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Old 11-29-2012, 04:09 PM
 
397 posts, read 257,570 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Frank DeForrest View Post
Since he won reelection, I have started cutting on myself.
I hope that is not true.
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Old 11-29-2012, 04:57 PM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,481,831 times
Reputation: 27720
From what I read it was due to inventory restocking, not consumer/business spending which was revised lower than expected.
Take out inventories and you are left with 1.9%
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Old 11-29-2012, 05:12 PM
 
29,939 posts, read 39,464,356 times
Reputation: 4799
Yeah, it's growing really fast unless you look at historical data and recoveries from recessions.

Anyways, you have something else to add to your "Fiscal Cliff" debacle:
Quote:
The Treasury anticipates that borrowing will reach the current limit near the end of December 2012. However, because the Treasury can take certain “extraordinary measures” that it has used previously when borrowing reached or approached the debt limit, CBO expects that the department will be able to continue funding government activities without an increase in the debt limit until mid-February or early March.

In the event that the debt limit is not increased before those measures are exhausted, the Treasury will not be authorized to issue additional debt that increased the amount outstanding. (It could only issue additional debt in amounts equal to maturing debt.) That restriction would severely strain the Treasury’s ability to manage its cash and could lead to delays of payments for government activities and possibly a default on the government’s debt obligations. Which of the government’s various financial obligations would be paid and which would not would be determined by the Administration.
CBO | When Is Federal Debt Likely to Reach the Statutory Limit?
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Old 11-29-2012, 05:22 PM
 
29,939 posts, read 39,464,356 times
Reputation: 4799
Quote:
Originally Posted by Michigantown View Post
Looks like the us economy grew 2.7% during the summer months up from the 2.0% original forecast. How bad is Obama's economy again
U.S. economy growing faster than forecast - CBS News
And what does all that mean if it's all a fool's gold?

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Old 11-29-2012, 05:46 PM
 
29,939 posts, read 39,464,356 times
Reputation: 4799
Just for the future you can always use real data gathered for JEC here:

Quote:
Available from April 1995 forward, this monthly publication is prepared by the Council of Economic Advisers for the Joint Economic Committee. It provides economic information on gross domestic product, income, employment, production, business activity, prices, money, credit, security markets, Federal finance, and international statistics.



Economic Indicators back to 1948 are made available through FRASER, the Federal Reserve Archival System for Economic Research. FRASER is provided through a partnership between GPO and the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRASER is not an official version of Economic Indicators and GPO can not guarantee the authenticity or completeness of the data. About Economic Indicators
FDsys - Browse ECONI

You know, in case you want to see the real picture of what's going on.

Many times what you see in "news" reports is cherry-picked information that affirms that particular "reporter's" position.
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Old 11-30-2012, 09:15 AM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,330,678 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyTexan View Post
From what I read it was due to inventory restocking, not consumer/business spending which was revised lower than expected.
Take out inventories and you are left with 1.9%
You DO realize don't you that inventory restocking is ALWAYS a part of the GDP? It comes and goes in waves. It was part of the GDP during the Bush years, the Clinton years, the Reagan years, etc, etc, etc.

Ken
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Old 12-01-2012, 12:19 PM
 
Location: Ohio
24,621 posts, read 19,165,825 times
Reputation: 21738
Quote:
Originally Posted by Michigantown View Post
Looks like the us economy grew 2.7% during the summer months up from the 2.0% original forecast. How bad is Obama's economy again
U.S. economy growing faster than forecast - CBS News
Quote:
Originally Posted by Iamme73 View Post
You can forget about this post gaining many responses. It is based on reality and contains good economic news during a time in which conservatives insist the economy can't grow because our President is a raving socialist/communist bent on destroying the free market/capitalism.

Conservatives are liars.
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordBalfor View Post
Good to see.
Expect to see continued improvement in the years to come.



Ken
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordBalfor View Post
It's pretty close to the historical average of the last 65 years (3.2%) - and more than it averaged under Bush (2.3%). It's not as good as I'd like, but it's not a bad number.

Ken
Uh, GDP averages 2.89% annually since 1961.

So your payroll for 2nd Quarter netted $166,060,764,000 in FICA tax revenues, but, uh, your wonderful 2.7% growth in the 3rd Quarter netted only $140,154,163,000.

Yeah, that's right....your payroll declined in the 3rd Quarter.

Hey, that's only an 15% decline in your payroll, nothing to see here....all is well....declining payroll is good for America......lower household income is good for America......less money for people is good for America.....Americans making less money means the economy is improving.

You all do understand this is the 2nd Revision and that the Final Revision isn't due until December 21, right?

Not impressed....


Mircea
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Old 12-01-2012, 01:55 PM
 
Location: Southeast
4,301 posts, read 7,033,943 times
Reputation: 1464
For the record, the estimate was 2.8%, so we actually fell short.

But then again, GDP is revised 13 times (3 initials and one annual for 10 years) before a final number emerges, so why even dwell on it? Same with unemployment/payroll surveys: revised dozens of times before we can see the real picture.
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Old 12-01-2012, 02:34 PM
 
1,501 posts, read 1,727,089 times
Reputation: 1444
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mircea View Post
Uh, GDP averages 2.89% annually since 1961.

So your payroll for 2nd Quarter netted $166,060,764,000 in FICA tax revenues, but, uh, your wonderful 2.7% growth in the 3rd Quarter netted only $140,154,163,000.

Yeah, that's right....your payroll declined in the 3rd Quarter.

Hey, that's only an 15% decline in your payroll, nothing to see here....all is well....declining payroll is good for America......lower household income is good for America......less money for people is good for America.....Americans making less money means the economy is improving.
Your post intrigued me so I dug a little deeper. I didn't see where you got your exact figures from, but I found similar ones on the SSA website. Funny thing, payroll tax collections have been higher in Q2 than in Q3 of the same year for at least the past 12 years (as far as I bothered looking), sometimes by significantly more than 15%. It's almost as if there is some big tax bill that comes due in Q2...
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Old 12-01-2012, 05:46 PM
 
24,404 posts, read 23,065,142 times
Reputation: 15013
Our " gangbusters" economy netted a 1/10th of one percent decrease in October unemployment in Pa. Thats down from the consistant creep up of 1/10th of one percent fro the past few months to over 8%, but still hardly impressive. More like anemic.
Didn't I just read that overall spending in October thru November was weak and actually fell?
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