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Old 07-23-2015, 04:42 PM
 
27,307 posts, read 16,222,978 times
Reputation: 12102

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Quote:
The amount of radiation from the sun coming in versus the amount of radiation going back out. It's physics.
Link please

 
Old 07-23-2015, 04:49 PM
 
27,307 posts, read 16,222,978 times
Reputation: 12102
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluefly View Post
Look, I'm not going to get into a petty debate. A warming planet can very easily create brutally intense winters in some places. I don't know if this past one in Boston is a result of that but that basic concept has been known for decades.

All these matters are well addressed by credible scientific organizations. The scientific process isn't about one scientist. It works out individual bias and human error over time, over thousands of studies. I've never put much stock in predictions of any sort, be they economic, weather or scientific, but reconstructions have all shown the same warming trend and that the earth is currently - not forecast - warming even faster than initially thought because of the impact of increased dark surfaces that are speeding the process.
Studies of shifting wildlife ranges, plant and tree ranges, all show a warming planet. Ice core and geological samples going back millions of years show the difference between this current change in climate and others driven by natural causes.

It's time to stop pretending this isn't happening.
And to date, none of the predictions have come to pass.

Why?
 
Old 07-23-2015, 05:03 PM
 
Location: New York Area
35,064 posts, read 17,014,369 times
Reputation: 30213
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Btw, you didn't tell me if you believe that my summers will be 9-11F hotter in 35 years. It must be true right? The models say so
//www.city-data.com/forum/40516233-post25.html
That's very hard to believe.

Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
And tell me, how do we solve this "problem" without denying billions of people affordable reliable energy?
The answer is we don't. But that doesn't bother maniacal busybodies who want to run everyone's lives even if their life is a mess.
[MOD CUT/rude]

Last edited by Ibginnie; 07-24-2015 at 10:36 AM..
 
Old 07-23-2015, 05:10 PM
 
29,529 posts, read 19,620,154 times
Reputation: 4544
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbgusa View Post
That's very hard to believe.

The answer is we don't. But that doesn't bother maniacal busybodies who want to run everyone's lives even if their life is a mess.
The sky is falling. </sarcasm>

Watch video discussing co2 sensitivity at a Congressional hearing

https://videopress.com/v/fYPBkAya
 
Old 07-23-2015, 05:16 PM
 
Location: New York Area
35,064 posts, read 17,014,369 times
Reputation: 30213
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Watch video discussing co2 sensitivity at a Congressional hearing

https://videopress.com/v/fYPBkAya
Even this person, while testilying, concedes that earlier estimates were exaggerated.
 
Old 07-23-2015, 05:36 PM
 
11,155 posts, read 15,706,419 times
Reputation: 4209
Quote:
Originally Posted by T-310 View Post
And to date, none of the predictions have come to pass.

Why?
Actually, the models have been surprisingly accurate. CO2 emission is near their worst-case predictions. The Earth is warming faster than initially predicted. Vegetation ranges are shifting and diseases / pests are spreading more rapidly. Droughts and intense heat has increased. Sea levels are currently rising 80% faster than median predictions with a lot of evidence pointing to the notion that we underestimated future rise because they were cautious.

Here's some effects happening now: http://climate.nasa.gov/effects/

It's a complicated science, though so not every prediction will come to pass and some non-scientists make outrageous claims.

Now, does all that mean we should cripple the economy to stop it? Of course not, but that's a policy discussion for a different day.
 
Old 07-23-2015, 05:43 PM
mm4
 
5,711 posts, read 3,978,721 times
Reputation: 1941
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluefly View Post
Actually, the models have been surprisingly accurate. CO2 emission is near their worst-case predictions. The Earth is warming faster than initially predicted. Vegetation ranges are shifting and diseases / pests are spreading more rapidly. Droughts and intense heat has increased. Sea levels are currently rising 80% faster than median predictions with a lot of evidence pointing to the notion that we underestimated future rise because they were cautious.

Here's some effects happeningnow: http://climate.nasa.gov/effects/

It's a complicated science, though so not every prediction will come to pass.

Now, does all that mean we should cripple the economy to stop it? Of course not, but that's a policy discussion for a different day.
None of the models work, Bluefly. You're living in an alternate reality. The 2007 BBC link to Climate scientists hailed as working in the forefront of the pseudoscience predicting no summer ice by 2013 proves it even again.

Also warming doesn't produce cooling. You don't make chilled regions; cold happens when heat is removed. Basic physics.

