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I don't care about good day, 500+ death today already. It's different waves, the 20k+ infected report the past week or so are gonna hit the hospitals soon. We won't know for sure until we have a full month of flatten curve.
Once you lift the ban, the infected goes out again and another outbreak. We won't be normal until 70% of the population gets infected or the vaccine is out.
Some things that are encouraging are the following:
1. Singapore (though being a major cosmopolitan transportation hub, and having relatively strong geographic/demographic connection with the origin of the pandemic) has had only 6 deaths from the virus. Some of that is attributable to strict handling of the situation in this well-run city nation, bit still does not explain why the entire country of Thailand (where another cosmopolitan city, in many ways similar to Singapore, is located) had only 26 deaths, and Hong Kong only 4. These places had cases of coronavirus very early in the epidemic, before Italy, so it is not that the epidemic had not enough time to progress. It just basically did not progress much, the figures are lower than for an ordinary flu.
2. There have been cases throughout Africa, but also very little apparent spread.
What the three Asian mega-cities have in common is the mild climate (ie, tropical climate in case of two of them). They also have that in common with Africa. To me, these data give a cautious hope that the virus may not do well in warmer environment, which (in combination with measures to restrict exposure) could end the pandemic.... We'll see.
it's been a good few days, you are not paying attention.
Yes it's bad news 500 are dying a day but projections showed 2000+ would be dying in NY per day by now. It's not happening so that's GOOD NEWS and a GOOD TREND.
I know some of you just HATE good news. Makes me wonder what kind of situation you have going on that you actually fight good news when it's in front of your face.
Some things that are encouraging are the following:
1. Singapore (though being a major cosmopolitan transportation hub, and having relatively strong geographic/demographic connection with the origin of the pandemic) has had only 6 deaths from the virus. Some of that is attributable to strict handling of the situation in this well-run city nation, bit still does not explain why the entire country of Thailand (where another cosmopolitan city, in many ways similar to Singapore, is located) had only 26 deaths, and Hong Kong only 4. These places had cases of coronavirus very early in the epidemic, before Italy, so it is not that the epidemic had not enough time to progress. It just basically did not progress much, the figures are lower than for an ordinary flu.
2. There have been cases throughout Africa, but also very little apparent spread.
What the three Asian mega-cities have in common is the mild climate (ie, tropical climate in case of two of them). They also have that in common with Africa. To me, these data give a cautious hope that the virus may not do well in warmer environment, which (in combination with measures to restrict exposure) could end the pandemic.... We'll see.
I'm curious if they're doing or have done simulated testing to see if the virus survives in warmer climates. Doesn't seem like something that's hard to do with today's technology. Of course, it's not going to help us until late June at the earliest, but I'd figure that sort of information would calm a lot of people and give a sort of timeline that many seem to be looking for (at least in my life).
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