02-28-2016, 09:16 AM
Location: AriZona
5,229 posts, read
4,644,227 times
Reputation: 5509
omg. nearly a month, and the inmates are running the asylum.
02-28-2016, 09:37 AM
Location: Southern Arizona
9,603 posts, read
31,801,589 times
Reputation: 11741
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Colt Cassidy
omg. nearly a month, and the inmates are running the asylum.
Hey, Colt . . . RUN FOR THE ROUNDHOUSE, THEY CAN'T CORNER YOU THERE.
02-28-2016, 04:26 PM
35 posts, read
37,988 times
Reputation: 83
Just because Arizona is a little dry since the beginning of Jan. doesn't mean El Ninio was a bust. A lot of areas got exactly what was expected including some record highs. It wasn't as strong as 97/98 though...but definitely not a bust.
02-28-2016, 05:08 PM
Location: East Central Phoenix
8,056 posts, read
12,343,324 times
Reputation: 9850
Quote:
Originally Posted by
johnp292
Does everyone remember all the hype about the wet winter we were supposed to have due to this year's strong El Niño?
HA! Tell me about it. Back in December, I started a thread in the Weather forum about how El Niño has been a huge hype over nothing. I based it on how the weather patterns during the other strong El Niño events have been much different than this one ... and I also said that the NWS is highly inaccurate on many of their long range forecasts & how useless of an agency they are. Many of the posters balked at my statements, but I turned out to be right, and they are the ones who are now eating their words (but of course, they won't admit they were wrong).
https://www.city-data.com/forum/weath...-big-hype.html
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Mike Warner
Just because Arizona is a little dry since the beginning of Jan. doesn't mean El Ninio was a bust. A lot of areas got exactly what was expected including some record highs. It wasn't as strong as 97/98 though...but definitely not a bust.
A LITTLE dry??? Quite frankly, I have never seen a February this warm and dry in my entire life here. This kind of weather is more typical for April or May! As far as your claim that El Niño hasn't been a bust: how can you possibly believe that when it's so obvious that the weather patterns turned out to be the complete opposite of what the NWS had predicted for the period of December through February?! The prediction was for a wetter than normal pattern in southern CA & the SW, and an equal chance of above or below normal temperatures (favoring the below average temperature probability in much of the SW). I'm sorry that you seem to have so much trust in the National Blather Service when it's obvious they are way off base in their forecasts.
02-28-2016, 05:19 PM
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,179 posts, read
51,494,558 times
Reputation: 28445
Models over the past couple days have been consistent from run to run in predicting an El Nino (or so they will call it) surge starting about 8 days from now. Confidence is low this far out, of course, but this could be it!
02-28-2016, 05:20 PM
35 posts, read
37,988 times
Reputation: 83
December and January..colder than average and wetter than average. Not far off. It was bloody cold around here until three weeks ago. Three weeks does not make a season.
02-28-2016, 05:30 PM
Location: East Central Phoenix
8,056 posts, read
12,343,324 times
Reputation: 9850
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Mike Warner
December and February..colder than average and wetter than average. Not far off. It was bloody cold around here until three weeks ago. Three weeks does not make a season.
I'm sorry, but you are so way off that I think you could be a shoo in at the NWS (HA HA). December was slightly cooler than average, but the total rainfall for the month was 0.21 and the normal is 0.88. January was slightly cooler and wetter than average, but February has been one of the warmest on record, and the total precipitation is 0.00 (normal is 0.92). How has that been colder and wetter than average???
02-28-2016, 05:36 PM
35 posts, read
37,988 times
Reputation: 83
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Valley Native
I'm sorry, but you are so way off that I think you could be a shoo in at the NWS (HA HA). December was slightly cooler than average, but the total rainfall for the month was 0.21 and the normal is 0.88. January was slightly cooler and wetter than average, but February has been one of the warmest on record, and the total precipitation is 0.00 (normal is 0.92). How has that been colder and wetter than average???
Back to my first post. Just because they were off in AZ about El Ninio sure as heck doesn't mean it was a bust. My brother in Montana says he has had no snow on his property for a month. Just as predicted. Record temps a few days as well. And..Yes it is raining in Cali, just like they predicted. Boo hoo we didn't get torrential rain.
BTW I edited my post to say Dec and Jan
02-28-2016, 06:08 PM
Location: Los Angeles
4,504 posts, read
3,965,183 times
Reputation: 14622
I'm confused. We've been told time and time again with all this global warming nonsense that climatologists couldn't possibly be wrong. So, if they were so wrong about El Nino which is happening NOW, how can we trust what they say about temperatures 50 or 100 years ago.
02-28-2016, 06:31 PM
Location: Arizona/California
123 posts, read
176,445 times
Reputation: 185
Its not unusual to have a dry, warm spell during an El Nino Winter. Looks like the pattern changes next week. March is normally the wettest month of the year. Winter isn't over yet, so I'm still holding out hope for some big late season rains to push the Southwest above average and push fire season off.
