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Old 10-02-2012, 10:01 PM
 
Location: E ND & NW MN
4,818 posts, read 11,023,656 times
Reputation: 3633

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Latest model trends late this Tues evening is showing the potential for a larger part of the state of ND to get hit with snow Wed eve into Thursday morning.... heaviest by far Grand Forks region into Minnesota but even Minot-Bismarck areas could see accumulations.
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Old 10-03-2012, 07:59 AM
 
Location: Spots Wyoming
18,700 posts, read 42,135,592 times
Reputation: 2147483647
Default Winter Weather Advisory, Western North Dakota, 10-3-12

Urgent - winter weather message
national weather service bismarck nd
416 am cdt wed oct 3 2012

...winter weather advisory tonight through thursday morning...

.a strong surface low pressure system centered over western
nebraska and south dakota this morning is forecast to intensify
and move northeastward towards lake superior on thursday. This
system is forecast to bring rain and snow to much of the northern
plains over the next couple of days. In western and central north
dakota...rain will continue to develop today. Rain should begin
mixing with and changing over to all snow late this afternoon in
the far west. A rain and snow mix this evening in central north
dakota should become all snow by midnight and continue into
thursday morning.

Total snowfall amounts for much of western and central north
dakota by thursday afternoon are expected to range from 1 to 2
inches...with 2 to 3 inches possible from the turtle mountains to
the jamestown area.

Since this is the first snowfall event with brisk winds...along
with a big temperature change from the relatively mild autumn
experienced so far...a winter weather advisory has been issued.
Travelers should slow down and allow extra time to reach your
destination.

Ndz001>004-009>012-017>022-031>035-040>046-031730-
/o.new.kbis.ww.y.0011.121004t0000z-121004t1500z/
divide-burke-renville-bottineau-williams-mountrail-ward-mchenry-
mckenzie-dunn-mercer-oliver-mclean-sheridan-golden valley-
billings-stark-morton-burleigh-slope-hettinger-grant-bowman-adams-
sioux-emmons-
including the cities of...crosby...bowbells...mohall...
Bottineau...williston...new town...minot...towner...
Watford city...killdeer...beulah...hazen...center...garris on...
Mcclusky...beach...medora...dickinson...mandan...b ismarck...
Marmarth...mott...elgin...bowman...hettinger...for t yates...
Linton
416 am cdt wed oct 3 2012 /316 am mdt wed oct 3 2012/

...winter weather advisory in effect from 7 pm cdt /6 pm mdt/
this evening to 10 am cdt /9 am mdt/ thursday...

The national weather service in bismarck has issued a winter
weather advisory for 1 to 3 inches of snow...which is in effect from 7
pm cdt /6 pm mdt/ this evening to 10 am cdt /9 am mdt/ thursday.

* timing...tonight through thursday morning

* main impact...rain and snow changing to all snow

* other impacts...gusty north winds of 15 to 30 mph.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Be prepared for snow and slush on roads and reduced visibilities
at times. Use extra caution while traveling. The north dakota state
patrol advises...do not use the cruise control in these winter
driving conditions.
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Old 10-03-2012, 08:01 AM
 
Location: Spots Wyoming
18,700 posts, read 42,135,592 times
Reputation: 2147483647
Default Winter Storm Watch, North Eastern ND, 10-3-12

Urgent - winter weather message
national weather service grand forks nd
418 am cdt wed oct 3 2012

...early winter storm possible across the northern red river
valley into northwest minnesota thursday and thursday night...

.a low pressure system will develop and move into central
minnesota. As this system develops...rain will spread into the
region today and continue into thursday morning. The rain is
expected to mix with and then change over to all snow by thursday.
The snow may be heavy at times...especially across the northern
red river valley into northwest minnesota. The potential exists
for 6 or more inches of snow across this area. North winds will
strengthen on thursday...possibly leading to areas of near zero
visibility in falling and blowing snow. The track of this system
is still a bit uncertain...but confidence is increasing for heavy
snowfall and reduced visibility across the northern red river
valley into northwest minnesota.

