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Old 05-21-2020, 02:11 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pacific2 View Post
With 14 COVID-19 deaths reported today in OC, an all-time record, there is truly something new and concerning occurring. I suspect that some people are ignoring social distancing guidelines. Anecdotally, I see it more often than in the recent past. I can't imagine how bad things may be two weeks after Memorial Day if this trend continues.

There are also 247 hospitalizations and 89 people are in ICU.

Orange County, CA
COVID-19 CASE COUNTS
Posted Date: 5/21/2020
https://occovid19.ochealthinfo.com/coronavirus-in-oc
The deaths are jumping up in the 75+ and nursing home groups.

Just yesterday, people 75+ were 53% of total deaths. Now, 55%.

Nursing home deaths were 30% of the total. Now, 35.7%.

I had made a note of the earlier numbers. The number of deaths under age 65 is virtually unchanged. I would be more inclined to attribute the increase in total deaths to the virus running through nursing homes and similar facilities than to younger people ignoring guidelines.
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Old 05-21-2020, 04:07 PM
 
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Originally Posted by saibot View Post
I would be more inclined to attribute the increase in total deaths to the virus running through nursing homes and similar facilities than to younger people ignoring guidelines.
Following up on this--I just found this stat, sounds like my instinct was on the right track:

Quote:
Overnight, four men and ten women of varying ages died as a result of the coronavirus. Ten of those who died were in area nursing facilities, according to Orange County Health Care reports.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/med...cid=spartandhp
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Old 05-21-2020, 05:28 PM
 
Location: Orange County, CA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saibot View Post
Following up on this--I just found this stat, sounds like my instinct was on the right track:



https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/med...cid=spartandhp
That's to be expected since the elderly have always borne a disproportion toll when it comes to COVID-19 deaths. Overall, 72% of all OC COVID-19 deaths are within the 65+ age group. Skilled Nursing Facility (SNF) patients account for 36% of total coronavirus deaths.

Still, 22% of all OC COVID-19 cases are age 65+. So, 78% of all confirmed COVID-19 cases are within the middle-aged, young adult, adolescent and child populations. That number continues to increase; potentially exposing the elderly to the coronavirus.

Also, SNF workers are young and middle-aged. I wonder if they have unknowingly relaxed their safety precautions within the SNFs? Or, perhaps more of them are asymptomatic carriers who unwittingly exposed SNF patients to the virus because the patients themselves are helpless against the spread.
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Old 05-21-2020, 05:54 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pacific2 View Post
Still, 22% of all OC COVID-19 cases are age 65+. So, 78% of all confirmed COVID-19 cases are within the middle-aged, young adult, adolescent and child populations. That number continues to increase; potentially exposing the elderly to the coronavirus.
As has been said so many times...we need to figure out better ways to protect the elderly & vulnerable while still allowing everyone else to carry on.
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Old 05-21-2020, 07:38 PM
 
Location: So Ca
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pacific2 View Post
Kudos to Laguna Woods because their total COVID-19+ case number of 8 has been stable for some time. As a retirement community, they're obviously at high risk, but they are doing something right.
Laguna Woods is about as spread out as a retirement community could be, though....2,100 acres of rolling hillsides.
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Old 05-21-2020, 08:05 PM
 
Location: Orange County, CA
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Originally Posted by CA4Now View Post
Laguna Woods is about as spread out as a retirement community could be, though....2,100 acres of rolling hillsides.
Laguna Woods has a lot of apartments and condos nestled together in a small city. There are also big box stores, other retail establishments, etc. and heavily trafficked streets outside the gated areas. The population density is about 4,864/sq mi.

LW residents seem to pride themselves in being very socially involved with, as I understand it, tons of clubs and other activities.

I imagine that few of them stay within LW, as they also shop in other nearby cities, like here in Aliso Viejo.

So, there would be plenty of opportunities for breaking social distancing guidelines, but they are too smart do it.

BTW, they successfully fought a County plan to use a LW hotel to house COVID homeless people. They said they themselves were a vulnerable population.

Last edited by pacific2; 05-21-2020 at 08:46 PM..
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Old 05-21-2020, 08:58 PM
 
Location: So Ca
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pacific2 View Post
LW residents seem to pride themselves in being very socially involved with, as I understand it, tons of clubs and other activities.
My aunt and uncle live there, as well as a couple of friends of my parents. They are VERY careful, and they socialize as little as possible. Group activities were closed down in mid-March. They send their kids out for groceries or have them delivered.
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Old 05-21-2020, 10:06 PM
 
Location: Orange County, CA
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Originally Posted by CA4Now View Post
My aunt and uncle live there, as well as a couple of friends of my parents. They are VERY careful, and they socialize as little as possible. Group activities were closed down in mid-March. They send their kids out for groceries or have them delivered.
Smart people.
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Old 05-22-2020, 02:59 PM
 
10,090 posts, read 6,198,505 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saibot View Post
The deaths are jumping up in the 75+ and nursing home groups.

Just yesterday, people 75+ were 53% of total deaths. Now, 55%.

Nursing home deaths were 30% of the total. Now, 35.7%.
Death rate still rising among the very elderly: Ages 75+ account for 56% of deaths, and deaths in nursing facilities have risen to 38% of the total. That's an 8% rise in only two days.

We need to stop whining about young people out for a jog without a mask. They are not the problem.
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Old 05-22-2020, 03:32 PM
 
Location: SoCal
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Large outbreak in some nursing home in Huntington Beach recently.
That’s said my husband and I went to the beach yesterday, not crowded at all. We went playing pickle ball today, it’s good to getting back to normal. Some restaurants in a Huntington Beach will be opened for outdoor dining.
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