There is no reason to believe that we aren't headed the way of Italy and with the biggest hit here like in Milan although we do have the best hospitals. So the hospital beds with ICUs god be good but quickly filled so you cant get to one. In Italy there are some 20 and 30 year olds with no preexisting conditions coming down with sever pneumonia.
I could go upstate but the virus is starting to sweep the country. Hospitals are not as good up there.
It's hard to figure out, you've got the density of the population vs, the capacity
We probably have 2 month minimum of this to a peak, then another two months to come down off the peak. Jobs will be scarce here. But it depends on what would happen elsewhere in comparison.
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https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/11/n...g-newyork.html
NY Times 3/11
Cuomo has declared that the state should be testing 1,000 people a day.
In New York, at least, the reality seems far more complicated.
Numerous interviews with doctors, hospital administrators and health officials this week revealed a confused and often troubled testing system in New York that has left many people who believe that they have been exposed to the coronavirus deeply frustrated.
The accounts suggest that the state and local governments have at times struggled to roll out one of the most effective means for responding to the epidemic: widespread testing.
Fewer than 2,000 people in total have been tested since New York was approved to test in-state in late February, even with an escalation in testing in the last several days, according to officials.
For now it appears that a large majority of New Yorkers who end up having the coronavirus are likely to not know it during the duration of their illness because testing is so limited.
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So if they were actually doing 1,000 people a day it's not like that is a vaccine or cure, we have 8 million people in the city. It looks just like Italy to me and for the city specifically like Milan
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