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Old 07-25-2012, 04:06 PM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,472,986 times
Reputation: 27720

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Quote:
Originally Posted by jojajn View Post
I think a lot of Republicans governors have been blabbing (politically posturing) about opting out, haven't they? We know that Florida Gov. Rick Scott , South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, Govs. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, and Bobby Jindal of Louisiana have all bragged about opting out.

That is probably where the CBO started.

States opting out of Medicaid expansion could leave many uninsured - Political Hotsheet - CBS News
So you're saying that the CBO is estimating based on what ? Heresay and news articles ?
Well, given the history of CBO estimates vs actual after the fact, it wouldn't surprise me in the least.

The CBO has a history of not even being close.
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Old 07-25-2012, 04:44 PM
 
Location: San Diego, CA
10,581 posts, read 9,782,576 times
Reputation: 4174
This is classic.

Government has put a big program in place that costs us all a lot, and places onerous restrictions on the country. And government spends it all, except for a relatively small amount (less than $8 billion/year, piddling by govt standards).

And here the leftists are pointing at that piddling difference between the taxing and the spending, and saying it's a GOOD thing... while ignoring the huge amount it costs us, the mounting regulations and restrictions, etc.

And when somebody protests the ever-increasing taxing and spending, these fanatics try to pretend they are protesting that piddling difference between the two.

The blinders-on willful ignorance of these people defies all belief sometimes. They actually feel that the effect of the program on government, is more important than what it does to the country - that is, the American people.

Is it November yet?
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:09 PM
 
29,939 posts, read 39,461,121 times
Reputation: 4799
Quote:
Originally Posted by jojajn View Post
I think a lot of Republicans governors have been blabbing (politically posturing) about opting out, haven't they? We know that Florida Gov. Rick Scott , South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, Govs. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, and Bobby Jindal of Louisiana have all bragged about opting out.

That is probably where the CBO started.

States opting out of Medicaid expansion could leave many uninsured - Political Hotsheet - CBS News
And why would states want to opt out?

Quote:
At the same time, there are significant disincentives for states to expand Medicaid eligibility. One is that states would ultimately have to bear some costs for an expansion of Medicaid coverage during a period when their budgets are already under pressure, in part from the rising costs of the existing Medicaid program. Health care costs tend to rise faster than those for other services or products in the economy. And although the 10 percent share of the costs of newly eligible people that states would ultimately bear would be a small share of total additional Medicaid spending, it would nevertheless represent a large extra cost for some states. In addition, CBO estimates, and states expect, that expanding the Medicaid-eligible population would lead to an increase in enrollment among those who would have been eligible under prior law and would not qualify for the higher federal matching rates, resulting in additional costs for participating states. States may also fear that the federal government, which faces its own severe budgetary pressures, will ultimately reduce the federal matching rate and that if it did so, rolling back expansions already in place would be difficult.
http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/fil...eEstimates.pdf

So what happens when all these new and old taxes kick (back) in that will be going to the federal government? Those states will lose tons of revenue from from their prospective state taxes like sales taxes and such.

These states are correct in assuming that the federal government isn't going to have the money it seems to think it's going to have (see the assumptions in the many fiscal outlook scenarios by CBO and the trustees of the various social welfare programs that are counting on 4%+ GDP growth year over year).
Quote:
CBO has not yet had time to produce a full estimate of the cost of incorporating any specific Medicaid expansion in the HELP committees legislation. However, our preliminary analysis indicates that such an expansion could increase federal spending for Medicaid by an amount that could vary in a broad range around $500 billion over 10 years.
CBO | Likely Effects of Substantially Expanding Eligibility for Medicaid

Ten percent of that is $50 billion or on average about $1 billion per state.

You think these states have $100 million a year laying around or something? Do you think they'll have $100 million a year laying around after the federal government sucks large amounts of revenues from them via all the tax increases that will be required to get the federal government's fiscal house in order?

What part of unsustainable is so difficult to understand?

And then you have this gem:
Quote:
Another example of concern about budget conventions involves the Hospital Insurance trust fund, which covers Medicare Part A. The legislation will improve the cash flow in that trust fund by hundreds of billions of dollars over the next decade. Higher balances in the fund will give the government legal authority to pay Medicare benefits longer, but most of the money will pay for new programs rather than reduce future budget deficits and therefore will not enhance the government’s economic ability to pay Medicare benefits in future years. We wrote about those issues as the legislation was being considered.
http://www.cbo.gov/publication/25155

That should be the economic inability to pay Medicare benefits in the future.

