Coronavirus - Pittsburgh news (ratings, document, Americans, Christ)

[eschaton]

The mortality rate is dropping for an obvious reason - the U.S. has been under testing, and several states (like New York) have the ability to test thousands of people on a daily basis now.

As I said upthread, even a mortality rate of less than 1% is disastrous if a substantive proportion of the population gets infected and we have millions needing hospital care simultaneously.

[prnlvsxy]

Originally Posted by eschaton

The mortality rate is dropping for an obvious reason - the U.S. has been under testing, and several states (like New York) have the ability to test thousands of people on a daily basis now.

As I said upthread, even a mortality rate of less than 1% is disastrous if a substantive proportion of the population gets infected and we have millions needing hospital care simultaneously.

You must spread some Reputation around before giving it to eschaton again.

[Charley Barker]

Originally Posted by stburr91

Good news, the mortality rate in the US for the coronavirus is dropping. Not surprising that the initial numbers were pretty skewed.

Couple that with the very promising treatments being tested now, maybe some of the panic, and talk of millions dying will subside.

Just a little math lesson here. We have no idea what is the mortality rate, or even the real infection rate, because we have tested so few people. It is the demnominator (# people testing positive ÷ # people tested) in the equation that is all-important now.

[erieguy]

Originally Posted by eschaton

The mortality rate is dropping for an obvious reason - the U.S. has been under testing, and several states (like New York) have the ability to test thousands of people on a daily basis now.

As I said upthread, even a mortality rate of less than 1% is disastrous if a substantive proportion of the population gets infected and we have millions needing hospital care simultaneously.

I don’t think anyone is arguing against that.

The key word, however, is “if”....and “if” people would stay out of highly contagious areas like schools, hospitals, etc..., unless it’s absolutely necessary, the numbers have a lesser chance of growing.

[stburr91]

Originally Posted by eschaton

The mortality rate is dropping for an obvious reason - the U.S. has been under testing, and several states (like New York) have the ability to test thousands of people on a daily basis now.

As I said upthread, even a mortality rate of less than 1% is disastrous if a substantive proportion of the population gets infected and we have millions needing hospital care simultaneously.

It's nearing 1% now, and will almost certainly continue to drop as time goes on, and that is calculating confirmed cases.

The percentage of people needing to be hospitalized is equally as skewed as the mortality rate, as it's only counting the confirmed cases.

You are using two completely different sets of data. You cannot use the percentage rates for confirmed cases, then use the total estimated number of people that may contract the virus. The total number of people that will contract the virus will be many times higher than the number of confirmed cases.

Originally Posted by Charley Barker

Just a little math lesson here. We have no idea what is the mortality rate...

That's what I've been telling people for days now, and why people panicking over initial skewed numbers is pointless.


You quoted me, but you should be directing your post towards eschaton.

[gladhands]

Originally Posted by stburr91

It's nearing 1% now, and will almost certainly continue to drop as time goes on, and that is calculating confirmed cases.

The percentage of people needing to be hospitalized is equally as skewed as the mortality rate, as it's only counting the confirmed cases.

You are using two completely different sets of data. You cannot use the percentage rates for confirmed cases, then use the total estimated number of people that may contract the virus. The total number of people that will contract the virus will be many times higher than the number of confirmed cases.






That's what I've been telling people for days now, and why people panicking over initial skewed numbers is pointless.


You quoted me, but you should be directing your post towards eschaton.

What do you get out of not taking this seriously?

[erieguy]

Originally Posted by gladhands

What do you get out of not taking this seriously?

Who’s not taking it seriously?

Not everyone is in panic mode and realizes these numbers can be highly exaggerated because “if”.

[gg]

Originally Posted by eschaton

As I said upthread, even a mortality rate of less than 1% is disastrous if a substantive proportion of the population gets infected and we have millions needing hospital care simultaneously.

1%? I doubt it is that high in the US or any northern European country. Probably more like .001%.

I think we should reopen after 14 days and people that are sick self-quarantine Economy gets back on track and we go out to eat more. Next.

Look at this. Do people have any idea how many people don't get tested????? Look at the sophisticated countries. Seriously, this thing is nothing. Do people know how many residents are in China? Over a billion more than we have in the US. Yes, a BILLION. Look at these numbers and put the untested multiplier in there. I consider Italy and China really near third world in sophistication.

[Reggiezz]

"After four days of public criticism, the Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission reversed course Thursday and announced it will reopen all 17 of its service plazas beginning at 7 a.m. Friday."

https://triblive.com/local/regional/...plazas-friday/

[ditchdigger]

As of 8 p.m. all non life sustaining businesses in PA are to shut down.

This includes construction.

I'm kinda glad actually. I've been working from home, and there's really no room for me to dig any more holes in my back yard...