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Ugh, when are y'all going to get this through your heads?
President Obama has locked up, and I mean locked up 40% of the vote before the election even started. There is nothing he can do, or say to lose the support of most in minority groups and liberal Democrats.
So the field is open for 60% of the vote. Registered Republicans make up about 30 to 35% of the electorate. So now we are down to 30, to 25% of the electorate left up for grabs.
Thats likely to be a 50/50 split.
Thats why, in poll after poll, you see Obama winning by a 3 to 6 point margin.
The 2012 election is over, and thats why no Republican with a shot at the white house wants to run this year. Thats why it has been ceded to the B team of either Santorum, Romney, or Gingrich.
All of the "heavy hitters" will run in 2016.
If there is a split at the convention, one of the three that are running will still get the nomination, because no one wants to run in a race they know they will lose.
I think that most polls still say that any Republican will win but then turns around and says that Obama against those four, one at a time wins. Maybe this says that someone not objectionable really could win.
Thats why, in poll after poll, you see Obama winning by a 3 to 6 point margin.
Ummm...as recently as last month, there were polls with Romney leading Obama by several points.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Memphis1979
The 2012 election is over, and thats why no Republican with a shot at the white house wants to run this year.
The 2012 election is over? You Obama lovers keep telling yourselves that...
Obama's approval is in the 40's and most of the time presidents don't get elected without over 50% approval.
This will be a very close election dependent on how fast the Republicans can stop the infighting and rally around one candidate and dependent on how the economy does between now and November.
Ummm...as recently as last month, there were polls with Romney leading Obama by several points.
The 2012 election is over? You Obama lovers keep telling yourselves that...
Obama's approval is in the 40's and most of the time presidents don't get elected without over 50% approval.
This will be a very close election dependent on how fast the Republicans can get their act together and stop the infighting and dependent on how the economy does between now and November.
I'm not an Obama supporter, I am voting independent or third party. I won't vote for twiddle dee or twiddle dum, I'll let you decide which one is the generic Republican candidate and which is Obama.
But the fact of the matter is, poll after poll (not one offs) show that Obama is leading all of the potential Republican nominees.
I'm not an Obama supporter, I am voting independent or third party. I won't vote for twiddle dee or twiddle dum, I'll let you decide which one is the generic Republican candidate and which is Obama.
But the fact of the matter is, poll after poll (not one offs) show that Obama is leading all of the potential Republican nominees.
The polls now do. I think it can be the reason for a locked convention and to choose a different candidate. As we go into the driving season and gas goes up Obamas ratings will go down
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