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Regardless of what this poll says, Election Day 2010 will be a beautiful and truthful day...
dont count the chickens before they hatch. there are a lot of races that are very close and a stupid move or comment either way could put one candidate out of the race.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bagger
I couldn't rep you as I have to spread some around.
But, I think you're right. The Repubs may take the mid-terms but long term, I think they have some work to do.
yes the republicans do have to be worried not only about the midterms, but beyond as well. they need to step up and put forth a good effort to making things batter because the people will be watching. if they do reasonably well the next two years in congress, if they take it back, then the prospects are good that a republican will be in the white house in 2012, and the congress will go further into republican hands. if that happens, then the republicans will have to be on their toes and do things right in the eyes of the people if they are to keep power.
I think I'd be a little more concerned about the republican party right now. They look good for the midterms, but they have a very fragile coalition of people with very different beliefs--neocons, libertarians, and religious right radicals. Most of the old line, moderate republicans have left, or are considering leaving, to become independents or Dems. The R's might be able to hold it together until they actually have to start trying to hammer out policy that they can all agree on, and then all you know what is going to break loose.
EDIT--one last comment. It doesn't help that they seem to be completely intolerant of any kind of compromise, including among themselves....
THIS so much.
Short-term, the Republicans are looking good for making huge gains.
But long-term, first of all demographic shifts don't favor them. And second of, I know in my generation (people born in the 80s and 90s) there are a bunch of fiscally conservative people who probably should be Republicans but find the Republicans' views on social issues disgusting. Like you said, the "small-government libertarian" and "socially puritanical" views are inherently contradictory and it's untenable for them.
I know in my generation (people born in the 80s and 90s) there are a bunch of fiscally conservative people who probably should be Republicans but find the Republicans' views on social issues disgusting. Like you said, the "small-government libertarian" and "socially puritanical" views are inherently contradictory and it's untenable for them.
It'll be interesting to see if there's a battle within the Republican Party once they gain more power. If they can stay away from being socially conservative, I think they'll gain more young voters; if they continue to embrace social conservatism, they're shooting themselves in the feet.
It'll be interesting to see if there's a battle within the Republican Party once they gain more power. If they can stay away from being socially conservative, I think they'll gain more young voters; if they continue to embrace social conservatism, they're shooting themselves in the feet.
The focus is clearly on fiscal conservatism. I can't think of any race that is turning on social issues. With the funk the economy is in I think it will be a decade or more before we will have the luxury of debating social issues.
Partisan Trends For Second Straight Month, Number of Democrats in U.S. Falls to Record Low
Friday, October 01, 2010
For the second month in a row, the number of Americans who identify themselves as Democrats has fallen to a record low.
In September, 34.6% of American Adults identified themselves as Democrats. That’s down nearly half a percentage point from a month ago, a full percentage pointfrom two months ago, and is the smallest percentage of Democrats ever recorded in nearly eight years of monthly tracking.
At the same time, the number of Republicans slipped from 33.8% in August to 33.1% last month.
The number of Adults not affiliated with either major party is now at 32.3%.
Well if that is going to be your criteria, maybe the Dems are imploding.
Gallup: Fewer Americans Identify with Democrat Party | Wilson Research Strategies Political Insider Journal (http://www.w-r-s.com/blog/2010/07/27/gallup-fewer-americans-identify-with-democrat-party/ - broken link)
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