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Old 06-13-2017, 09:06 AM
 
Location: Boston Metrowest (via the Philly area)
5,235 posts, read 8,303,915 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by roma258 View Post
These projections strike me as....kind of nuts. 67% increase in Phoenix metro? 50% in Dallas and Houston? It's as if climate change and water scarcity aren't a thing. Whatever, honestly we don't need massive growth here, let the other places overwhelm their infrastructure...
I think that's exactly right. Quality growth matters so much more than quantity of growth.

We as a nation tend to obsess over population/economic growth when the impacts or actual benefits of this growth are an afterthought. While decline is certainly not desirable, a stable, slow-growth rate is much more desirable from a planning, resource, and cost-of-living perspective (i.e., slower growing areas do not experience as much housing inflation, for one).

I also generally agree that these projected growth rates are VERY high for many areas, particularly as birth rates are declining and immigration seems to be stalling. And if anyone thinks that any 30-year prediction is 100% accurately and accounts for all potential current and unknown factors, I've got a bridge to sell you.

Last edited by Duderino; 06-13-2017 at 10:22 AM..
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Old 06-13-2017, 09:05 PM
 
1,258 posts, read 3,782,407 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Duderino View Post
I think that's exactly right. Quality growth matters so much more than quantity of growth.

We as a nation tend to obsess over population/economic growth when the impacts or actual benefits of this growth are an afterthought. While decline is certainly not desirable, a stable, slow-growth rate is much more desirable from a planning, resource, and cost-of-living perspective (i.e., slower growing areas do not experience as much housing inflation, for one).

I also generally agree that these projected growth rates are VERY high for many areas, particularly as birth rates are declining and immigration seems to be stalling. And if anyone thinks that any 30-year prediction is 100% accurately and accounts for all potential current and unknown factors, I've got a bridge to sell you.

Agree with a lot of this.

I moved to the Philly metro three years back, and am happy that we did the move.

Some other things that come to mind: Some part of Atlanta growth in the past came due to additional counties being counted into Atlanta metro due to commute/job patterns. That probably doesn't happen as much in Philadelphia (and will not happen in the future), partly because I am guessing people dont like to do crazy commutes. It is probably the same counties that need to provide the population count. People here love their quality of life. Unbelievably, I can go pick from a farm within 10 minutes of my house and I live in a fairly close in suburb. That is, central and upper Bucks and Montco seem to have numerous farms (correct me if I am wrong), with some having pick ur own and also farm stores.
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