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I know. Hard to imagine mudslides, flooding and heavy rain when we have heat like this. I remember reading that the rainy season is suppose to begin late October. Halloween has been warm these past couple of years, but maybe it will be different this year.
Strong El Nino can enhance rainfall during any month of the rainy season. But if you have to single out any period it is January through March. January and February can be very wet. I've seen 20 inches in a month in February. Santiago Peak received 104 inches in 1997-1998 el nino season wettest up there on record.
Strong El Nino can enhance rainfall during any month of the rainy season. But if you have to single out any period it is January through March. January and February can be very wet. I've seen 20 inches in a month in February. Santiago Peak received 104 inches in 1997-1998 el nino season wettest up there on record.
Are you guys already forgetting about the deluge we got in July (nearly 2 inches of rain in San Diego in two days!)? Don't rule out the possibility of some heavy rains coming even coming in early or mid fall (although it will probably only last a day or so and then return to dry weather).
A while back some one posted a picture of the equator and the infrared showing the rise in temperatures greater then they had ever been in a very long time .
The thing most folk don't consider is that several issues can occur at the very same time or one after another , so preparations for one event alone does not cut it.
If say there is unexpected snow like we had here last winter, and an earth quake at the same time, the volume of crushed homes would be in the millions .
Most folk here are not accustomed to snow to begin with ,take away their homes in the winter and the problems are exponential.
NWS now backing off a bit, prog'ing rain down to about 37 N along the coast and a bit higher latitude further inland. Virtually no chance of anything below 35N. Still, it is very early in the season for this.
Got a brief shower Saturday morning. Yesterday had a touch of the first fall like winds, a good NNW wind neither on shore nor offshore.
Climate/Weather forecasting is a pseudo science a-la astrology and fortune telling as far as I'm concerned. They can't even accurately predict the weather 72 HOURS in advance, yet they expect us to believe what they say lays 72 YEARS ahead? I'm not talking the obvious such as Las Vegas (hot and sunny....340 days a year) that even a child could accurately predict.
I've been loosely following this el Niño prediction and the takeaway I get every single time is "It might rain heavily. Or not. It could be a cold winter. Or not".
In other words, they are doing the same guesswork and roll of the dice that everyone else is and have no real idea what they are talking about. They are just better at covering up their BS by interjecting words like "equatorial oscillation" into it.
Way up North in Northern Lake County there is a Frost Advisory this AM, I believe the first one of the season. Meanwhile, after solid onshore for the past few days we may get our first Santa Anas (they hate it up here when I use that term, but that is what these winds are).
So the alternating weak cold front - Santa Ana pattern is kicking soon here in NorCal, and will slide south with each passing day. Eventually the fronts will leave measurable precip.
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