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Old 12-28-2011, 07:54 AM
 
4,196 posts, read 6,173,809 times
Reputation: 2834

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Hi everyone...
I'm 30 and contributing the max to my 401k.....i have about 95k in there (2 separate accounts from two companies.).

i have 45k in one which has pretty bad returns:

1 year returns: -4.8%
3 year returns: 7.7%
5 year returns: 2.2%


my current company's 401k has about 50 in there

01/01/11 - 11/30/11 -1.6%


just bad!!!
i've been trying to stay almost exclusively in stocks (mutual funds) but it's clear that i don't know what the hell i'm doing.

here's my current mix:

24.67% VFINX Vanguard 500 Index Inv
16.40% VHGEX Vanguard Global Equity Inv
8.19% VLACX Vanguard Large Cap Index Inv
5.25% VMGRX Vanguard Mid Cap Growth Inv
4.28% VIMSX Vanguard Mid Cap Index Inv
12.20% VISGX Vanguard Small Cap Growth Index Inv
9.85% VTTHX Vanguard Target Retirement 2035
10.25% VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Inv
8.93% VWUSX Vanguard Us Growth Inv


any thoughts? advice?
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Old 12-28-2011, 09:19 AM
 
Location: Chicago
1,953 posts, read 4,882,767 times
Reputation: 919
If it makes you feel any better, Im have 94% stocks and down 4% for the year
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Old 12-28-2011, 09:39 AM
 
102,940 posts, read 104,333,888 times
Reputation: 76855
we had 2 back to back recessions and a world of hurt. why should your stocks have been up the last decade?

they shouldnt ,they are only mirroring the world around us. there is nothing wrong with your funds.
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Old 12-28-2011, 09:52 AM
 
4,196 posts, read 6,173,809 times
Reputation: 2834
thanks guys....
my assumption was that since the DOW is back up above 12500, the balances would also rise......
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Old 12-28-2011, 09:55 AM
 
102,940 posts, read 104,333,888 times
Reputation: 76855
the dow is back but internationals got creamed this year. nasdaq is also down for the year. im down because of the internationals. the international index is off 12%.

every model in the newsletter i follow from aggressive to conservative is down this year.
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Old 12-28-2011, 11:19 AM
 
102,940 posts, read 104,333,888 times
Reputation: 76855
by the way you have lots and lots of overlap doing nothing,and could get rid of quite a few funds and just simplify things. one thing is a given and owning a target fund and then combining it with loads of other funds is an exercise in futility. it serves no purpose .

a target fund adjusts the mix by age(not something i believe in doing) and then you un-adjust it by having all these different stock funds. makes little sense.

having a large cap index fund and an s&p 500 is silly, especially when you have a total market fund too . fully 75% of the total market fund is dominated by the s&p 500 stocks any way..


the s&p 500 dominate most indexes so much that the wilshire 5000 which consists of almost all stocks actually has a sub index called the wishire 4500 which is the wilshire 5000 less the s&p500 stocks.

Last edited by mathjak107; 12-28-2011 at 11:46 AM..
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Old 12-30-2011, 04:16 PM
 
Location: Central CT, sometimes FL and NH.
4,410 posts, read 6,550,414 times
Reputation: 5710
This is the danger when everyone moves to 401k and out of defined benefit plans. What if a 10 year flat market becomes a 20 or longer flat or declining market?

There is too much money chasing too few quality growth investment opportunities.
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Old 12-30-2011, 04:25 PM
 
102,940 posts, read 104,333,888 times
Reputation: 76855
thats a big reality that could happen. however a bad market for equities brings good markets usually to other asset classes.

the problem is we think in terms of only equities but its a big investment world out there.

learning to incorporate insurance products for income will be another option.

its not all about the markets its all about the plan.
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Old 12-30-2011, 04:51 PM
 
Location: SE MO
231 posts, read 624,076 times
Reputation: 160
Like Mathjak107 said, you have replicated your choices. Your fund selection has a correlation coefficient of 0.97. You need much better diversification. You really have two funds: a Global equity fund and an S&P 500 fund.

Last edited by dsnellen; 12-30-2011 at 06:05 PM..
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