Mnz001-002-004-007-ndz008-016-027-030-050600-
/o.new.kfgf.ws.a.0003.121004t0600z-121005t0600z/
west polk-norman-kittson-west marshall-pembina-eastern walsh-
grand forks-traill-
including the cities of...crookston...east grand forks...
Halstad...hallock...warren...cavalier...grafton... grand forks...
Mayville
418 am cdt wed oct 3 2012

...winter storm watch in effect from late tonight through late
thursday night...

The national weather service in grand forks has issued a winter
storm watch...which is in effect from late tonight through late
thursday night.

* timing...rain is expected to change to snow late tonight and
continue through thursday. The snow may be heavy at times.

* winds...north winds will increase on thursday and become 20 to
30 mph with higher gusts.

* visibilities...may be near zero on thursday within falling and
blowing snow.

* snow accumulations...6 or more inches are possible.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A winter storm watch means there is a potential for significant
snow that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.
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Old 10-09-2012, 08:13 AM
 
Location: Spots Wyoming
18,700 posts, read 42,135,592 times
Reputation: 2147483647
Default Reminder from NWS

The shelter and warmth of a vehicle can lead to a false sense of security during
winter travel. By using the following safety rules, you can help protect
your family from the harshness of winter.

Protect Yourself and Your Family

Check the latest forecast and road report before you set out. Call 511 for travel information in Montana.

Dress for the outdoor conditions, not for the warmth of the vehicle.

Have your vehicle winterized...give it a checkup.

Include a winter survival kit. Try not to travel alone, and stay on major roads. Let someone know the
route you are taking and when you plan to arrive.

Keep your gas tank full.

If you become stranded, stay with the vehicle. Do not try to walk away from the vehicle unless you can
see a place of safety at a reasonable distance.

If stranded, run the motor for about 10 minutes each hour for heat. Open a window slightly for fresh air.
Make sure the exhaust pipe is not blocked.

If stranded, tie a brightly colored cloth to the antenna, or let it hang from a rolled-up window on the side
of the vehicle nearest the road. Turn on the dome light at night when the motor is running. This will
make your vehicle more visible to rescuers.

If stranded, don’t allow all occupants sleep at the same time. Be sure someone stays awake! If you are
alone, stay awake! Move around, clap your hands, rub your legs, and stretch.
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Old 10-17-2012, 06:25 AM
 
Location: Spots Wyoming
18,700 posts, read 42,135,592 times
Reputation: 2147483647
Default High Wind Warning, MOST of North Dakota, 10-17-12

Urgent - weather message
national weather service bismarck nd
303 am cdt wed oct 17 2012

...very strong winds will begin this morning and continue through
thursday...

.a high wind warning is in effect for western and central north
dakota through thursday afternoon. A rapidly strengthening low
pressure system will track across the northern plains and become
stationary over minnesota through thursday. Northwest winds
at 40 mph gusting to 65 mph were located along the western border
at 3 am cdt wednesday morning. These strong winds will spread
into central north dakota by midday. Winds will weaken slightly on
wednesday night...but will steadily increase to 40 mph gusting to
65 mph again by thursday mid-morning.

With winds this strong...motorists...especially those in high
profile vehicles...will encounter difficult driving conditions.
Those working in elevated locations such as rooftops and towers
will be at risk. Infrastructure such as roofs and power lines may
become damaged. Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly.

Continue to listen to noaa weather radio or consult
weather.gov/bis for the latest updates on these high winds.

Ndz001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-171615-
/o.con.kbis.hw.w.0006.000000t0000z-121019t0000z/
divide-burke-renville-williams-mountrail-ward-mckenzie-dunn-
mercer-oliver-mclean-golden valley-billings-stark-morton-slope-
hettinger-grant-bowman-adams-sioux-
including the cities of...crosby...bowbells...mohall...
Williston...new town...minot...watford city...killdeer...beulah...
Hazen...center...garrison...beach...medora...dicki nson...mandan...
Marmarth...mott...elgin...bowman...hettinger...for t yates
303 am cdt wed oct 17 2012 /203 am mdt wed oct 17 2012/

...high wind warning remains in effect until 7 pm cdt /6 pm mdt/
thursday...