Last edited by sloguy1496; 02-28-2016 at 06:49 PM ..
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Travel time to work - 60 to 89 minutes (%)
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Rural houses (%)
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Mortgage status - without a mortgage (%)
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Geographical mobility - Moved within same county (%)
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Housing units in structures - 1, detached (%)
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Housing units in structures - 2 (%)
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Housing units in structures - 5 to 9 (%)
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Housing units in structures - 20 to 49 (%)
Housing units in structures - 50 or more (%)
Housing units in structures - Mobile home (%)
Housing units in structures - Boat, RV, van, etc. (%)
House/condo owner moved in on average (years ago)
Renter moved in on average (years ago)
Year householder moved into unit - Moved in 1999 to March 2000 (%)
Year householder moved into unit - Moved in 1995 to 1998 (%)
Year householder moved into unit - Moved in 1990 to 1994 (%)
Year householder moved into unit - Moved in 1980 to 1989 (%)
Year householder moved into unit - Moved in 1970 to 1979 (%)
Year householder moved into unit - Moved in 1969 or earlier (%)
Means of transportation to work - Drove car alone (%)
Means of transportation to work - Carpooled (%)
Means of transportation to work - Public transportation (%)
Means of transportation to work - Bus or trolley bus (%)
Means of transportation to work - Streetcar or trolley car (%)
Means of transportation to work - Subway or elevated (%)
Means of transportation to work - Railroad (%)
Means of transportation to work - Ferryboat (%)
Means of transportation to work - Taxicab (%)
Means of transportation to work - Motorcycle (%)
Means of transportation to work - Bicycle (%)
Means of transportation to work - Walked (%)
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Working at home (%)
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Most Common Occupations - Healthcare support occupations (%)
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Most Common Occupations - Fire fighting and prevention, and other protective service workers including supervisors (%)
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Most Common Occupations - Food preparation and serving related occupations (%)
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Most Common Occupations - Sales and related occupations (%)
Most Common Occupations - Office and administrative support occupations (%)
Most Common Occupations - Natural resources, construction, and maintenance occupations (%)
Most Common Occupations - Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations (%)
Most Common Occupations - Construction and extraction occupations (%)
Most Common Occupations - Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations (%)
Most Common Occupations - Production, transportation, and material moving occupations (%)
Most Common Occupations - Production occupations (%)
Most Common Occupations - Transportation occupations (%)
Most Common Occupations - Material moving occupations (%)
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People in Group quarters - Correctional institutions (%)
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People in Group quarters - Halfway houses (%)
People in Group quarters - Local jails and other confinement facilities (including police lockups) (%)
People in Group quarters - Military disciplinary barracks (%)
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People in Group quarters - Nursing homes (%)
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People in Group quarters - Orthopedic wards and institutions for the physically handicapped (%)
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People in Group quarters - Training schools for juvenile delinquents (%)
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People in Group quarters - Military quarters (%)
People in Group quarters - On base (%)
People in Group quarters - Barracks, unaccompanied personnel housing (UPH), (Enlisted/Officer), ;and similar group living quarters for military personnel (%)
People in Group quarters - Transient quarters for temporary residents (%)
People in Group quarters - Military ships (%)
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People in Group quarters - Agriculture workers' dormitories on farms (%)
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Residents speaking English at home (%)
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Residents speaking Spanish at home - Born in the United States (%)
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Residents speaking other language at home - Foreign born (%)
Class of Workers - Employee of private company (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed in own incorporated business (%)
Class of Workers - Private not-for-profit wage and salary workers (%)
Class of Workers - Local government workers (%)
Class of Workers - State government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Federal government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed workers in own not incorporated business and Unpaid family workers (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - No fuel used (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - No fuel used (%)
Armed forces status - In Armed Forces (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Veteran (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Nonveteran (%)
Fatal accidents locations in years 2005-2021
Fatal accidents locations in 2005
Fatal accidents locations in 2006
Fatal accidents locations in 2007
Fatal accidents locations in 2008
Fatal accidents locations in 2009
Fatal accidents locations in 2010
Fatal accidents locations in 2011
Fatal accidents locations in 2012
Fatal accidents locations in 2013
Fatal accidents locations in 2014
Fatal accidents locations in 2015
Fatal accidents locations in 2016
Fatal accidents locations in 2017
Fatal accidents locations in 2018
Fatal accidents locations in 2019
Fatal accidents locations in 2020
Fatal accidents locations in 2021
Alcohol use - People drinking some alcohol every month (%)
Alcohol use - People not drinking at all (%)
Alcohol use - Average days/month drinking alcohol
Alcohol use - Average drinks/week
Alcohol use - Average days/year people drink much
Audiometry - Average condition of hearing (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear a whisper from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear normal voice from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - Ears ringing, roaring, buzzing (%)
Audiometry - Had a job exposure to loud noise (%)
Audiometry - Had off-work exposure to loud noise (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high blood pressure (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Checking blood pressure at home (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Frequently checking blood cholesterol (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high cholesterol level (%)
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at supermarket/grocery store
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at other stores
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on eating out
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on carryout/delivered foods
