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Old 08-31-2010, 12:11 PM
 
45,582 posts, read 27,187,569 times
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UN report on glaciers melting is based on 'speculation'

But the IPCC have since admitted it was based on a report written in a science journal and even the scientist who was the subject of the original story admits it was not based on fact.

The article, in the New Scientist, was not even based on a research paper - it evolved from a short telephone interview with the academic.

Dr Syed Hasnain, an Indian scientist then based at Jawaharlal Nehru University in Delhi, said that the claim was "speculation" and was not supported by any formal research.

Professor Murari Lal, who oversaw the chapter on glaciers in the IPCC report, said he would recommend that the claim about glaciers be dropped.


Score a point for the truth.
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Old 08-31-2010, 12:14 PM
 
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wait a bit. the Saints from the Church of AGW will show up to tell you that you are not a scientist and therefore not qualified to make the above argument.

or they will say someone is arrogant. and thus nullify what the arrogant is saying by virtue of being arrogant.
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Old 08-31-2010, 12:28 PM
 
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Rather an old issue, currently the IAC has released its review of the IPCC and its position.

Note in the details, they are calling for the dismissal of all the leads

http://reviewipcc.interacademycounci...t%20Matter.pdf

The New York Times > Log In

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/08/3...top-officials/

The recommendations from the report:

Quote:
Here are recommendations found in the body of the report:
Governance and Management


The IPCC should establish an Executive Committee to act on its behalf between Plenary sessions. The membership of the Committee should include the IPCC Chair, the Working Group Co-chairs, the senior member of the Secretariat, and 3 independent members, including some from outside of the climate community. Members would be elected by the Plenary and serve until their successors are in place.
The IPCC should elect an Executive Director to lead the Secretariat and handle day-to-day operations of the organization. The term of this senior scientist should be limited to the timeframe of one assessment.


Review Process


The IPCC should encourage Review Editors to fully exercise their authority to ensure that reviewers’ comments are adequately considered by the authors and that genuine controversies are adequately reflected in the report.
The IPCC should adopt a more targeted and effective process for responding to reviewer comments. In such a process, Review Editors would prepare a written summary of the most significant issues raised by reviewers shortly after review comments have been received. Authors would be required to provide detailed written responses to the most significant review issues identified by the Review Editors, abbreviated responses to all non-editorial comments, and no written responses to editorial comments.


Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty


All Working Groups should use the qualitative level-of-understanding scale in their Summary for Policy Makers and Technical Summary, as suggested in IPCC’s uncertainty guidance for the Fourth Assessment Report. This scale may be supplemented by a quantitative probability scale, if appropriate.


Quantitative probabilities (as in the likelihood scale) should be used to describe the probability of well-defined outcomes only when there is sufficient evidence. Authors should indicate the basis for assigning a probability to an outcome or event (e.g., based on measurement, expert judgment, and/or model runs).


Communications


The IPCC should complete and implement a communications strategy that emphasizes transparency, rapid and thoughtful responses, and relevance to stakeholders, and which includes guidelines about who can speak on behalf of IPCC and how to represent the organization appropriately.
Additional recommendations:
The IPCC should make the process and criteria for selecting participants for scoping meetings more transparent.
The IPCC should establish a formal set of criteria and processes for selecting Coordinating Lead Authors and Lead Authors.


The IPCC should make every effort to engage local experts on the author teams of the regional chapters of the Working Group II report, but should also engage experts from countries outside of the region when they can provide an essential contribution to the assessment.


The IPCC should strengthen and enforce its procedure for the use of unpublished and non-peer-reviewed literature, including providing more specific guidance on how to evaluate such information, adding guidelines on what types of literature are unacceptable, and ensuring that unpublished and non-peer-reviewed literature is appropriately flagged in the report.


Lead Authors should explicitly document that a range of scientific viewpoints has been considered, and Coordinating Lead Authors and Review Editors should satisfy themselves that due consideration was given to properly documented alternative views.


The IPCC should adopt a more targeted and effective process for responding to reviewer comments. In such a process, Review Editors would prepare a written summary of the most significant issues raised by reviewers shortly after review comments have been received. Authors would be required to provide detailed written responses to the most significant review issues identified by the Review Editors, abbreviated responses to all non-editorial comments, and no written responses to editorial comments.
The IPCC should encourage Review Editors to fully exercise their authority to ensure that reviewers’ comments are adequately considered by the authors and that genuine controversies are adequately reflected in the report.


The IPCC should revise its process for the approval of the Summary for Policy Makers so that governments provide written comments prior to the Plenary.


All Working Groups should use the qualitative level-of-understanding scale in their Summary for Policy Makers and Technical Summary, as suggested in IPCC’s uncertainty guidance for the Fourth Assessment Report. This scale may be supplemented by a quantitative probability scale, if appropriate.


Chapter Lead Authors should provide a traceable account of how they arrived at their ratings for level of scientific understanding and likelihood that an outcome will occur.
Quantitative probabilities (as in the likelihood scale) should be used to describe the probability of well-defined outcomes only when there is sufficient evidence. Authors should indicate the basis for assigning a probability to an outcome or event (e.g., based on measurement, expert judgment, and/or model runs).


