
01-17-2014, 02:02 PM
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Location: Tyler, TX
22,076 posts, read 22,290,973 times
Reputation: 13564
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pch1013
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You have one study from 24 years ago, comparing two different states (different states = different regulatory issues, different tax structures, etc). If you had something more comprehensive and/or current to offer, you probably would have, so I'm assuming this is the only arrow in your quiver. It's not much, and certainly not enough to convince anyone that disagrees with you that you're on the right side of this issue.
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01-17-2014, 02:05 PM
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Location: Portland, Oregon
46,030 posts, read 33,890,881 times
Reputation: 7865
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thecoalman
You expect them to accept minimum wage?
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It doesn't matter what I expect, if someone wants to quit their job because minimum wage went up, that is on them.
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01-17-2014, 02:07 PM
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7,493 posts, read 11,405,615 times
Reputation: 7394
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They'd want and probably get a raise also, and then the cost of living would keep going through the roof.
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01-17-2014, 02:07 PM
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Location: Portland, Oregon
46,030 posts, read 33,890,881 times
Reputation: 7865
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Quote:
Originally Posted by surfman
Really?
When minimum wage is raised, all boats will expect to raise as well. The bottom up CONtango.
One thing is certain; employers will only hire people with more experience, or automate. There will be less entry level on-the-job training jobs, except for those that are already well above $10, such as construction apprenticeships.
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So it will be the same as it is now, got it.
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01-17-2014, 02:09 PM
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Location: Tyler, TX
22,076 posts, read 22,290,973 times
Reputation: 13564
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Quote:
Originally Posted by swagger
What was the purpose of previous increases in the minimum wage? What was the desired effect? Did the increases result in that desired effect?
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Very valid questions that nobody on the pro-raise-the-wage side has touched. Hmm, I wonder why... 
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01-17-2014, 02:13 PM
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9,856 posts, read 14,769,528 times
Reputation: 5474
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pch1013
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That study has been debunked repeatedly. The authors themselves admitted it was flawed. Here are the flaws found with it:
- That 'study' was a phone survey in which the authors asked fast food managers how big their staff was
- The study completely ignored stores that closed post-minimum wage hikes
- There were multiple measurement errors where they misreported stores closing as having opened
- They looked at short term time periods, not multi-year shifts
- They relied on the word of mouth from managers remembering their staff. They never once used employment records or pay records
Studies were done by Neumark and Wascher (1992) from 1973-1989, instead of the short time period that your study saw. By comparing the employment impacts of such changes over time, Neumark and Wascher found there are negative employment effects of the minimum wage. That is consistent with a study done by Deere, et al. (1995) whihc saw large disemployment effects of the 1991 increase in federal minimum wage
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01-17-2014, 02:18 PM
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33,016 posts, read 26,262,660 times
Reputation: 9062
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Quote:
Originally Posted by luvmyfloyd
If minimum wage goes up to $10 hour, does Disability pay go up, too? What about Social Security retirement pay?
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Social Security and disability are both tied to inflation, adjusted annually.
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01-17-2014, 02:21 PM
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Location: Central Texas
13,719 posts, read 29,760,042 times
Reputation: 9265
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Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78
That is between them and their employer, but their pay would not be affected.
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Ah - so you are trying to be literal. What do you think will really happen?
Those people making $10.25/hour as per the original post will ask for a raise. Maybe not so nicely. And their boss more than likely have to give lots of people raises so their employees who have more skills than the people who just got a raise.
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01-17-2014, 02:38 PM
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33,016 posts, read 26,262,660 times
Reputation: 9062
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nononsenseguy
This is true. Proponents of government imposed wage increaes never think of this.
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This problem describes what I call thhe Walmart effect. Faced wiith rising cost of living, most low-wage workers support a higher minimum wage in the short run even if it makes them worse off in the long run.
Many people are optimists, and believe that by the time a MW increase hurts them, they will be in a different job earning higher wages, and thereby not harmed.
Pessimists (like me) may figure that the wolf is always at the door, and therefore they need a wage hike now...besides, people often have inflated opinions of themselves, and expect the negative effects will be experienced by younger and/or less experienced workers.
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01-17-2014, 02:50 PM
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Location: Ohio
13,927 posts, read 12,447,478 times
Reputation: 7365
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In a few words......
They'd be screwed, that's what would happen.
People who worked hard starting out at minimum wage and worked to get up to 10 or 11 an hour would be knocked back down to square one. It's no secret that Liberal dems don't like success or achievement, so they could care less.
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