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Old 04-17-2017, 07:50 AM
 
Location: the very edge of the continent
89,026 posts, read 44,840,107 times
Reputation: 13714

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The Urban Institute (lefty think tank) pegs the cost of Bernie Sanders' proposed 'Medicare for All' plan cost at $32 trillion for 10 years. That's $3.2 trillion/year. Since people would no longer be funding their own private insurance premiums, co-pays, and deductibles out of their own pockets, and that money would no longer be going to fund US's current annual $3.2 trillion in health care costs, where would the $3.2 trillion/year to fund 'Medicare for All' come from?

http://www.urban.org/sites/default/f...-Care-Plan.pdf

Private insurance and individuals' out of pocket spending on health care totals a little over $1.4 trillion/year. When that funding source is ended by single-payer 'Medicare for All,' where does the funding to pay that $1.4 trillion worth of health care come from?

https://www.cms.gov/research-statist...act-sheet.html
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Old 04-17-2017, 07:54 AM
 
Location: Boston, MA
14,483 posts, read 11,285,313 times
Reputation: 9002
Quote:
Originally Posted by theunbrainwashed View Post
Everyone opposed Medicare when LBJ was president. He rammed it through anyway, and now the GOP base are totally in love with Medicare that they'll fight you tooth and nail to keep it.
Thats because they paid for it.
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Old 04-17-2017, 08:01 AM
 
8,151 posts, read 3,676,088 times
Reputation: 2719
Quote:
Originally Posted by InformedConsent View Post
Why would they after paying tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands, or even $1+ million of dollars in Medicare tax over a span of 35-40 years? And that doesn't even include what the compounded interest/return on that would be had that money been invested, instead.

How does the cost of that tax get so high?

Example: a self-employed individual (business owner, 1099 contractor, etc.) pays the full 2.9% Medicare tax, which has no cap.

Such an individual with a career average annual income of $1,000,000 (not unusual for a business owner) pays Medicare tax for 35 years.

$1,000,000 ☓ 2.9% ☓ 35 = $1,015,000

Now let's look at what a middle class employee (who pays 1.45% Medicare tax, not the full 2.9%) with a 35 year annual average income of $55,000 would have paid:

$55,000 ☓ 1.45% ☓ 35 = $27,912.50

HUGE difference in what they've paid, to receive the exact same Medicare benefits.

So the first person paid 1 mil more in medicare taxes but made only 33 million more, lol? And because this person is so special he/she should get a better healthcare?
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Old 04-17-2017, 08:01 AM
 
14,221 posts, read 6,961,631 times
Reputation: 6059
Quote:
Originally Posted by InformedConsent View Post
The Urban Institute (lefty think tank) pegs the cost of Bernie Sanders' proposed 'Medicare for All' plan cost at $32 trillion for 10 years. That's $3.2 trillion/year. Since people would no longer be funding their own private insurance premiums, co-pays, and deductibles out of their own pockets, and that money would no longer be going to fund US's current annual $3.2 trillion in health care costs, where would the $3.2 trillion/year to fund 'Medicare for All' come from?

http://www.urban.org/sites/default/f...-Care-Plan.pdf

Private insurance and individuals' out of pocket spending on health care totals a little over $1.4 trillion/year. When that funding source is ended by single-payer 'Medicare for All,' where does the funding to pay that $1.4 trillion worth of health care come from?

https://www.cms.gov/research-statist...act-sheet.html
A calculation over 10 years would have to include nominal GDP growth (inflation+real GDP growth). Nominal GDP growth raises the revenue from a fixed percentage share of GDP as well like a 5% sales tax or payroll taxes.

A typical Medicare-for-all single payer system would fund 80% of all health care costs of a total 15.5% oof GDP total health care cost, not 100% of the current wasteful system like you assume.
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Old 04-17-2017, 08:10 AM
 
Location: the very edge of the continent
89,026 posts, read 44,840,107 times
Reputation: 13714
Quote:
Originally Posted by serger View Post
So the first person paid 1 mil more in medicare taxes but made only 33 million more, lol? And because this person is so special he/she should get a better healthcare?
Here's what you need to know: the first person earned 18 times more but paid 36 times more for the eligibility to buy (again, Medicare is not free health care, it's government-administered insurance) the exact same single-payer Medicare insurance.

Why? Should one person pay $4 for a gallon of milk while someone else must pay $72 for the exact same thing? How is that fair?
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Old 04-17-2017, 08:16 AM
 
14,221 posts, read 6,961,631 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by InformedConsent View Post
Here's what you need to know: the first person earned 18 times more but paid 36 times more for the eligibility to buy (again, Medicare is not free health care, it's government-administered insurance) the exact same single-payer Medicare insurance.

Why? Should one person pay $4 for a gallon of milk while someone else must pay $72 for the exact same thing? How is that fair?
Thats how taxes work, you pay according to your ability to pay and the self-employed millionaire doesnt see a reduction in their pay as a result of employer payroll tax like the employee. Your concern for the millionaires and billionaires is very poignant, but shouldnt tug too many heartstrings.
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Old 04-17-2017, 08:23 AM
 
Location: the very edge of the continent
89,026 posts, read 44,840,107 times
Reputation: 13714
Quote:
Originally Posted by PCALMike View Post
A calculation over 10 years would have to include nominal GDP growth (inflation+real GDP growth). Nominal GDP growth raises the revenue from a fixed percentage share of GDP as well like a 5% sales tax or payroll taxes.

A typical Medicare-for-all single payer system would fund 80% of all health care costs of a total 15.5% oof GDP total health care cost, not 100% of the current wasteful system like you assume.
You still haven't answered how you'd cut the current $1.4 trillion in private spending (private insurance and individual) on health care to the $750 billion cost to implement 'Medicare for All' you've assumed.

Your math doesn't add up.
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Old 04-17-2017, 08:28 AM
 
Location: the very edge of the continent
89,026 posts, read 44,840,107 times
Reputation: 13714
Quote:
Originally Posted by PCALMike View Post
Thats how taxes work, you pay according to your ability to pay
Why can't we do it this way: 15% flat federal income tax.

$55,000 earner pays $8,250
$1,000,000 earner pays $150,000

The higher earner is still paying 18 times more for the exact same government services/benefits.
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Old 04-17-2017, 08:33 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,628,813 times
Reputation: 21097
Quote:
Originally Posted by English Dave View Post
Where do you get these 'lots of people' that hate the NHS Waldo?.....
You made a 1/2 dozen posts in response to what I said. Very LONG posts. In my experience, the more one speaks, the less meaning their words have.

I stick by what I said. Lots of people in the UK hate the NHS. They don't like the doctors brought in who can't speak English. They don't like being discharged at 1:30 in the morning. They don't like having to wait forever to get treatment.

The people who are well off go to private hospitals. It's a thriving industry in the UK. This speaks for itself.
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Old 04-17-2017, 08:33 AM
 
Location: DC
6,848 posts, read 7,993,664 times
Reputation: 3572
Quote:
Originally Posted by InformedConsent View Post
How would you structure the buy-in for those under age 65? Look at what people pay in Medicare tax over the span of their careers just to be able to buy Medicare insurance (it's not free, you pay premiums, co-pays, and deductibles) at age 65+? I gave two examples, above.
If you look at the most recent Republican bill to replace Obamacare, you'll find a clue. Trumpcare for a single person 64 years old was going to be almost $15,000/year. Medicare for all seniors is under $10,000 and the 65 year olds certainly aren't that expensive. That leaves us with a ballpark estimate that Medicare for all would be at least 1/3 cheaper than private insurance.
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