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at supermarket/grocery store (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at other stores (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on eating out (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on carryout/delivered foods (%)
Current Health Status - General health condition (%)
Current Health Status - Blood donors (%)
Current Health Status - Has blood ever tested for HIV virus (%)
Current Health Status - Left-handed people (%)
Dermatology - People using sunscreen (%)
Diabetes - Diabetics (%)
Diabetes - Had a blood test for high blood sugar (%)
Diabetes - People taking insulin (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Diet health (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Milk product consumption (# of products/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals not home prepared (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals from fast food or pizza place (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Ready-to-eat foods (#/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Frozen meals/pizza (#/month)
Drug Use - People that ever used marijuana or hashish (%)
Drug Use - Ever used hard drugs (%)
Drug Use - Ever used any form of cocaine (%)
Drug Use - Ever used heroin (%)
Drug Use - Ever used methamphetamine (%)
Health Insurance - People covered by health insurance (%)
Kidney Conditions-Urology - Avg. # of times urinating at night
Medical Conditions - People with asthma (%)
Medical Conditions - People with anemia (%)
Medical Conditions - People with psoriasis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with overweight (%)
Medical Conditions - Elderly people having difficulties in thinking or remembering (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever received blood transfusion (%)
Medical Conditions - People having trouble seeing even with glass/contacts (%)
Medical Conditions - People with arthritis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with gout (%)
Medical Conditions - People with congestive heart failure (%)
Medical Conditions - People with coronary heart disease (%)
Medical Conditions - People with angina pectoris (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had heart attack (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had stroke (%)
Medical Conditions - People with emphysema (%)
Medical Conditions - People with thyroid problem (%)
Medical Conditions - People with chronic bronchitis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with any liver condition (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had cancer or malignancy (%)
Mental Health - People who have little interest in doing things (%)
Mental Health - People feeling down, depressed, or hopeless (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble sleeping or sleeping too much (%)
Mental Health - People feeling tired or having little energy (%)
Mental Health - People with poor appetite or overeating (%)
Mental Health - People feeling bad about themself (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble concentrating on things (%)
Mental Health - People moving or speaking slowly or too fast (%)
Mental Health - People having thoughts they would be better off dead (%)
Oral Health - Average years since last visit a dentist
Oral Health - People embarrassed because of mouth (%)
Oral Health - People with gum disease (%)
Oral Health - General health of teeth and gums (%)
Oral Health - Average days a week using dental floss/device
Oral Health - Average days a week using mouthwash for dental problem
Oral Health - Average number of teeth
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to control insects (%)
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to kill weeds (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People walking or bicycling (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - Average hours a day doing sedentary activities
Physical Activity - Average hours a day watching TV or videos
Physical Activity - Average hours a day using computer
Physical Functioning - People having limitations keeping them from working (%)
Physical Functioning - People limited in amount of work they can do (%)
Physical Functioning - People that need special equipment to walk (%)
Physical Functioning - People experiencing confusion/memory problems (%)
Physical Functioning - People requiring special healthcare equipment (%)
Prescription Medications - Average number of prescription medicines taking
Preventive Aspirin Use - Adults 40+ taking low-dose aspirin (%)
Reproductive Health - Vaginal deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Cesarean deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Deliveries resulted in a live birth (%)
Reproductive Health - Pregnancies resulted in a delivery (%)
Reproductive Health - Women breastfeeding newborns (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had a hysterectomy (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had both ovaries removed (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever taken birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women taking birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used Depo-Provera or injectables (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used female hormones (%)
Sexual Behavior - People 18+ that ever had sex (vaginal, anal, or oral) (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had anal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had any sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had anal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had any kind of sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first had sex
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female vaginal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a woman (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of woman performed oral sex on in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male anal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a man (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male oral sex partners in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - People using protection when performing oral sex (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of times people have vaginal or anal sex a year
Sexual Behavior - People having sex without condom (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male vaginal sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Circumcised males 18+ (%)
Sleep Disorders - Average hours sleeping at night
Sleep Disorders - People that has trouble sleeping (%)
Smoking-Cigarette Use - People smoking cigarettes (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with smell (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with taste (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had wisdom teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had tonsils teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a loss of consciousness because of a head injury (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a broken nose or other serious injury to face or skull (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had two or more sinus infections (%)
Weight - Average height (inches)
Weight - Average weight (pounds)
Weight - Average BMI
Weight - People that are obese (%)
Weight - People that ever were obese (%)
Weight - People trying to lose weight (%)
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BTW I edited my post to say Dec and Jan