The confidence scale should not be used to assign subjective probabilities to ill-defined outcomes.
The likelihood scale should be stated in terms of probabilities (numbers) in addition to words to improve understanding of uncertainty.


Where practical, formal expert elicitation procedures should be used to obtain subjective probabilities for key results.
The IPCC should establish an Executive Committee to act on its behalf between Plenary sessions. The membership of the Committee should include the IPCC Chair, the Working Group Co-chairs, the senior member of the Secretariat, and 3 independent members, including some from outside of the climate community. Members would be elected by the Plenary and serve until their successors are in place.
The term of the IPCC Chair should be limited to the timeframe of one assessment.


The IPCC should develop and adopt formal qualifications and formally articulate the roles and responsibilities for all Bureau members, including the IPCC Chair, to ensure that they have both the highest scholarly qualifications and proven leadership skills.


The terms of the Working Group Co-chairs should be limited to the timeframe of one assessment.


The IPCC should redefine the responsibilities of key Secretariat positions both to improve efficiency and to allow for any future senior appointments.


The IPCC should elect an Executive Director to lead the Secretariat and handle day-to-day operations of the organization. The term of this senior scientist should be limited to the timeframe of one assessment.


The IPCC should develop and adopt a rigorous conflict of interest policy that applies to all individuals directly involved in the preparation of IPCC reports, including senior IPCC leadership (IPCC Chair and Vice Chairs), authors with responsibilities for report content (i.e., Working Group Co-chairs, Coordinating Lead Authors, and Lead Authors), Review Editors, and technical staff directly involved in report preparation (e.g., staff of Technical Support Units and the IPCC Secretariat).


The IPCC should complete and implement a communications strategy that emphasizes transparency, rapid and thoughtful responses, and relevance to stakeholders, and which includes guidelines about who can speak on behalf of IPCC and how to represent the organization appropriately.
But... but... but... The scientists are our god's! They can not be wrong! We must worship at the alter of their words until they can easily dismiss such findings!

So sayeth the Church, may the holy mother of earth and her disciples ring true! Long live the Church of AGW! May all blasphemers be destroyed in a lake of fire!
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Old 08-31-2010, 12:28 PM
 
Location: Flyover Country
26,211 posts, read 19,521,305 times
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Glaciers are, however, still disappearing from climate change
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Old 08-31-2010, 12:31 PM
 
13,053 posts, read 12,951,643 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by odanny View Post
Glaciers are, however, still disappearing from climate change
Care to document such with anything more than claims?

I mean, so far the arctic is showing growth above 2007, which is the holy year of melt to the alarmist and care to point out the loss in the Antarctic? Really, I would love to see your "loss" concerning that?

Oh I am sorry, you don't deal in science, just baseless accusations!
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Old 08-31-2010, 12:35 PM
 
4,989 posts, read 10,022,145 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by odanny View Post
Glaciers are, however, still disappearing from climate change
...and have been steadily doing so for the past 12,000 years or so. Good thing too, otherwise we wouldn't be growing any citrus fruit north of the Mexican border!
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Old 08-31-2010, 12:40 PM
 
45,582 posts, read 27,187,569 times
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Glaciers usually melt in the summer (24 hours of sunlight), and grow in the winter.
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Old 08-31-2010, 12:45 PM
 
13,053 posts, read 12,951,643 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DRob4JC View Post
Glaciers usually melt in the summer (24 hours of sunlight), and grow in the winter.
Yep, they do, the issue here though is that they all latched on to 2007's ice loss (one that is mostly attributed to wind oscillation rather than warmth, that is if you pay attention to the factors) and ignore that we have shown for the last two years a steady progression above 2007 and may see a stronger growth this year. They also ignore the fact that the Antarctic is showing above average growth and content on the 30 year average.

Point is, it doesn't work well with their ice less arctic and they need that to be the kicker for their AGW argument. If they can get an ice less arctic, they can institute any policy the desire. They are like drunk gamblers who kiss their dice with alcohol laden breath wishing for the outcome of their choosing.

And if they don't get what they desire? Well, they will just stomp off in a drunken rampage striking at all those of their disdain.
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Old 08-31-2010, 12:52 PM
 
Location: Flyover Country
26,211 posts, read 19,521,305 times
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I cant believe there are people who dont believe that glaciers are disappearing all over the world.

This fact is not even disputable
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Old 08-31-2010, 01:12 PM
 
Location: Texas
44,259 posts, read 64,365,577 times
Reputation: 73932
Quote:
Originally Posted by odanny View Post
I cant believe there are people who dont believe that glaciers are disappearing all over the world.

This fact is not even disputable
Hilarious.
Take a class on how to read a scientific paper.
I'll get you a list of papers to read.
Then you can decide what is and isn't disputable.
Everything in science is disputable...that's what is great about science. The constant quests, tests, skepticism...it's what keeps it alive, healthy, and ever forthcoming with useful inventions and information for man.

Your believing whatever pc nonsense people are feeding you in attempts to control you is ridiculous.
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