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Old 10-25-2013, 05:05 AM
 
Location: Beautiful Pelham Parkway,The Bronx
9,247 posts, read 24,092,135 times
Reputation: 7759

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For what it's worth,there is a piece in today's post about the national trend of crime rates over the last 20 years.Down 70 plus percent over the last 20 years nationally, with an up trend the last 2 years that they admit is a reporting statistical error.

Violent crime continues to rise across US | New York Post

"The data paint a gloomier picture of crime in America because it often includes assaults, robberies and sexual attacks not reported to police......

"The rate of violent crime that actually was reported to police did not change significantly from 2011 to 2012, the report said.."

" From 1993 to 2011, the rate of violent crime declined by 72 percent".


According to compstat,the crime rate in NYC has dropped an almost identical 74.47 % over the last 20 years:
http://www.nyc.gov/html/nypd/downloa...ics/cscity.pdf

So how can any one individual claim credit for something that was a national trend ? That's just ridiculous.Let's try to look at facts and use our heads around here.

Anyone going to accuse The Post of being pro De Blasio because they are pointing out that crime is down nationally by the same % as in NYC over the last 20 years ?

Last edited by bluedog2; 10-25-2013 at 05:20 AM..
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Old 10-25-2013, 05:46 AM
 
2,770 posts, read 3,543,883 times
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Crime did go down nationally in general during that period.

However, how do explain how other major cities, which have much smaller population than NYC, like Detroit, DC, Chicago have a much higher rate of violent crime and murder than NYC? Its no coincidence.
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Old 10-25-2013, 05:53 AM
 
Location: Beautiful Pelham Parkway,The Bronx
9,247 posts, read 24,092,135 times
Reputation: 7759
Quote:
Originally Posted by 85dumbo View Post
Crime did go down nationally in general during that period.

However, how do explain how other major cities, which have much smaller population than NYC, like Detroit, DC, Chicago have a much higher rate of violent crime and murder than NYC? Its no coincidence.
But there are more,like Boston ,San Francisco and Washington DC that have had the same decrease.As far as I know,Guiliani,Bloomberg and Kelly weren't at work in these places.Tom Menino has been the mayor of Boston for over 20 years and has presided over the same dramatic decrease in crime but you don't hear him taking credit for it there.He didn't need to.He had other accomplishments that got him re elected over and over and over again.Even after 20 years,he could have been mayor for another 8 or 12 years if he wanted it.

It's the places that haven't seen a decrease that are the anomaly.Everywhere else has been just riding the trend.

FBI Statistics: Major Violent Crime Rate's Dramatic Reduction

Last edited by bluedog2; 10-25-2013 at 06:18 AM..
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Old 10-25-2013, 06:16 AM
 
Location: Newark, NJ/BK
1,268 posts, read 2,563,465 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hilltopjay View Post
All this article does is make De Blasio look better and more compentant in crime fighting which he is not.
How is DeBlasio even a factor when they're talking about the crime decrease in the 90s?

He's not even elected mayor yet and you're dismissing him. Give him at least 24 hours...Sheesh!
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Old 10-25-2013, 07:06 AM
 
2,228 posts, read 3,691,927 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NyWriterdude View Post
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/22/ny...era.html?_r=1&

"The ragged, jagged, terrifying crime spree that peaked in the early 1990s was not unique to New York. It was a nationwide bloodletting, afflicting cities small, medium and large. And two other horsemen of the apocalypse, the epidemics of crack and AIDS, galloped hard in those years.

In Los Angeles, homicides peaked at 1,092 in 1992; the total stood at 292 last year. In Washington, D.C., homicides hit a high of 482 in 1991; the number stood at 88 on Monday. Dallas recorded 500 in 1991; it had 154 in 2012. In Chicago, homicides crested at 942 in 1991 and stood at 500 last year.

Policing had a hand in this decline, along with demographics and the brave willingness of neighbors to organize and fight back. This was particularly true in New York City, where crime has fallen far faster than the national average."

So basically, the people in the neighborhoods themselves were factors in the crime reduction. Not only in community organizing to fight back, it became a lot less popular to do crack and certain other drugs after people saw how many people either directly died from drugs or got Aids and died from drugs. Or killed each other. The self destruction played a big role in the decline in crime.

The Times article is saying that there are many different factors in the reduction of crime, and it happened nationally in all major cities. Its not a matter of Giuliani and Bloomberg being some sort of magical saviors.
The once proud grey lady is so hell bent to the left they have zero validity. I do enjoy their travel and real estate sections. Unfortunately I cancelled my subscription while still living in Riverdale.
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Old 10-25-2013, 07:31 AM
 
Location: Bergen County, NJ
9,847 posts, read 25,256,203 times
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To give two individuals all the credit was always silly. Clearly the end of the crack era was a huge factor.
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Old 10-25-2013, 07:38 AM
 
2,228 posts, read 3,691,927 times
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The guy who's always forgotten is Jack Maple. He's the actual brains and the originator of Compstat. Bratton who was the Transit commish pre merge liked the ideas Maple was doing. Transit was seeing huge drops in crime compared to their counterparts in the NYPD and Housing. When Rudy became Mayor he appointed Bratton who in turn bought along his trusted LT from Transit Maple. The rest his history. BTW one of the head b@llbusters at Comstat Ed Norris parlayed his success into the HBO hit The Wire.
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Old 10-25-2013, 09:20 AM
 
15,868 posts, read 14,504,042 times
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And many of these people eventually left the NYPD and evangelized the the techniques the NYPD started around the country, and still do. Currently Bratton is, IIRC, running the LAPD. NY was at the forefront of the turn around, and even on a national basis, drove it by example, and by development of the techniques that were used nationally.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Norwood Boy View Post
The guy who's always forgotten is Jack Maple. He's the actual brains and the originator of Compstat. Bratton who was the Transit commish pre merge liked the ideas Maple was doing. Transit was seeing huge drops in crime compared to their counterparts in the NYPD and Housing. When Rudy became Mayor he appointed Bratton who in turn bought along his trusted LT from Transit Maple. The rest his history. BTW one of the head b@llbusters at Comstat Ed Norris parlayed his success into the HBO hit The Wire.
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Old 10-25-2013, 09:22 AM
 
15,868 posts, read 14,504,042 times
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And what do you think ended the crack era? It was the combination of much more intensive policing, and tougher laws (a lot of this was at the federal level. Look at the difference in sentencing between convictions for trafficing powder cocaine vs crack.)

Quote:
Originally Posted by NooYowkur81 View Post
To give two individuals all the credit was always silly. Clearly the end of the crack era was a huge factor.
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Old 10-25-2013, 09:27 AM
PPL
 
95 posts, read 152,292 times
Reputation: 67
its video games.
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