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Old 06-25-2011, 12:49 AM
 
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With New York just passing gay marriage rights being the sixth state so far. It seems like it will only be a matter of time before the majority of other states eventually follow through it may be in some years (or decades perhaps) but it seems likely.

What do you think will be the last states or state to holdout?

Last edited by Bo; 06-25-2011 at 12:06 PM.. Reason: Moved from General US. See my post #17 below for details.
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Old 06-25-2011, 01:18 AM
 
Location: classified
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Either Utah, Arkansas, Mississippi, or Alabama since those two states are evangelical religious strongholds.
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Old 06-25-2011, 01:22 AM
 
Location: New England & The Maritimes
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I wouldn't assume it will happen in all states. The future is difficult to predict.

Based on today's society, diablos predictions seem about right.
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Old 06-25-2011, 01:23 AM
 
Location: northern Vermont - previously NM, WA, & MA
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I would expect Rhode Island, Maryland, and California to be the next ones to legalize. Perhaps followed by Oregon and Washington.

Minnesota is a tossup, it's going to be on the voters ballot in 2012. I'm not holding my breath as I'm sure a lot of out state G.O.P. funding will go into it, as it did in California.

Last states, I can only echo diablo's post above - Utah, Mississippi, Alabama, & Arkansas no quuestion. I'd expect something to happen in the US supreme court before those states and quite a few others would legalize it.
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Old 06-25-2011, 01:38 AM
 
Location: PNW, CPSouth, JacksonHole, Southampton
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Frankly, with Third World religious crazies pouring into the country, it's only a matter of time before Gays are slaughtered in the streets, in the name of various hate-based religions that make lower-middle-class Protestant Fundamentalism look absolutely progressive (Remember, Europe is being destroyed, too: soon, there will be no rich Western Democracies reining in the murderous impulses of the rest of the world. The 'rest of the world' has only pretended to be tolerant in order to look 'modern' and curry favor with the Western powers.).

I seriously doubt that even a quarter of the states will legalize Gay Marriage, before Americans start voting like the populations of the Third World hellholes from which Founding Stock Americans' replacements are coming. At that point, you'll be amazed how fast various "Great World Religions" take off their 'Nice Masks' and reveal what monsters they really are. Gays will be only their first targets for Genocide.
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Old 06-25-2011, 01:48 AM
 
Location: northern Vermont - previously NM, WA, & MA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GrandviewGloria View Post
Frankly, with Third World religious crazies pouring into the country, it's only a matter of time before Gays are slaughtered in the streets, in the name of various hate-based religions that make lower-middle-class Protestant Fundamentalism look absolutely progressive (Remember, Europe is being destroyed, too: soon, there will be no rich Western Democracies reining in the murderous impulses of the rest of the world. The 'rest of the world' has only pretended to be tolerant in order to look 'modern' and curry favor with the Western powers.).

I seriously doubt that even a quarter of the states will legalize Gay Marriage, before Americans start voting like the populations of the Third World hellholes from which Founding Stock Americans' replacements are coming. At that point, you'll be amazed how fast various "Great World Religions" take off their 'Nice Masks' and reveal what monsters they really are. Gays will be only their first targets for Genocide.
did you take your meds today? The sky is clearly falling on you, better start building that bomb shelter.
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Old 06-25-2011, 05:20 AM
 
Location: 30-40°N 90-100°W
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Going by the following I'd guess Utah and Alabama. Mississippi and South Carolina will likely also be among the last.

Support for Same-Sex Marriage, State by State - Graphic - NYTimes.com

That's assuming this will happen in all states. I think it's more likely that either the Courts will overrule the states that ban it once the majority of states accept it, hence some states will never choose to accept it, or that this will be a social experiment that works less well than hoped so doesn't end up in all states.
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Old 06-25-2011, 06:01 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thomas R. View Post
Going by the following I'd guess Utah and Alabama. Mississippi and South Carolina will likely also be among the last.

Support for Same-Sex Marriage, State by State - Graphic - NYTimes.com

That's assuming this will happen in all states. I think it's more likely that either the Courts will overrule the states that ban it once the majority of states accept it, hence some states will never choose to accept it, or that this will be a social experiment that works less well than hoped so doesn't end up in all states.
Interesting looking at that chart support for gay marriage has almost doubled in every state in the past 15 years including the states with the lowest support. If this rate continues within another 15 years even the lowest supporting states will be close to or at 50% public support.

So it may not necessarily take federal intervention although i do see that happening perhaps.
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Old 06-25-2011, 08:45 AM
 
Location: classified
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GrandviewGloria View Post
Frankly, with Third World religious crazies pouring into the country, it's only a matter of time before Gays are slaughtered in the streets, in the name of various hate-based religions that make lower-middle-class Protestant Fundamentalism look absolutely progressive (Remember, Europe is being destroyed, too: soon, there will be no rich Western Democracies reining in the murderous impulses of the rest of the world. The 'rest of the world' has only pretended to be tolerant in order to look 'modern' and curry favor with the Western powers.).

I seriously doubt that even a quarter of the states will legalize Gay Marriage, before Americans start voting like the populations of the Third World hellholes from which Founding Stock Americans' replacements are coming. At that point, you'll be amazed how fast various "Great World Religions" take off their 'Nice Masks' and reveal what monsters they really are. Gays will be only their first targets for Genocide.
Actually alot of countries in Latin America (where most of the immigrants to the US originate from) have made more progress in legalizing same sex marriage and civil unions than the US. Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, Uruguay, Argentina, and even parts of Mexico have legalized either same sex marriage or civil unions.
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Old 06-25-2011, 09:45 AM
 
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The wild cards in determining this is are weather the courts step in or even if the idea of the state getting out of the marriage business altogether. It is possible that the benifits involving marriage could be disconnected from marriage and instead some form of contract is done with the state instead that has the same benefits.

In terms of states being last to legalize it. My guess is Utah or Mississippi. Also that it will likely be legal or at least have majority support in most states by the end of the decade. Interesting is that it is something that is being done by legislatures and not by courts now, which also will make it easier to support in terms of public opinion.

The first steps will be in states that ban it in constitutions to remove it. That likely will start to occur soon in states, mainly since they were done years ago when support was much lower and that a ban would not pass or at least smaller margins now. I also picture that it will pass with regional trends. Likely will go in some order rest of Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, followed by around the same time west coast and Hawaii, followed by Midwest (minus Missouri) and Mountain West (minus Utah), followed by atlantic coast south, great plains states, Alaska, Texas, and Missouri, followed by the rest of the south and Utah.

One factor that could change this is migration patterns since changing makeup of populations will affect things. This will be most present in the South with states that have have more transplants will pass it sooner than those that have not.
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