* timing...through thursday.

* winds...northwest at 40 mph gusting to 65 mph.

* impacts...motorists...especially those in high profile
vehicles...will encounter difficult driving conditions. Those
working in elevated locations such as rooftops and towers will
be at risk. Infrastructure such as roofs and power lines may
become damaged. Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A high wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or is occurring. Sustained winds of at least 40 mph...and or
gusts of 58 mph or higher can lead to property damage.
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Old 10-27-2012, 09:45 PM
 
4,236 posts, read 8,166,515 times
Reputation: 10208
The NWS really blew today's weather report for the Fargo area. I have about 3-4 inches of snow on the ground
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Old 10-27-2012, 09:49 PM
 
Location: Spots Wyoming
18,700 posts, read 42,135,592 times
Reputation: 2147483647
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fargobound View Post
The NWS really blew today's weather report for the Fargo area. I have about 3-4 inches of snow on the ground
What was their forecast?
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Old 10-27-2012, 09:58 PM
 
Location: E ND & NW MN
4,818 posts, read 11,023,656 times
Reputation: 3633
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fargobound View Post
The NWS really blew today's weather report for the Fargo area. I have about 3-4 inches of snow on the ground
I work for NWS GF but not at work today. But yeah looks like a good banding set up...and those are awfully hard to tell....30 mile wide band of heavy snow. I see we are trying to play catch up
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Old 11-03-2012, 07:02 PM
 
Location: Spots Wyoming
18,700 posts, read 42,135,592 times
Reputation: 2147483647
Default Freezing Rain Advisory, North West ND, 11-3-12

Urgent - winter weather message
national weather service bismarck nd
348 pm cdt sat nov 3 2012

...icy conditions expected across northern into central north
dakota late tonight through sunday morning...

.a freezing rain advisory is in effect from 3 am to noon cst
sunday for much of northern and portions of central north dakota.
Locations such as williston...watford city...minot...beulah...bottineau
and mcclusky can expect freezing rain amounts around a tenth of an
inch...with isolated higher amounts. Freezing rain is expected to
move into northwest north dakota before daybreak...and quickly
spread east sunday morning. Some sleet may mix in with the
freezing rain at times. Roads will become icy and very
hazardous...and travel could become difficult late tonight through
sunday morning. Conditions are expected to improve from west to
east late sunday morning and sunday afternoon as road temperatures
warm.

Ndz001>004-009>012-017>022-040500-
/o.new.kbis.zr.y.0001.121104t0900z-121104t1800z/
divide-burke-renville-bottineau-williams-mountrail-ward-mchenry-
mckenzie-dunn-mercer-oliver-mclean-sheridan-
including the cities of...crosby...bowbells...mohall...
Bottineau...williston...new town...minot...towner...
Watford city...killdeer...beulah...hazen...center...garris on...
Mcclusky
348 pm cdt sat nov 3 2012

...freezing rain advisory in effect from 3 am to noon cst
sunday...

The national weather service in bismarck has issued a freezing
rain advisory...which is in effect from 3 am to noon cst sunday.

* timing...late tonight through sunday morning.

* ice accumulations...around 0.1 inches...isolated amounts around
0.2 inches.

* some sleet mixed with the freezing rain at times...with little
or no sleet accumulation expected.

* impacts...roads will become very slick and hazardous. Conditions
will improve from west to east late sunday morning and afternoon
as road temperatures warm.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A freezing rain advisory means that freezing rain or freezing
drizzle will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for slippery
roads and sidewalks. Slow down and use extra caution while
driving.
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Old 11-03-2012, 08:37 PM
 
Location: E ND & NW MN
4,818 posts, read 11,023,656 times
Reputation: 3633
A heads up models are more and more into agreement that a strong storm will impact ND this next weeked (11-12th of Nov). Indications are that the western, central into parts of northeast ND could be in line for heavy snow and strong winds.... then a strong push of cold air behind it.

Dan
NWS GF
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