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Interesting new theory just posed on CNBC by Howard Dean (so take it with a grain of salt):
A possible "one-off" win for Ron Paul in Iowa would nullify Gingrich's chance for a comeback (who is imploding now) and allow Romney a window of opportunity to win New Hampshire... and eventually the GOP nomination.
Howard Dean says Ron Paul has a "ceiling" on the number of supporters he can get among the mainstream and I think I agree there. This is NOT a slam against Ron Paul, but let's be honest, not a lot of middle-of-the-road Republicans are eager to embrace a lot of Libertarian views that are the foundation of Ron Paul's platform. They may nominate Romney because he's "electable" (nice hair!) and he's considered the "safe" choice. Ron Paul has a young, organized and energentic base, but they may not make up a majority in time for the nomination. Time is short.
I'm not saying I totally agree with this theory, but it sort of makes sense if you think about it. Do you think this theory will come to pass? If not, why not?
Interesting new theory just posed on CNBC by Howard Dean (so take it with a grain of salt):
A possible "one-off" win for Ron Paul in Iowa would nullify Gingrich's chance for a comeback (who is imploding now) and allow Romney a window of opportunity to win New Hampshire... and eventually the GOP nomination.
Howard Dean says Ron Paul has a "ceiling" on the number of supporters he can get among the mainstream and I think I agree there. This is NOT a slam against Ron Paul, but let's be honest, not a lot of middle-of-the-road Republicans are eager to embrace a lot of Libertarian views that are the foundation of Ron Paul's platform. They may nominate Romney because he's "electable" (nice hair!) and he's considered the "safe" choice. Ron Paul has a young, organized and energentic base, but they may not make up a majority in time for the nomination. Time is short.
I'm not saying I totally agree with this theory, but it sort of makes sense if you think about it. Do you think this theory will come to pass? If not, why not?
OK, but Howard Dean is nuts!
This contest has boiled down to Gingrich and Romney's money.
Gingrich? He's falling faster than one of Newton's apples.
Even if Paul pulls out a miracle in Iowa, he still has less than half the support of Gingrich and almost exactly half the support of Romney in nationwide polls. He's an also ran without a prayer of ever getting beyond 13%.
Even if Paul pulls out a miracle in Iowa, he still has less than half the support of Gingrich and almost exactly half the support of Romney in nationwide polls.
Yeah, I understand but if Paul wins in Iowa the dynamic is radically altered, at least in the short run. Frankly, I think the Republican establishment is going to do everything in its power to stop both Gingrich and Paul.
So apparently you both agree with Dean's theory then?
It's not just Dean's theory. Take a look at recent articles about the panic amongst the GOP leadership who have openly launched scathing attacks about Gingrich's character (and I'm not talking about the wife issue).
As for Paul, the negative attacks won't be coming from the left, at least not yet. They are coming from the conservative establishment of the GOP, trust me. Paul knocks out Gingrich just like Cain knocked off Bachmann the only one still standing steady is Romney.
I have said all along Romney will win NH. A New Englander winning in NE is no surprise.
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) and he's considered the "safe" choice. Ron Paul has a young, organized and energentic base, but they may not make up a majority in time for the nomination. Time is short.
