if you got ready in a reasonable manner and it didn't hit?

Bottled water, some canned food, batteries, etc, are things people should have on hand anyway.
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Old 10-28-2012, 12:19 PM
 
Location: In an indoor space
7,685 posts, read 6,176,073 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lkb0714 View Post
It absolutely might.

But is it really that big a deal if you got ready in a reasonable manner and it didn't hit?

Bottled water, some canned food, batteries, etc, are things people should have on hand anyway.
We've had that for years stocked in the garage, then after a bit we consume the canned foods about to expire and replenish.
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Old 10-28-2012, 01:19 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
11,318 posts, read 16,634,674 times
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Gotta laugh (instead of cry).

We're moving on wed and everything is packed.

So who here would like two people for a few meals should the power go out?

I promise not to talk politics or religion.
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Old 10-28-2012, 01:23 PM
 
Location: NJ/NY
10,655 posts, read 18,634,706 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lkb0714 View Post
It absolutely might.

But is it really that big a deal if you got ready in a reasonable manner and it didn't hit?

Bottled water, some canned food, batteries, etc, are things people should have on hand anyway.
Exactly, I don't understand why people act like people stocking up on emergency items are crazy or overreacting. I bought some bottled water, batteries, ice, canned food, and made sure I had a full tank of gas 2 days ago. If the storm doesn't hit, it's not like I won't use those things.
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Old 10-28-2012, 01:35 PM
 
Location: NJ
4,940 posts, read 12,114,993 times
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As a general rule, if you're north or east of the storm's center you get less rain but higher winds. South and west of the storm gets very heavy rain and slightly less wind. They're predicting rain totals close to 10" or more in DE/MD, and about 3-4" in North Jersey.
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Old 10-28-2012, 02:28 PM
 
Location: NJ
12,283 posts, read 35,633,913 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ansky View Post
As a general rule, if you're north or east of the storm's center you get less rain but higher winds. South and west of the storm gets very heavy rain and slightly less wind. They're predicting rain totals close to 10" or more in DE/MD, and about 3-4" in North Jersey.
What if you are northwest?
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Old 10-28-2012, 02:36 PM
 
1,221 posts, read 2,103,555 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tahiti View Post
What if you are northwest?
3-6" currently: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/zoo...l_Days_1-5.gif

As a note, that model (IIRC) is known for being somewhat conservative with forecasts, and it's predictions from 8AM today as of this posting, although it will update.
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Old 10-28-2012, 03:28 PM
 
Location: NJ
802 posts, read 1,677,964 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by millerm277 View Post
3-6" currently: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/zoo...l_Days_1-5.gif

As a note, that model (IIRC) is known for being somewhat conservative with forecasts, and it's predictions from 8AM today as of this posting, although it will update.
Stinks being color blind
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