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Old 06-04-2020, 02:52 PM
 
Location: alexandria, VA
16,352 posts, read 8,094,094 times
Reputation: 9726

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Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
today's RCP:


approve: 42.8

disapprove: 53.8

spread: -11.0
I'm not an expert at interpreting these poll numbers but I'm gonna guess they don't look good for Trump.
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Old 06-04-2020, 02:57 PM
 
2,643 posts, read 2,443,509 times
Reputation: 1928
Quote:
Originally Posted by r small View Post
I'm not an expert at interpreting these poll numbers but I'm gonna guess they don't look good for Trump.
Trumps loss in November will be one of the most obvious in history when lookee back upon. Its like Carter 1980 or Hoover 1932. I mean....its just so obvious
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Old 06-04-2020, 03:03 PM
 
26,569 posts, read 14,441,941 times
Reputation: 7431
Quote:
Originally Posted by r small View Post
I'm not an expert at interpreting these poll numbers but I'm gonna guess they don't look good for Trump.

not good but not horrible either ( by trump standards ). his zone has been 42.7 - 44.7 so he's just squeaking by currently. will have to see what affects current situations have on his poll numbers.
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Old 06-04-2020, 03:13 PM
 
9,639 posts, read 6,017,180 times
Reputation: 8567
Quote:
Originally Posted by MAGAalot View Post
Except the economy will only improve, which makes it impossible for Biden to win....
Economy won’t improve enough.

Trumps done nothing to bolster his image, only damage it.

Biden can sleep until the election and it won’t matter.

Voting is about trump. For or against. Doesn’t matter who the other person his.

He’s starting to trail by double digits. At this rate, might as well stick a fork in him.
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Old 06-04-2020, 03:16 PM
 
26,569 posts, read 14,441,941 times
Reputation: 7431
Quote:
Originally Posted by Groundseek View Post
Trump is ahead in most polls when weighed correctly.

Just like In 2016

the RCP average was only 1.1 off the popular vote in 2016. what's your evidence that it's currently off?
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Old 06-04-2020, 03:43 PM
 
21,430 posts, read 7,455,334 times
Reputation: 13233
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordSquidworth View Post
Economy won’t improve enough.

Trumps done nothing to bolster his image, only damage it.

Biden can sleep until the election and it won’t matter.

Voting is about trump. For or against. Doesn’t matter who the other person his.

He’s starting to trail by double digits. At this rate, might as well stick a fork in him.
It's funny but true.

The American people are largely sick of Trump. I am seeing signs that say "anyone but Trump 2020". He is the absolute worst ...

At this point I would vote for -gasp- Ted Cruz or even -gasp- Bernie Sanders, and almost anyone in between those two polar extremes. We need get out of this chaotic maelstrom, this dumpster fire of a government.
Attached Thumbnails
TRUMP'S APPROVAL Ratings (merged)-trump-white-house-action.jpg  
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Old 06-04-2020, 04:31 PM
 
10,757 posts, read 4,344,063 times
Reputation: 5826
Quote:
Originally Posted by staywarm2 View Post
Biden is ahead for items other than the economy. People are sick of Trump’s nastiness, narcissism, and foolishness. The stunt with tear gassing young protestors so that he could walk across the street was a new low. Voters want someone who cares about America—and them.
Voters don't like violence and destruction in the streets, and Trump is against the protesters more than anyone, because Trump cares about America while the Democrats only care about protesting.
People vote with their wallet, and if they trust Trump with the economy over Biden, then Trump wins reelection.
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Old 06-04-2020, 04:42 PM
 
10,757 posts, read 4,344,063 times
Reputation: 5826
wrecking ball proved that Trump is going to win reelection, when he showed Biden only leading by 3 or 4% in each battleground state.

Look at how far-off the polls were in 2016 according to RealClearPolitics....
Wisconsin = Clinton +6.5 (Trump won by 0.7) = polls were off by 7.2
Pennsylvania = Clinton +2.1 (Trump won by 0.7) = polls were off by 2.8
North Carolina = Trump +0.8 (Trump won by 3.6) = polls were off by 2.8
Michigan = Clinton +3.6 (Trump won by 0.3) = polls were off by 3.9
Maine = Clinton +5.5 (Clinton won by 2.9) = polls were off by 2.6
Florida = Trump +0.4 (Trump won by 1.2) = polls were off by 0.8
RCP did not provide a polling average for Minnesota (which Clinton won by 1.5).
So on average, the polls were off by 3.35 in those battleground states.


Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
current RCP:
michigan biden +4.2
pennsylvania biden +4.0
florida biden +3.4
wisconsin biden +3.4
arizona biden +2.8
n. carolina biden +0.8
Biden's average lead in those battleground states is 3.1
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Old 06-04-2020, 05:35 PM
 
Location: Living rent free in your head
42,850 posts, read 26,275,432 times
Reputation: 34058
Quote:
Originally Posted by MAGAalot View Post
Except the economy will only improve, which makes it impossible for Biden to win....
oh yeah the great V shaped recovery that his smiley face economic advisor promised us...I almost forgot
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Old 06-04-2020, 05:52 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,872 posts, read 9,532,948 times
Reputation: 15588
Quote:
Originally Posted by MAGAalot View Post
Except the economy will only improve, which makes it impossible for Biden to win....
The economy was improving for several months prior to the election in 1980, but that didn't help Jimmy Carter.
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