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Old 08-06-2012, 07:24 PM
 
Location: Bay Area
1,724 posts, read 2,601,815 times
Reputation: 1135

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Quote:
Originally Posted by PNW-type-gal View Post
Gotta love projections like that. What are they based on? An entire new industry magically moving into town?
now that you mention it, yowza!!
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Old 08-06-2012, 07:33 PM
 
Location: Lakewood OH
21,697 posts, read 26,047,988 times
Reputation: 35732
Quote:
Originally Posted by PNW-type-gal View Post
Gotta love projections like that. What are they based on? An entire new industry magically moving into town?
Maybe a plague which will kill off all the present workers making jobs for new people.
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Old 08-06-2012, 07:49 PM
 
Location: The beautiful Rogue Valley, Oregon
7,785 posts, read 17,170,965 times
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I think it's actually some strange form of compounding - in Year 1, employment picks up by .1%, so in Year 2 employment picks up by (N+.1)x.1, etc. I wouldn't think you'd get to 24% that way, though.
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Old 08-07-2012, 12:37 PM
 
Location: Bay Area
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lol, maybe they just omitted the minus sign. with job growth of -1.26%, in ten years it could be -23.48%!
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Old 08-09-2012, 09:31 PM
 
758 posts, read 2,224,062 times
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Well, Roseburg doesn't have much in the way of educational institutions nearby. It does have a lot of retirees, a VA hospital, and timber/boatmaking jobs. Oh, and call centers from time to time.
There could well be 23% more jobs by then - but only a fraction would pay more than minimum wage, unless they're in lumber.

One reason I moved to Portland back when, and live fairly close to it now. Having come from Silicon Valley, home of "creative destruction," I felt it necessary to have options in both employment and education.
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Old 08-09-2012, 09:59 PM
 
Location: Bay Area
1,724 posts, read 2,601,815 times
Reputation: 1135
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smiled View Post
Well, Roseburg doesn't have much in the way of educational institutions nearby. It does have a lot of retirees, a VA hospital, and timber/boatmaking jobs. Oh, and call centers from time to time.
There could well be 23% more jobs by then - but only a fraction would pay more than minimum wage, unless they're in lumber.

One reason I moved to Portland back when, and live fairly close to it now. Having come from Silicon Valley, home of "creative destruction," I felt it necessary to have options in both employment and education.
i think the boatmaking jobs kind of died. and lumber is now hit and miss.

yikes.

County job rate slumps *in summer | NRToday.com

The private sector grew, the public sector shrank and Douglas County’s unemployment ticked up in July, the Oregon Employment Department announced Tuesday.

The county’s jobless rate of 12.3 percent was slightly higher than June’s 12.1 percent, even though private-sector employment grew by 230 jobs. Most of the added jobs were in construction and in the broad category of professional and business services.

Those job gains were more than offset by the net loss of 670 public-sector jobs, even though the federal government added 50 positions.

Public-sector job losses were driven by a seasonal decline in education positions. Employment in local education declined by 710.

Education sees a month-to-month job loss after the end of the school year due to school districts not issuing as many paychecks during the summer.

Roseburg School District Chief Operations Officer Lance Colley said educators under contract to return in the fall can’t claim unemployment benefits.

Douglas County’s unemployment rate a year ago was 13.4 percent.

Last edited by Kimballette; 08-22-2012 at 09:35 PM..
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