Lets Guess when the last of the huge piles of snow will be melted!

[Caladium]

Hats off the Leighland and to the OP for correct guesses. Whatever was left of the old snowpiles will be refrozen by this next storm and may not be melting until April.

[leighland]

Originally Posted by FCNova

Pcity is right though. Predicting weather that far out is really just guessing. So you guessed right, maybe.

No.. not a guess.

The next prediction will probably appear during Hurricane season. I really don't want to post more snow this year.

[leighland]

Originally Posted by Caladium

Hats off the Leighland and to the OP for correct guesses. Whatever was left of the old snowpiles will be refrozen by this next storm and may not be melting until April.

The snow piles all look like coal dust here in Merrifield -so gross!

[pcity]

Originally Posted by leighland

Massive Nor'easter

Storm is coming from the west.

to hit any day between 27 feb and 2 mar.

Most areas won't see snow till the 3rd.

It will be accompanied by the coldest temperatures of the year (yes single digits and less).

Single digits are possible, but this is not predicted to be colder than the temps we got in January.

As I said, no one can accurately predict weather 1.5-2 weeks in advance with that sort of specificity.

[leighland]

Feb 22, 2014

Originally Posted by leighland

You have been warned.

Massive Nor'easter to hit any day between 27 feb and 2 mar. It will be accompanied by the coldest temperatures of the year (yes single digits and less).

Originally Posted by pcity

Where are you reading this? No one can accurately predict weather 1.5-2 weeks in advance with that sort of specificity. I wouldn't put too much stock in this prediction.

Originally Posted by leighland

I expect a rep point and a Wow comment when it occurs. Apology not neccessary as we all we be pretty sad when it happens.

First Day for blizzard has shifted to late feb up to 7 mar.

Aww.. aren't you cranky! Ha Ha!! And yes, using proper modelling, weather can be predicted farther out. I'm guessing you are not sitting outside work with a shortsleeved shirt and an umbrella drink?

I'll post more during hurricane season.

[leighland]

Originally Posted by pcity

Storm is coming from the west.

Most areas won't see snow till the 3rd.

Single digits are possible, but this is not predicted to be colder than the temps we got in January.

As I said, no one can accurately predict weather 1.5-2 weeks in advance with that sort of specificity.

Hmmmm..

Feb 22, 2014

Originally Posted by leighland

You have been warned.

Massive Nor'easter to hit any day between 27 feb and 2 mar. It will be accompanied by the coldest temperatures of the year (yes single digits and less).

Originally Posted by pcity

Where are you reading this? No one can accurately predict weather 1.5-2 weeks in advance with that sort of specificity. I wouldn't put too much stock in this prediction.

Originally Posted by leighland

I expect a rep point and a Wow comment when it occurs. Apology not neccessary as we all we be pretty sad when it happens.

First Day for blizzard has shifted to late feb up to 7 mar.

Aww.. aren't you cranky! Ha Ha!! And yes, using proper modelling, weather can be predicted farther out. I'm guessing you are not sitting outside work with a shortsleeved shirt and an umbrella drink? Silly PCity!

I'll post more during hurricane season.

[pcity]

Originally Posted by leighland

And yes, using proper modelling, weather can be predicted farther out.

This has been proven time and again to be false. Nothing in your post was factually correct.

[pcity]

Here's a great article from CWG that supports my point:

AccuWeather debuts 25 day weather forecasts - Capital Weather Gang - The Washington Post

When I told Wes Junker, CWG’s winter weather expert, about the new 25-day forecast, he wasn’t impressed.
“It gives people a false sense of where the science is,” he said. “[In daily forecasts], there’s no accuracy beyond 7 days at all.”
Junker said there is some skill in providing a forecast for a multi-day period, and how it might compare to average but not in daily details.
“You can’t tell the day the storm is going to be [beyond 7 days],” he said.
CWG’s Steve Tracton, who worked on numerical weather prediction issues for three decades, was harsher in his assessment of the 25-day forecast concept.
“It undermines the credibility of the science of meteorology,” he said.
“There cannot be skill at those ranges - it goes back to chaos theory.”
Tracton wants AccuWeather to objectively demonstrate their forecasts have skill not only out to 25 days but even in the 7-15 day timeframe, something he says they haven’t done.

And to expound a little, a "massive Nor'easter" is very different from what we got. A massive Nor'easter would have come up the coast from the southeast and hit Philly, NYC, and Boston. What we're getting now is a system from the west that is passing south of the major northeastern cities. If a model ran 10-15 days ago predicted a Nor'easter to hit now, that shows just how bad modeling is in a 10-15 day range.

[FCNova]

Weather models can predict, aka make educated guesses. It's still a guess over a week out. And actually pcity has a point, technically you didn't even guess right.

[I'm Retired Now]

BACK TO SNOW PILES:

There are now some snow piles next to Fairfax Corner, just off I-66 in Fairfax VA, that are 20 feet tall. It will be late May before they melt. I am watching them every day.