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Old 05-18-2016, 09:07 AM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
29,317 posts, read 27,534,677 times
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Thoughts?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...mepage%2Fstory

 
Old 05-18-2016, 09:35 AM
 
10,279 posts, read 5,946,889 times
Reputation: 3643
Quote:
Originally Posted by BajanYankee View Post
It's going to be very close in PA, IMO. I could see Trump taking PA. It all depends on turnout.

The demographic interviewed for the article skewed toward older Boomers. Technically, I'm part of that demographic but I don't have much in common with many of them politically, socially and racially, The people who haven't voted in 20-30 years? Am I supposed to respect anyone that lazy? So disengaged from a right that people gave their lives to achieve?

Many of these people will be die over the next decade which will, obviously, alter the outcome in general elections in PA over the rest of the century.
 
Old 05-18-2016, 09:58 AM
 
Location: Dude...., I'm right here
1,245 posts, read 801,560 times
Reputation: 736
I've mostly seen Bernie Sanders yard signs and bumper stickers in the Western suburbs. Chester county is mostly republican and my neighbor is a GOP elected official.

Personally, I think the Trump fever will wear out because his outbursts are getting less effective at generating news headlines. He will have to dig deeper into his inner Trump to come up with more vile stuff to keep his supporters engaged.
 
Old 05-18-2016, 09:58 AM
 
Location: New York City
6,237 posts, read 5,570,825 times
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A) Doylestown isn't an exurban town.

B) I would be shocked if Trump won PA. Philadelphia, Delco, Montco, and Pittsburgh pretty much decide the election. Then if you add in Chester Berks and Lancaster Counties it would be over.
 
Old 05-18-2016, 10:14 AM
 
10,279 posts, read 5,946,889 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 1ondoner View Post
I've mostly seen Bernie Sanders yard signs and bumper stickers in the Western suburbs. Chester county is mostly republican and my neighbor is a GOP elected official.

Personally, I think the Trump fever will wear out because his outbursts are getting less effective at generating news headlines. He will have to dig deeper into his inner Trump to come up with more vile stuff to keep his supporters engaged.
What's the point of the Sanders yard signs now?? Are they so sure he will end up actually winning the nomination in Philly in July??

Chester Co has always been Republican for as long as I can remember. Nothing particularly news worthy about it.

Hmmmm, so-called mainstream Reps believed Trump was going to fizzle, that he would not get this far and that he would never be the Rep nominee. They were/are all wrong.
 
Old 05-18-2016, 10:16 AM
 
10,279 posts, read 5,946,889 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cpomp View Post
A) Doylestown isn't an exurban town.

B) I would be shocked if Trump won PA. Philadelphia, Delco, Montco, and Pittsburgh pretty much decide the election. Then if you add in Chester Berks and Lancaster Counties it would be over.
It truly depends, in my view, on voter turnout.
 
Old 05-18-2016, 10:20 AM
 
Location: NYC based - Used to Live in Philly - Transplant from Miami
2,306 posts, read 2,290,928 times
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What does exurban mean?
 
Old 05-18-2016, 10:24 AM
 
Location: Northeast Suburbs of PITTSBURGH
3,877 posts, read 3,783,614 times
Reputation: 2466
Quote:
Originally Posted by cpomp View Post
A) Doylestown isn't an exurban town.

B) I would be shocked if Trump won PA. Philadelphia, Delco, Montco, and Pittsburgh pretty much decide the election. Then if you add in Chester Berks and Lancaster Counties it would be over.
Agreed. I'm not sure of the primary results in the Philly burbs, but Trump could barely win the primary in Allegheny County. It's VERY unlikely he could win here. Kasich was extremely popular... he had a chance in Pittsburgh.... but Trump, no.
 
Old 05-18-2016, 10:30 AM
 
Location: The City
22,381 posts, read 33,167,919 times
Reputation: 7799
Quote:
Originally Posted by cpomp View Post
A) Doylestown isn't an exurban town.

B) I would be shocked if Trump won PA. Philadelphia, Delco, Montco, and Pittsburgh pretty much decide the election. Then if you add in Chester Berks and Lancaster Counties it would be over.


The article seemed to allude to the Ds not maintaining the same margins


In 2012 Obama had a 600K margin of victory in Philly, Bucks, and Montco combined. The margin in PA was 300K in total so given the large population in these counties if closer to 50/50 it suggests it is much harder to carry PA as a whole not that Trump would win these counties per se
 
Old 05-18-2016, 10:34 AM
 
10,279 posts, read 5,946,889 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by speagles84 View Post
Agreed. I'm not sure of the primary results in the Philly burbs, but Trump could barely win the primary in Allegheny County. It's VERY unlikely he could win here. Kasich was extremely popular... he had a chance in Pittsburgh.... but Trump, no.
Will they sit out the general and not vote? Will they vote for Clinton? Who will Trump pick for VP?
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