Last edited by BigJon3475; 07-25-2012 at 05:21 PM..
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:16 PM
 
385 posts, read 358,065 times
Reputation: 218
It could save $84 billion and pigs could grow wings and fly.
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:41 PM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,472,986 times
Reputation: 27720
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigJon3475 View Post
And why would states want to opt out?

http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/fil...eEstimates.pdf

So what happens when all these new and old taxes kick (back) in that will be going to the federal government? Those states will lose tons of revenue from from their prospective state taxes like sales taxes and such.

These states are correct in assuming that the federal government isn't going to have the money it seems to think it's going to have (see the assumptions in the many fiscal outlook scenarios by CBO and the trustees of the various social welfare programs that are counting on 4%+ GDP growth year over year).
CBO | Likely Effects of Substantially Expanding Eligibility for Medicaid

Ten percent of that is $50 billion or on average about $1 billion per state.

You think these states have $100 million a year laying around or something? Do you think they'll have $100 million a year laying around after the federal government sucks large amounts of revenues from them via all the tax increases that will be required to get the federal government's fiscal house in order?

What part of unsustainable is so difficult to understand?

And then you have this gem:
CBO | Testimony on Last Year's Major Health Care Legislation

That should be the economic inability to pay Medicare benefits in the future.
To add more credibility to that..the high risk funds are already in operation with money from the Fed and states have already gone through their 2 year subsidy and are asking the Fed for more money.
The states spent 2 years of Fed subsidies in one year and are now out of money.
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:58 PM
 
Location: Palo Alto
12,149 posts, read 8,417,223 times
Reputation: 4190
Liberal logic:

I was going to buy a new Audi but bought a Ford instead. Buying the Ford saved me $20,000. Of course I didn't have the money for the Ford in the first place but that's a different story.
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Old 07-25-2012, 06:27 PM
 
Location: Midwest
38,496 posts, read 25,811,747 times
Reputation: 10789
Quote:
Originally Posted by TrapperJohn View Post
Liberal logic:

I was going to buy a new Audi but bought a Ford instead. Buying the Ford saved me $20,000. Of course I didn't have the money for the Ford in the first place but that's a different story.

Conservative logic: I need a new car but I don't have the money to buy one right now so I will rent a car instead. "Look, I am only spending $300/week for a car, much less than $20,000!'
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Old 07-25-2012, 07:34 PM
 
Location: Sarasota FL
6,864 posts, read 12,076,689 times
Reputation: 6744
The CBO does not work independently, as in a 'what if' senario. They reach their assumptions based on what figures congress gives them. So when the Pelosi gang was in charge, they low balled numbers so that the CBO would not say 'over a Trillion dollars and say [at first] that Obamcare would cost $900 billion. The $84 billion figure being thrown around is another phoney number.
Obamacare is going to cost TRILLIONS of dollars. Remember when medicare was proposed and the low ball numbers they used.
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Old 07-25-2012, 07:36 PM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,472,986 times
Reputation: 27720
Quote:
Originally Posted by jojajn View Post
Conservative logic: I need a new car but I don't have the money to buy one right now so I will rent a car instead. "Look, I am only spending $300/week for a car, much less than $20,000!'
Wrong. "I don't have the money so I'll continue to drive my old one while I save up for the new one."

The demographics of those that lease are more apt to live in the north and on the east and west coasts. Those in the midwest and south tend to buy a vehicle.
Now where do most Dems/Liberals live ?

BLS data (fairly old though)
http://www.bls.gov/cex/anthology/csxanth8.pdf
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Old 07-25-2012, 07:57 PM
 
Location: Central Ohio
10,834 posts, read 14,934,551 times
Reputation: 16587
Quote:
Originally Posted by jojajn View Post
Just released. The CBO has carefully crunched numbers and found that the Obamacare will reduce the budget deficit by at least 84 billion dollars. This is very good news for Americans and Obama. Bad news for those who are bitter from too many sour grapes.

CBO says healthcare ruling could save $84 billion

CBO says healthcare ruling could save $84 billion - Yahoo! News
What a colossal joke!

$84 billion over 10 years for $8.4 billion a year when we have enjoyed trillion dollar deficits every one of the past four years.

Are you really serious presenting this as good news?

This is exactly like having a wife who consistently runs up credit card purchases $1,000 more than you make excitingly telling you she "saved" the family budget $8.40 a month by by doing her own manicure at home. Now you are going into the hole by $991.60 every month instead of $1,000.00. Very good news indeed!
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