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Old 03-10-2012, 12:13 PM
 
Location: On the Rails in Northern NJ
12,380 posts, read 26,842,423 times
Reputation: 4581

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Heres my projects for growth in Eastern PA , with conjunction of the growth in the NE Megapolis. The Growth of the Megapolis should slowly bulge outwards towards Harrisburg , consuming the Lehigh and Schuylkill Valleys. The only region which should not see any growth is Northeastern PA with the Exception of Monroe County. The Region will start to see an Urbanization of its Suburbs and Urban Renewal boom in its Urban centers starting later this decade. I also did Transit line projections which are usually on point. I used the PATEC , RPA and American 2050 for my projections...there conservative... The Transit projects take into account Smart growth in Urban areas , TOD around stations and extensions...

Counties by 2030 in the Northeastern Megapolis....state by state

Eastern Pennsylvania

Philadelphia County : 1,526,006 (2010) > 2.0 Million (2030)

Montgomery County : 799,874 (2010) > 920,000 (2030)

Bucks County : 625,249 (2010) > 735,000 (2030)

Delaware County : 558,979 (2010) > 590,000 (2030)

Lancaster County : 519,445 (2010) > 550,000 (2030)

Chester County : 498,886 (2010) > 560,000 (2030)

York County : 434,972 (2010) > 472,000 (2030)

Berks County : 411,442 (2010) > 510,000 (2030)

Lehigh County : 349,497 (2010) > 470,000 (2030) Allentown : 118,032 (2010) > 180,000 (2030)

Luzerne County : 320,918 (2010) > 325,000 (2030)

Northampton County : 297,735 (2010) > 340,000 (2030)

Dauphin County : 268,100 (2010) > 301,000 (2030)

Lackawanna County : 214,437 (2010) > 217,000 (2030)

Monroe County : 176,842 (2010) > 350,000 (2030)

Schuylkill County : 148,289 (2010) > 170,000 (2030)

Lebanon County : 133,568 (2010) > 159,000 (2030)

Pike County : 57,369 (2010) > 60,000 (2030)


Total Population in 2010 : 7.6 Million
Total Population in 2030 : 8.9 Million

Current Transit Network , (there rounded to the nearest thousand)

Warminster line : 10,000 (2010) > 17,000 (2030)
West Trenton line : 12,000 (2010) > 15,000 (2030)
Fox Chase line : 6,000 (2010) > 30,000 (2030)
Norristown line : 11,000 (2010) > 55,000 (2030)
Airport line : 7,000 (2010) > 12,000 (2030)
Chestnut Hill East : 6,000 (2010) > 9,000 (2030)
Cynwyd line : 200 (2010) > 2,000 (2030)
Chestnut Hill West line : 6,100 (2010) > 11,000 (2030)
Lansdale / Doylestown line : 19,000 (2010) > 23,000 (2030)
Trenton line : 11,000 (2010) > 25,000 (2030)
Media / Elwyn line : 12,200 (2010) > 28,000 (2030)
Paoli / Thorndale line : 23,000 (2010) > 46,000 (2030)
Wilmington / Newark line : 8,500 (2010) > 18,000 (2030)
Market - Frankford line : 184,000 (2010) > 370,000 (2030)
Board Street line : 136,000 (2010) > 250,000 (2030)
Subway - Surface Trolleys : 110,000 (2010) > 204,000 (2030)
Route 15 Trolley : 11,000 (2010) > 18,000 (2030)

Norristown HSL : 9,600 (2010) > 19,000 (2030)
Suburban Trolleys : 12,000 (2010) > 45,000 (2030)

Future Rail lines

Newtown line : 15,000
Reading line : 60,000
West Chester line : 14,000
Allentown / Quakertown line : 35,000
New Hope line : 4,700
Oxford line : 5,800
Northeast line : 7,300
Lehigh Express : 12,000
Lackawanna Express : 24,600

Capitol Corridor : 7,800
Northwest line : 17,300
Waterfront Trolleys : 34,000
Naval Yard Trolleys : 25,000

Roosevelt Boulevard Subway : 95,000
Restored Trolleys : 260,000
Southwest Philly Trolleys : 38,000
City Branch Trolley : 47,000

103 Trolley : 4,900
NSL to KOP : 17,000
Lancaster Trolley : 15,000
Harrisburg BRT : 45,000

Total Rail Ridership in 2010 : 594,600
Total Bus Ridership in 2010 : 1.5 Million
Total Rail Ridership in 2030 : 1.9 Million
Total Transit Ridership in 2030 : 4.3 Million (Mostly buses)







Northeastern Megapolis - Northern VA - DC - Eastern MD - DE - Eastern PA - NJ - Southern NY - CT - RI - MA - Southern NH - Coastal ME


1990 Population : 43 Million
2000 Population : 49 Million
2010 Population : 53 Million
2025 Population : 60 Million
2030 Population : 66 Million
2040 Population : 75 Million
2050 Population : 80 Million


2010 Transit Daily Usage : 20.4 Million
2020 Transit Daily Usage : 35 Million
2050 Transit Daily Usage : 50 Million

Last edited by toobusytoday; 03-10-2012 at 02:18 PM.. Reason: removed copyrighted graphics
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Old 03-16-2012, 09:48 AM
 
5,110 posts, read 7,137,361 times
Reputation: 3116
Based on Phila. county's decline for many decades and very modest turnaround, you think that it will gain that many people in less than 20 years...?
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Old 03-17-2012, 04:17 AM
 
958 posts, read 1,196,859 times
Reputation: 228
Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeP View Post
Based on Phila. county's decline for many decades and very modest turnaround, you think that it will gain that many people in less than 20 years...?
Have you actually been to the Philadelphia metro lately, let alone the actual city? There's nothing modest about the population gains and revitalization going on.
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