Simultaneous to 20 year summer-ice extremes in Canada, Australia is experiencing the coldest winter in years.

_"Brisbane Weather: Icy blast an even chance of bringing snow to southern QLD"_
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/quee...11-gia61v.html

_"A strong cold front is set to deliver heavy snow and wild winds for much of Australia"_

"THE most powerful cold front to cross Australia’s southeast in years will hit this weekend with forecasters warning of freezing conditions.

"The weather event will start on Saturday and unusually cold conditions are expected to last until the middle of next week."

http://www.news.com.au/technology/en...-1227434649892
 
Old 07-23-2015, 06:02 PM
 
11,155 posts, read 15,706,419 times
Reputation: 4209
Quote:
Originally Posted by mm4 View Post
None of the models work, Bluefly. You're living in an alternate reality. The 2007 BBC link to Climate scientists hailed as working in the forefront of the pseudoscience predicting no summer ice by 2013 proves it even again.

Also warming doesn't produce cooling. You don't make chilled regions; cold happens when heat is removed. Basic physics.

Simultaneous to 20 year summer-ice extremes in Canada, Australia is experiencing the coldest winter in years.

_"Brisbane Weather: Icy blast an even chance of bringing snow to southern QLD"_
Brisbane Weather: Icy blast an even chance of bringing snow to southern QLD

_"A strong cold front is set to deliver heavy snow and wild winds for much of Australia"_

"THE most powerful cold front to cross Australia’s southeast in years will hit this weekend with forecasters warning of freezing conditions.

"The weather event will start on Saturday and unusually cold conditions are expected to last until the middle of next week."

Weather forecast: Australia set for coldest snap in five years
Yours is a common but understandable misunderstanding of climate and weather among laypersons.
Scientists have known for decades that we would see more extreme weather, not warmer weather. A warming planet most certainly does produce extreme cold weather. Shifting ocean currents, wind patterns, more moisture in the air from melting ice... The fact you posted some weather reports shows that you are jumping to conclusions based on profoundly false assumptions.

It's like that naïve congressman who brought a snowball into the Capitol. He simply had not idea - or chose to ignore based on his political supporters' self interest - that global warming can dump massive amounts of snow in an area.

As for the rest, they've reconstructed models many times and all of them are very close to one another.
Deniers always point to one group of scientists or such, not realizing there's thousands upon thousands of studies from many different fields saying the same.

The predictions largely underestimated what we are witnessing right here, right now, 1.4 degrees warmer, rising sea levels, and all.
 
Old 07-23-2015, 06:16 PM
mm4
 
5,711 posts, read 3,978,721 times
Reputation: 1941
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluefly View Post
Scientists have known for decades that we would see more extreme weather, not warmer weather. A warming planet most certainly does produce extreme cold weather. Shifting ocean currents, wind patterns, more moisture in the air from melting ice... The fact you posted some weather reports shows that you are jumping to conclusions based on profoundly false assumptions.

It's like that naïve congressman who brought a snowball into the Capitol. He simply had not idea - or chose to ignore based on his political supporters' self interest - that global warming can dump massive amounts of snow in an area.

As for the rest, they've reconstructed models many times and all of them are very close to one another.
Deniers always point to one group of scientists or such, not realizing there's thousands upon thousands of studies from many different fields saying the same.

The predictions largely underestimated what we are witnessing right here, right now, 1.4 degrees warmer, rising sea levels, and all.
The canon was that "greenhouse gas" emissions would cause warmer temps that in turn would result in weather extremes like, e.g., more frequent and stronger hurricanes. Because these middling students watched vortices of steam swirl over their ramen.

Not only did it not happen, but hurricane incidences are at a 35 year low; Florida hasn't had one in over a decade.

Those ocean currents? (The ones a true "modeler" wouldn't able to figure out because they're so dependent on unseen vents and fissures on massive scales dynamically opening and closing thousands of feet below sea level, not to mention altered by the rapid, and accelerating magnetic pole shift.) Those ocean currents are a hell of a lot colder in the Arctic and Hudson Bay this summer. It's under all the ice.

Last edited by mm4; 07-23-2015 at 06:27 PM..
 
Old 07-23-2015, 06:19 PM
 
Location: When you take flak it means you are on target
7,646 posts, read 9,951,921 times
Reputation: 16466
You do realize none of this matters. In only 5 billin years the Sun is going to BLOW Up!
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