Covid virus in phoenix (Sun City, Maricopa: buyer, school, university)

[Ponderosa]

The Ostrich Festival is still on. Gotta love the irony in that.

[yukon]

I'm not as worried about mortality as I am with the rapid spread, once it starts, and the local medical community's ability to treat a potential large number of cases in a short period of time. We do have a large elderly population here, and they're being hit the worst.

[Ponderosa]

Not specifically Arizona, but it does impact our state more than most: LDS church has suspended all meetings and services worldwide.

[Ponderosa]

Arizona Dept of Health says we have 9 cases of which at least two, IIRC, are community spread. An interesting fact from the Ohio Dept of Health today is that epidemiologic models show that if you have two cases of community spread, you have at least 1% infection rate in a population. That would mean, we could very well have around 60,000 infected persons moving about in Arizona. Ohio closed its schools and started serious social distancing. In Arizona we see private employers and entities taking action but little to nothing but "wash your hands" from our state officials.

[Diane de Poitiers]

Originally Posted by Ponderosa

The Ostrich Festival is still on. Gotta love the irony in that.

Interesting to read that's still going on......was planning to attend two events this weekend, both were postponed because of the virus.

[Robert&Ripley]

Originally Posted by HereOnMars

Not making fun of this situation but I do have to say that some of you have a pretty good sense of humor. We have our own thread going in my state's section but people over there tend to to be more, how should I say, passionate about it and tend to politicize it. Then again, when do we ever NOT make everything about politics? smh

Thanks for keeping a little humor in your life but do take the necessary precautions to stay healthy. And btw, nothing wrong in staying away from people. I find many of them annoying as anyway.

[KRAMERCAT]

Originally Posted by Ponderosa

We have only tested 100 people in Arizona. Maybe not even that many because the state says it sometimes requires three tests for confirmation. Who knows how many actual cases are out there - most of course with minor symptoms - but nonetheless infectious? Give it time. Italy had less than a dozen once as well.

Yeah, I think there may be a false sense of security out there. I know that I don't worry that much because I work at home and there is less density here than in places like New York. But with the dearth of testing, how can you really know? People returning from affected areas overseas and showing symptoms, still cannot get tested because the infrastructure such as they have in China & S Korea is not in place. We need a leader who can deliver not only the tests but the means to perform them and obtain the results. Such a leader is not currently in the White House.

[kell490]

My prediction is by Christmas Arizona will have about no more then 500-1000 severe cases and a 100-300 dead that will be it sounds like a lot but over a year not really we have large retirement community they be hit hardest. Where just lot more spread out here in Arizona then places like China.

[Sno0909]

Originally Posted by kell490

My prediction is by Christmas Arizona will have about no more then 500-1000 severe cases and a 100-300 dead that will be it sounds like a lot but over a year not really we have large retirement community they be hit hardest. Where just lot more spread out here in Arizona then places like China.

Are you just pulling these numbers from a hat?

[Ponderosa]

The AZ state health dept says modeling shows we could have 70000 people walking around with COVID-19 right now.