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As Democrats prepare for considerable losses in the November elections, there's reason to believe the party in power may not be headed for the bloodbath it might expect. According to a new NEWSWEEK Poll, President Obama's approval rating - 47 percent - indicates that the party is better off this year than Republicans were in 2006, when the GOP lost 30 House seats, and than the Democrats were in 1994, when they lost 52 House seats.
As with all midterm elections, the president's approval rating is considered a key factor in determining which party voters are likely to support. Indeed, 68 percent of registered voters say their view of Obama is "very" or "somewhat important" in determining their vote for Congress this year. That means little for partisans; Democratic voters appear just as willing as Republicans to vote for their party. But independents skew heavily toward the GOP. Forty-five percent of independents say they'll vote for Republican candidates, compared with just 33 percent for Democrats.
Still, Democrats' perceived weakness may not be so simple for the GOP to capitalize on this fall. Republican leaders still must deal with the Bush legacy, which 38 percent fault for today's economic problems (compared with 19 percent who fault Obama's policies). The public also strongly opposes extending the Bush tax cuts by a spread of 52 percent who think the cuts should expire at the end of this year, and 38 percent who would like them to be extended.
The public also strongly opposes extending the Bush tax cuts by a spread of 52 percent who think the cuts should expire at the end of this year, and 38 percent who would like them to be extended.
Because those 52% are the ones who are sucking off the system and think that'll be more money for them when expired!
I think Dems might lose the house but it will be a lot closer than the Reps think. No way for the senate or the governor's races will Republicans prevail. One good thing will be the utter falure of tea party candidates. Angle, Miller, O'Donnell and that perv running in NY will all lose bigtime.
As Democrats prepare for considerable losses in the November elections, there's reason to believe the party in power may not be headed for the bloodbath it might expect. According to a new NEWSWEEK Poll, President Obama's approval rating - 47 percent - indicates that the party is better off this year than Republicans were in 2006, when the GOP lost 30 House seats, and than the Democrats were in 1994, when they lost 52 House seats.
As with all midterm elections, the president's approval rating is considered a key factor in determining which party voters are likely to support. Indeed, 68 percent of registered voters say their view of Obama is "very" or "somewhat important" in determining their vote for Congress this year. That means little for partisans; Democratic voters appear just as willing as Republicans to vote for their party. But independents skew heavily toward the GOP. Forty-five percent of independents say they'll vote for Republican candidates, compared with just 33 percent for Democrats.
Still, Democrats' perceived weakness may not be so simple for the GOP to capitalize on this fall. Republican leaders still must deal with the Bush legacy, which 38 percent fault for today's economic problems (compared with 19 percent who fault Obama's policies). The public also strongly opposes extending the Bush tax cuts by a spread of 52 percent who think the cuts should expire at the end of this year, and 38 percent who would like them to be extended.
The majority of the country is fiscal conservative but it's broken across party lines. Most moderates on both sides of the aisle are fiscal conservative and I as a centrist am fiscal conservative. I just happen to know that these bailouts were necessary because our system has been breached.
My beef with current situation (dems in office) is that they haven't yet figured out that the only meaningful reform that can solve the most problems with the least effort & gaining the most political clout is doing a full court press on campaign finance reform giving the eviction notice to k street dominance. If GOP ever got around to finding it's soul again, they'd have to join in on that bandwagon to save America from falling on it's own sword. Until that work is done the representative system is corrupt and dysfunctional. No plan or policy implemented can achieve efficacy without ridding ourselves of parasites.
The majority of the country is fiscal conservative but it's broken across party lines. Most moderates on both sides of the aisle are fiscal conservative and I as a centrist am fiscal conservative. I just happen to know that these bailouts were necessary because our system has been breached.
My beef with current situation (dems in office) is that they haven't yet figured out that the only meaningful reform that can solve the most problems with the least effort & gaining the most political clout is doing a full court press on campaign finance reform giving the eviction notice to k street dominance. If GOP ever got around to finding it's soul again, they'd have to join in on that bandwagon to save America from falling on it's own sword. Until that work is done the representative system is corrupt and dysfunctional. No plan or policy implemented can achieve efficacy without ridding ourselves of parasites.
Excellent post and very good at drilling down on the core issue.
The poll numbers have progressively (no pun intended of course) been closing up. Many races are within margin of error now...
It's going to be a close race overall I'd imagine, certainly not the wet dream the GOP zealots here would like to believe. But as usual they tend to ignore reality and live off what they tell one another the truth is.
The majority of the country is fiscal conservative but it's broken across party lines. Most moderates on both sides of the aisle are fiscal conservative and I as a centrist am fiscal conservative. I just happen to know that these bailouts were necessary because our system has been breached.
My beef with current situation (dems in office) is that they haven't yet figured out that the only meaningful reform that can solve the most problems with the least effort & gaining the most political clout is doing a full court press on campaign finance reform giving the eviction notice to k street dominance. If GOP ever got around to finding it's soul again, they'd have to join in on that bandwagon to save America from falling on it's own sword. Until that work is done the representative system is corrupt and dysfunctional. No plan or policy implemented can achieve efficacy without ridding ourselves of parasites.
I do agree with this and I came across this older article, but it rings true more than ever...
The Trick of Campaign Finance Reform
For instance, Canada, France, New Zealand, and Great Britain place firm limits on candidates' campaign spending. The ceiling for legislative candidates ranges from $6200 in New Zealand, $15,000 in Great Britain, $22,000 in Canada, to $75,000 in France. Belgium, Spain and Israel restrict the amount of "soft money" campaign spending by parties. In the U.S. there are no such limits, and costs for legislative races often exceed a half a million dollars. The Trick of Campaign Finance Reform
The poll numbers have progressively (no pun intended of course) been closing up. Many races are within margin of error now...
It's going to be a close race overall I'd imagine, certainly not the wet dream the GOP zealots here would like to believe. But as usual they tend to ignore reality and live off what they tell one another the truth is.
Agreed. Hard to believe that they have such confidence, considering the fact that the "grassroots" Tea Party candidates have turned out to be whackadoodles that have been hijacked by the GOP...or have the whackadoodles Tea Party candidates hijacked the GOP? Really very bizarre turn of events.
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