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Election Day is coming. This puff piece in the Huffington Post from a "progressive" is necessary to keep up hope while independent analyses and sources are indicating Dem losses on a historic scale.
The Republican Party is not loved (or liked) by most, and has a miserable recent history. But the unfettered stream of "change" from Obama/Pelosi/Reid is not working and a majority seem to want divided government.
The Dem problem is that Obama has polarized the country with unremitting class warfare rhetoric that excites the base and annoys 60% of the rest of us. And he is consistent about that, so the differences appear to be deep and philosophical--not fixable with minor tactical adjustments.
The latest gambit, to appear to recognize that taxes are an important determinant of business activity, just looks cynical at this point--especially when coupled with more class envy talk and business-bashing.
My guess (quite likely, judging by Intrade numbers) is that Nancy Pelosi will be riding commercial airlines back and forth to her district next year instead of Air Force jets. I think the days of progressive ascendancy are over for another generation.
while i am not making grandiose claims that the republicans will take back both houses, in fact i just want them to pick up a number of seats in the senate, 6 seats will do nicely, and pick up enough seats in the house to force the democrats to have to work with the republicans if anything is to get done.
however let me say this, back in 2006 the pundants were claiming that there was no way the democrats would take back congress, and they did, the same pundants were also saying that the republicans would not take congress in 1994, and yet they did. what will happen? i dont know. what i DO know is that the polls are showing strong for the republicans on the generic ballots, these days showing a 10-12 point spread republicans over democrats. and there are also polls that indicate that the people would vote for, in this order;
a republican who is not currently in congress, and has little or no political experience
a seated democrat
a seated republican
an unseated democrat.
this tells me that republicans have a good shot at taking back the house at least, and historically when the party in power loses the house, they also lose the senate as well.
while i am not making grandiose claims that the republicans will take back both houses, in fact i just want them to pick up a number of seats in the senate, 6 seats will do nicely, and pick up enough seats in the house to force the democrats to have to work with the republicans if anything is to get done.
My sentiments exactly. Taking over Congress this year might be good for the country but it would be a disaster for repubs in 2012 - as things stand now, it's the only scenario that gives BHO a plausible path to re-election.
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